Guest cherzeca Posted October 8, 2020 Posted October 8, 2020 "I wonder where all the money in US government bonds is going to go in coming years..." back on fed's balance sheet
Viking Posted October 8, 2020 Posted October 8, 2020 "I wonder where all the money in US government bonds is going to go in coming years..." back on fed's balance sheet So when a pension fund or insurance company has a 5 or 10 year US government bond mature their proceeds are going to end up on the Fed’s balance sheet? My comment was aimed at private organization who currently own US government bonds. As these bonds mature and these organization re-deploy where will it go? Demand will increase for some asset classes.
Castanza Posted October 8, 2020 Posted October 8, 2020 "I wonder where all the money in US government bonds is going to go in coming years..." back on fed's balance sheet So when a pension fund or insurance company has a 5 or 10 year US government bond mature their proceeds are going to end up on the Fed’s balance sheet? My comment was aimed at private organization who currently own US government bonds. As these bonds mature and these organization re-deploy where will it go? Demand will increase for some asset classes. I saw some Ohio pension funds allocating north of 5% to gold. I think historically these positions are 2% on average. Not necessarily meaningful I guess
kab60 Posted October 8, 2020 Posted October 8, 2020 A lot of it is flowing into alternatives like PE. Institutional investors love private investments as it gives the illusion of smoother performance. It is insane but it's the reason why these alt managers have a long and profitable runway ahead of them.
kab60 Posted October 9, 2020 Posted October 9, 2020 More Cambria Automotive. Now 12 pct. of portfolio. Stocks only go up, but this one has mostly been going sideways.
fareastwarriors Posted October 14, 2020 Posted October 14, 2020 Added some PGRE yesterday and BAC today.
boilermaker75 Posted October 14, 2020 Posted October 14, 2020 Wrote ACIA 65-strike, Nov 20 expiration puts for $1.06 per share. This is a risk arbitrage play.
Castanza Posted October 14, 2020 Posted October 14, 2020 BAC Started in CINR....has anyone done work on this? There was a decent write up on VIC. Looks interesting at these prices as long as they stay liquid (which they seem to be doing). Soda Ash consumption seems to be increasing globally. A few catalysts would be EVs and increased Solar panels. CINR seems to be positioned very well long term. If I had to guess the and some other subsidies will all be brought under the umbrella of We Soda (which has discussed IPO). CINR has no baggage like GEL which is also tied to O&G. Divy also seems like it will come back at some point. Unfortunately there is a K-1. Sorry a bit of a ramble.
sampr01 Posted October 15, 2020 Posted October 15, 2020 Why MX now Thanks Little more GEOS edit: also added some MX
shhughes1116 Posted October 15, 2020 Posted October 15, 2020 Started in CINR....has anyone done work on this? There was a decent write up on VIC. Looks interesting at these prices as long as they stay liquid (which they seem to be doing). Soda Ash consumption seems to be increasing globally. A few catalysts would be EVs and increased Solar panels. CINR seems to be positioned very well long term. If I had to guess the and some other subsidies will all be brought under the umbrella of We Soda (which has discussed IPO). CINR has no baggage like GEL which is also tied to O&G. Divy also seems like it will come back at some point. Unfortunately there is a K-1. Sorry a bit of a ramble. They have a nice asset in Wyoming, which is cost-advantaged relative to synthetic production, and cost-advantaged relative to other trona miners. However, I don't trust management. Didn't take a rocket scientist to figure out they inflating annual production through deca rehydration, and eventually production would drop off significantly. The manner in which they disclosed this made them appear either dishonest or incompetent. Happy to chat more about this one on a dedicated thread for CINR.
kab60 Posted October 15, 2020 Posted October 15, 2020 More BRK... It has lagged the rest the portfolio, now back at 25 pct. I think it looks like a pretty safe 8-12 pct. annual return with inherent tax advantages for a schmuck like me that pays 27-42 pct. taxes on realized gains.
winjitsu Posted October 15, 2020 Posted October 15, 2020 Started in CINR....has anyone done work on this? There was a decent write up on VIC. Looks interesting at these prices as long as they stay liquid (which they seem to be doing). Soda Ash consumption seems to be increasing globally. A few catalysts would be EVs and increased Solar panels. CINR seems to be positioned very well long term. If I had to guess the and some other subsidies will all be brought under the umbrella of We Soda (which has discussed IPO). CINR has no baggage like GEL which is also tied to O&G. Divy also seems like it will come back at some point. Unfortunately there is a K-1. Sorry a bit of a ramble. They have a nice asset in Wyoming, which is cost-advantaged relative to synthetic production, and cost-advantaged relative to other trona miners. However, I don't trust management. Didn't take a rocket scientist to figure out they inflating annual production through deca rehydration, and eventually production would drop off significantly. The manner in which they disclosed this made them appear either dishonest or incompetent. Happy to chat more about this one on a dedicated thread for CINR. Read the same VIC pitch and I'm in too. Lets start one :)
Spekulatius Posted October 15, 2020 Posted October 15, 2020 Started in CINR....has anyone done work on this? There was a decent write up on VIC. Looks interesting at these prices as long as they stay liquid (which they seem to be doing). Soda Ash consumption seems to be increasing globally. A few catalysts would be EVs and increased Solar panels. CINR seems to be positioned very well long term. If I had to guess the and some other subsidies will all be brought under the umbrella of We Soda (which has discussed IPO). CINR has no baggage like GEL which is also tied to O&G. Divy also seems like it will come back at some point. Unfortunately there is a K-1. Sorry a bit of a ramble. They have a nice asset in Wyoming, which is cost-advantaged relative to synthetic production, and cost-advantaged relative to other trona miners. However, I don't trust management. Didn't take a rocket scientist to figure out they inflating annual production through deca rehydration, and eventually production would drop off significantly. The manner in which they disclosed this made them appear either dishonest or incompetent. Happy to chat more about this one on a dedicated thread for CINR. Read the same VIC pitch and I'm in too. Lets start one :) This entity still has 50% IDR’s. Automatic pass for me.
rkbabang Posted October 15, 2020 Posted October 15, 2020 Just bought the FSLY shares I sold 3 days ago for $127.70 back for $88.50.
Gregmal Posted October 15, 2020 Posted October 15, 2020 Why MX now Thanks Little more GEOS edit: also added some MX The September asset sales closing is still under appreciated IMO. This is now a pureplay on OLED, should be generating reasonable FCF for a growth tech co, balance sheet now pristine, and a focused management. I like tech overall, but think the big boys will have headwinds because beating them up is a bipartisan issue, and some of the other stuff is insanely priced...MX has huge growth ahead of it and the valuation is reasonable.
valueinvestor Posted October 15, 2020 Posted October 15, 2020 Small tracker positions in 3-5% port allocation to fastly and pow.to
Castanza Posted October 15, 2020 Posted October 15, 2020 WFC - started a position again....just hard to not have a position at these prices....
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