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Posted
15 hours ago, Lance said:

New position in ETHA.  

 

Trimmed ABBV, nibbled on my tech/AI basket with the proceeds.

 

Wrote puts on UNG.  

 

Thanks

Lance

 

What's your timing on the puts for UNG? Any reason to expect prices to not further decrease? 

Posted
21 hours ago, Lance said:

New position in ETHA.  

 

Trimmed ABBV, nibbled on my tech/AI basket with the proceeds.

 

Wrote puts on UNG.  

 

Thanks

Lance

Can you expand on your UNG trade? I shorted a bunch when it went up a bunch and just closed my shorts but I generally don't dear to write puts on this thing. 

Posted
On 7/24/2024 at 11:04 PM, UK said:

 

Maybe it is not that bad, if you already know this:). And at least size accordingly:)

 

I love this story from Druckenmiller: 

 

"I made a lot of mistakes, but I made one real doozy. So, this is kind of a funny story, at least it is 15 years later because the pain has subsided a little. But in 1999 after Yahoo and America Online had already gone up like tenfold, I got the bright idea at Soros to short internet stocks. And I put 200 million in them in about February and by mid-March the 200 million short I had, lost $600 million on, gotten completely beat up and was down like 15 percent on the year. And I was very proud of the fact that I never had a down year, and I thought well, I’m finished. So, the next thing that happens is I can’t remember whether I went to Silicon Valley or I talked to some 22-year-old with Asperger’s. But whoever it was, they convinced me about this new tech boom that was going to take place. So I went and hired a couple of gunslingers because we only knew about IBM and Hewlett-Packard. I needed Veritas and Verisign. I wanted the six. So, we hired this guy and we end up on the year — we had been down 15 and we ended up like 35 percent on the year. And the Nasdaq’s gone up 400 percent. So, I’ll never forget it. January of 2000 I go into Soros’s office and I say I’m selling all the tech stocks, selling everything. This is crazy…at 104 times earnings. This is nuts. Just kind of as I explained earlier, we’re going to step aside, wait for the next fat pitch. I didn’t fire the two gunslingers. They didn’t have enough money to really hurt the fund, but they started making 3 percent a day and I’m out. It is driving me nuts. I mean their little account is like up 50 percent on the year. I think Quantum was up seven. It’s just sitting there. So like around March I could feel it coming. I just — I had to play. I couldn’t help myself. And three times the same week I pick up a — don’t do it. Don’t do it. Anyway, I pick up the phone finally. I think I missed the top by an hour. I bought $6 billion worth of tech stocks, and in six weeks I had left Soros and I had lost $3 billion in that one play. You asked me what I learned. I didn’t learn anything. I already knew that I wasn’t supposed to do that. I was just an emotional basket case and couldn’t help myself. So, maybe I learned not to do it again, but I already knew that."

 

 

Good stuff thanks bro

 

 

Posted (edited)

Posted Friday at 06:40 AM

  On 7/25/2024 at 3:10 PM, Lance said:

New position in ETHA.  

 

Trimmed ABBV, nibbled on my tech/AI basket with the proceeds.

 

Wrote puts on UNG.  

 

Thanks

Lance

Expand  

 

What's your timing on the puts for UNG? Any reason to expect prices to not further decrease? 

 

Hi - typically about a month out.  I sold a few at 3 weeks.  When I write calls on any units that have been assigned I typically go shorter.  

 

Thanks

Edited by Lance
Posted
7 hours ago, mananainvesting said:

Any quick pitch on $SILA, I participated in the tender offer. Thanks for sharing. 

I posted it in the investment idea thread. In short its a super cheap low leveraged internally managed medical net lease REIT that just bought back 4% of outstanding shares. Its growing and from i could see has no troubles with tenants right now, unlike other publicy traded medical REIT's.

  • Like 1
Posted
7 hours ago, Malmqky said:

Some Valaris warrants...have a few limit orders that were partially filled.

Yeah, nice. Growing net income, clean balance sheet, tightening market, rates moving higher. All looking positive for the warrants.

Posted
9 hours ago, Stuart D said:

Yeah, nice. Growing net income, clean balance sheet, tightening market, rates moving higher. All looking positive for the warrants.

 

and the history of destruction of shareholder value on an epic scale:)

Posted

More HST. CD/money market replacement with > 5% yield and modest inflation hedge. Not expected to be a home run by any stretch, but sometimes three yards and a cloud of dust works just fine. 

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