Political Posts

[Gregmal]

59 minutes ago, rogermunibond said:

What’s the point of this? People stopped falling for “polls” years ago. Crazy seeing how much fuss a 10% sell off creates when really very little real world anything has actually happened. 

[SharperDingaan]

Musk will also need an ongoing security detail just to get around, and will be the target for quite a few angry people who lose their homes and families as a result of the callous mass firings that he has inflicted. Lots of guns in the US; once the benefits run out, the foreclosure notices start, and family collapses begin .... he's a fat target.

 

If you suspect that Musk also bought a president .... dispose of Musk; and you knee-cap the growth in US tech innovation, as well as now own that president. Something that most all of Orange Boys fellow dictators are very adept at.  

 

All adds up to a melting ice-cube.

 

SD

[lnofeisone]

15 minutes ago, Gregmal said:

What’s the point of this? People stopped falling for “polls” years ago. Crazy seeing how much fuss a 10% sell off creates when really very little real world anything has actually happened. 

I have to disagree here. Unemployment initial claims are way up. People are pulling back on spending. Real estate houses are started to sit on the market longer than last year. A lot of negatives are starting to pop up. 

[Gregmal]

2 minutes ago, lnofeisone said:

I have to disagree here. Unemployment initial claims are way up. People are pulling back on spending. Real estate houses are started to sit on the market longer than last year. A lot of negatives are starting to pop up. 

These trends have been in place for a while. Guys barely had a month in office. If people are reacting today they’re either overreacting now or were underreacting last year. Seems like the former to me. Trump always gets the best of like 51.7% of people.

[LC]

6 minutes ago, lnofeisone said:

I have to disagree here. Unemployment initial claims are way up. People are pulling back on spending. Real estate houses are started to sit on the market longer than last year. A lot of negatives are starting to pop up. 

I can’t believe I’m about to post an Instagram video, but here’s a conservative hero explaining it:

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DHB8SmEI94Z/?igsh=MWd4OWh4ZXJ0bDV2OA==

[rogermunibond]

Silver and Sam Wang are both good analyzers of weighted polling data through meta-analysis.  Gets rid of the noise in skewed political polls from both sides.  

 

By sampling and weighting individual polls for quality, you get rid of the noise.

 

 

[Gregmal]

I also think some of the chainsaw to government is simply karma. I mean really, how many times in our lives have we heard those dipshit friends of ours whom have government jobs make jokes about job security? The reason there’s such job security, or at least has been, is because there’s no accountability. Only place on earth where that’s not only allowed, but the benchmark.

[Sweet]

Having worked both private and in government - not in the US I might add - the scale of government waste is staggering.

 

[Gregmal]

Yea my brother in law does environmental protection stuff. November and December they are required to go on spending binges, from lunch parties to fleets of new pickup trucks in order to drain any budget excess because if it’s not spent the following years budget gets slashed.
 

Fiscal responsibility is not only not taught, it’s punished and simply thru culture these lifers are trained to be wasteful and game the system.

[dealraker]

We started off with a very solid economy with rich markets and politicians with no financial literacy (or financial interest) running increasing deficits.  Then we got two obsessed for attention leaders who wanted to be in charge of eventful change, but neither with a plan nor any real interest in making a plan, and both have zero attention span as to logic about any of it.  I don't blame them, I sure as hell wouldn't.

 

Very soon responding/resulting events will be in charge of our wild ass duo.  It won't be them controlling the show it will be stuff happening to them that is in control of all of us.  

 

It happens to one of them over and over in his aged low performance business life of failing to keep up with even inflation.  He will crawl out of the chaotic yard sale with a personal profit; always has, always will.   Others.... not so lucky.   

Edited March 13, 2025 by dealraker

[Sweet]

13 minutes ago, Gregmal said:

Yea my brother in law does environmental protection stuff. November and December they are required to go on spending binges, from lunch parties to fleets of new pickup trucks in order to drain any budget excess because if it’s not spent the following years budget gets slashed.
 

Fiscal responsibility is not only not taught, it’s punished and simply thru culture these lifers are trained to be wasteful and game the system.

Yep.  We get the same order from the top, ‘we must hit our budget’ bs.

 

Hundreds of thousand blown on anything from cars for field work, big monitors for computers, special cameras for zoom meetings a G a pop.

 

I was asked repeatedly to find stuff to spend by higher ups and I just refuse.  Anyone in my management who came to me looking to put order something like that I blocked.

 

Worse case scenario is the money goes back to treasury and you might get a smaller budget next year.  Efficiency isn’t rewarded.  
 

But audits are coming one day, and people signing this stuff off may have to justify themselves.

 

 

[Gregmal]

8 minutes ago, dealraker said:

We started off with a very solid economy with rich markets and politicians with no financial literacy (or financial interest) running increasing deficits.  Then we got two obsessed for attention leaders who wanted to be in charge of eventful change, but neither with a plan nor any real interest in making a plan, and both have zero attention span as to logic about any of it.  I don't blame them, I sure as hell wouldn't.

 

Very soon responding/resulting events will be in charge of our wild ass duo.  It won't be them controlling the show it will be stuff happening to them that is in control of all of us.  

 

It happens to one of them over and over in his aged low performance business life of failing to keep up with even inflation.  He will crawl out of the chaotic yard sale with a personal profit; always has, always will.   Others.... not so lucky.   

What happened to "life is great, if you can stand it!"? 

[Hektor]

30 minutes ago, dealraker said:

Very soon responding/resulting events will be in charge of our wild ass duo.  It won't be them controlling the show it will be stuff happening to them that is in control of all of us. 

+1

[Parsad]

4 hours ago, Spekulatius said:

He also looks terrible. Wouldn’t be a surprise to me if he didn’t make it to age 60.

 

I don't know if he's a heavy user or just dabbles in drugs, but that might be another reason.  He definitely uses.  Cheers!

[lnofeisone]

1 hour ago, Gregmal said:

Yea my brother in law does environmental protection stuff. November and December they are required to go on spending binges, from lunch parties to fleets of new pickup trucks in order to drain any budget excess because if it’s not spent the following years budget gets slashed.
 

Fiscal responsibility is not only not taught, it’s punished and simply thru culture these lifers are trained to be wasteful and game the system.

Is your brother in state govt?

[Gregmal]

27 minutes ago, lnofeisone said:

Is your brother in state govt?

He’s worked both. Think he’s currently in state. Says they basically work interchangeably. 

[lnofeisone]

2 hours ago, Sweet said:

Yep.  We get the same order from the top, ‘we must hit our budget’ bs.

 

Hundreds of thousand blown on anything from cars for field work, big monitors for computers, special cameras for zoom meetings a G a pop.

 

I was asked repeatedly to find stuff to spend by higher ups and I just refuse.  Anyone in my management who came to me looking to put order something like that I blocked.

 

Worse case scenario is the money goes back to treasury and you might get a smaller budget next year.  Efficiency isn’t rewarded.  
 

But audits are coming one day, and people signing this stuff off may have to justify themselves.

 

 

When I was working on Gov't contracts, my smallest contract was $3M. Biggest $300M over 5 years. All Federal. I've never seen anyone just blow through money. In fact, I've very frequently finished contracts that would have ceilings that were untouched (i.e., how much the limit was vs. how much was actually spent). I don't know what country you are in but this is 100% not Federal gov't. Maybe some state or grant-based locale. 

[lnofeisone]

1 hour ago, Gregmal said:

He’s worked both. Think he’s currently in state. Says they basically work interchangeably. 

States have a lot more flexibility and can be gamed like that but for smaller amounts of $. You can't just buy trucks in Federal. Just look at the Tesla for the Dept. of State. Federal gov't has mechanisms for contracts that extend multiple years so this gamification actually hurts departments. 

[Spekulatius]

2 hours ago, Gregmal said:

Yea my brother in law does environmental protection stuff. November and December they are required to go on spending binges, from lunch parties to fleets of new pickup trucks in order to drain any budget excess because if it’s not spent the following years budget gets slashed.
 

Fiscal responsibility is not only not taught, it’s punished and simply thru culture these lifers are trained to be wasteful and game the system.

The same thing exists in larger corporations  as well, albeit not quite as pronounced. I also don’t have dipshit friends that work government jobs. Typically the excess budget stuff are not lunch parties etc but Capex stuff that wasn’t spent because if you spent your budget in September and then something breaks that is sorely needed there would be no money to acquire it. I have seen similar things happening in companies I worked for.

[RichardGibbons]

4 hours ago, Gregmal said:

What’s the point of this? People stopped falling for “polls” years ago. Crazy seeing how much fuss a 10% sell off creates when really very little real world anything has actually happened. 

 

Maybe you just haven't actually realized that something has changed.

Here's some fun graffiti in Canada's most Conservative, pro-Trump province.

 

 

[Gregmal]

57 minutes ago, RichardGibbons said:

 

Maybe you just haven't actually realized that something has changed.

Here's some fun graffiti in Canada's most Conservative, pro-Trump province.

 

 

Idk just seems like way too many people are emotionally wrapped up in all this tabloid like crap to an unhealthy degree. 

[james22]

 

[Sweet]

7 hours ago, lnofeisone said:

When I was working on Gov't contracts, my smallest contract was $3M. Biggest $300M over 5 years. All Federal. I've never seen anyone just blow through money. In fact, I've very frequently finished contracts that would have ceilings that were untouched (i.e., how much the limit was vs. how much was actually spent). I don't know what country you are in but this is 100% not Federal gov't. Maybe some state or grant-based locale. 

I’m in the UK.  We had a requirement to land within a % of our total allocation as a department each year which is why there is always this end of year madness.  I know this to be the case right across the board.

 

We managed contracts too, they tended to work like you suggested.  However if we underspent on a grant the underspend is held centrally.  This is then money that ‘has to be spent’ to land within the % budget allocation.

 

I’d say it’s similiar for those grants you worked on too, even in America.  If you save like 10% I.e. you did a good job of delivering below budget, chances are that saved money sits somewhere in an account that admin and senior managers fret about spending later

 

Edited March 14, 2025 by Sweet

[John Hjorth]

The meeting between NATO secretary general Mark Rutte and POTUS derailed shortly into a Greenland talk [again], wich has caused some lively communication in Denmark and other places, i.e. here between Danish MP Rasmus Jarlov and Roger Stone :

 

 

- - - o 0 o - - -

 

Meanwhile, USA has asked Denmark for help with ... eggs [  ] :

 

FødevareWatch [English : Food Watch] - Porduction [March 14 2025] : The US has asked Denmark for extra eggs

 

Subtitle : American authorities have contacted the Danish Eggs trade association. Eggs have become a hot political issue in the United States due to rapidly rising prices and shortages in supermarkets.

 

-So much for bird flu in USA.

 

- - - o 0 o - - -

 

Nobody can complain about lack of entertainment value here.

Edited March 14, 2025 by John Hjorth

[John Hjorth]

21 hours ago, Sweet said:

BBC reporting:

 

In comments to Russian media this morning, Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov outlines Russia's position on the 30-day ceasefire proposal.

In a nutshell, Ushakov rejects it, saying it would amount to nothing more than a temporary respite for the Ukrainian military and a chance for it to regroup.

He also says that Russia is seeking a "long-term peace settlement in Ukraine that takes into account Moscow's interests and concerns", and adds that a "normal exchange of opinions" between Russia and the US is "taking place in a calm manner".

Ushakov also says the US understands that Ukraine's membership of Nato is out of the question.

 

Putin is likely stalling his response by now, likely because of Russian war progress by now in Kursk region. I personally speculate, that he does not really have any idea of how to answer, because he fears the american reaction, if he just replies with with a 'no'.

Edited March 14, 2025 by John Hjorth