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Posted

Added a small bit to MSG at 272. Algos are going bananas today

 

Not Algos, they depend on live events which might get cancelled if things go Corona south. MSGN is tied to the same mast.

 

 

The volume surges definitely seem like algos, and zip within ranges quite noticeably. Either way, at worst, this is a one off hardship assuming its full blown Resident Evil. Hardly enough to impair the value 10% when it's already discounted 20%+. Just markets being skittish. Could be worse. Like AMC.

 

 

I know I repeat myself regarding MSG, but “fear the sphere” (in Las Vegas) is a bigger concern than a virus induced zombie apocalypse for me.

 

I can see already the news headlines about cost overruns first and a $500M write down next.

 

Anyways, added to PSX and a bit more DFS, STAY and FRA.DE

Posted

Some BRK.B @1.23 P/B

 

Same..every time I scan the market brk seems imminently reasonable at these prices, although be sure to adjust for inevitably lower mark to market equity portfolio. Probably it's closer to 1.3 but still reasonable.

Posted

Added a small bit to MSG at 272. Algos are going bananas today

 

Not Algos, they depend on live events which might get cancelled if things go Corona south. MSGN is tied to the same mast.

 

 

The volume surges definitely seem like algos, and zip within ranges quite noticeably. Either way, at worst, this is a one off hardship assuming its full blown Resident Evil. Hardly enough to impair the value 10% when it's already discounted 20%+. Just markets being skittish. Could be worse. Like AMC.

 

 

I know I repeat myself regarding MSG, but “fear the sphere” (in Las Vegas) is a bigger concern than a virus induced zombie apocalypse for me.

 

I can see already the news headlines about cost overruns first and a $500M write down next.

 

Anyways, added to PSX and a bit more DFS, STAY and FRA.DE

 

I do think the sphere may be a problem... but... a lot of thought and conversations have led me to believe that the exact scenario you describe, costs getting out of hand, will force Dolan to pull the trigger on an asset sale. People have already wrote down the net cash position because of the sphere. If any extra $300-500M in costs present themselves it almost certainly puts a lid on Sphere London, and most likely forces Dolan to go to market with some assets. The scenarios Ive heard are that following the spin, the sports assets become the ATM. His real interests are the entertainment business and the RSNs. Probably in that order.

Posted

More leverage, and tech heavy poo poo stuff should lead the way. If I was looking to hold overnight or longer term I'd find a different vehicle(duh).

 

I think they are both 3x. Yeah, Tech leading the way seems reasonable if there is a bounce back.

Posted

BRK (again)

 

Buffett commented Berkshire would fall less than the general market in a sell off. Let’s hope that is true :-). Having 20% of market cap in deployable cash has to matter at some point.

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