turar Posted March 26, 2014 Posted March 26, 2014 I'll be buying more RWM today. Out of curiosity, why not short IWM instead?
LowIQinvestor Posted March 27, 2014 Author Posted March 27, 2014 TEO- Telecom Argentina Worth at least 50% more than where it is trading today.
bmichaud Posted March 30, 2014 Posted March 30, 2014 Great post on the extreme equity sentiment exhibited by investors right now: http://macronomy.blogspot.com/2014/03/guest-post-equities-frothy-sentiment.html?m=1
frommi Posted March 31, 2014 Posted March 31, 2014 Completed my buys of RSXJ today. Bought kholy and rsxj last week and hoped to complete it this week, but kholy has run away. I am now at nearly 25% allocation to emerging market, with 10% russia and 10% china.
Lance Posted March 31, 2014 Posted March 31, 2014 I sold calls against my KMI shares this morning. Thanks, Lance
randomep Posted April 1, 2014 Posted April 1, 2014 CKI Very very interesting, I am reading their AR 2013... thanks
Valuebo Posted April 4, 2014 Posted April 4, 2014 more GNCMA (actually trade around this position a bit because it is so large) and some WDAY short term options at opening. Options already a double but looking for a tad bit more. ;)
CorpRaider Posted April 4, 2014 Posted April 4, 2014 LMCA, THRX Confirmation bias endorphins kicking in! I'm stalking THRX, probably being greedy and will miss it (like i did with freaking K); but hoping to get it in the mid 20's.
gary17 Posted April 4, 2014 Posted April 4, 2014 more GNCMA (actually trade around this position a bit because it is so large) and some WDAY short term options at opening. Options already a double but looking for a tad bit more. ;) I too got some GNCMA & AIQ - my thought was those were sold off as part of the NASDAQ going on sale today.... HOWEVER - I am not sure I am comfortable enough to have a big position in GNCMA - just looking at the 10 year chart I could just see that not a lot of value has been created, although that is not to say may be we are at the point where a lot of value could be realized.
Gamecock-YT Posted April 4, 2014 Posted April 4, 2014 more GNCMA ditto, I thought it was a flash crash when I saw it drop 5%.
stylized_fact Posted April 5, 2014 Posted April 5, 2014 LRM.L http://quinzedix.blogspot.com/2013/10/lombard-risk-management-enterprise.html added to GNCMA
jwfm1985 Posted April 5, 2014 Posted April 5, 2014 Started a small position in Lab Corp. - LH Ross, Been thinking about LH - I love the industry. Question though, why LH over Quest?
thefatbaboon Posted April 6, 2014 Posted April 6, 2014 LMCA, THRX Confirmation bias endorphins kicking in! I'm stalking THRX, probably being greedy and will miss it (like i did with freaking K); but hoping to get it in the mid 20's. My amazing charting skills suggest that it should at least dip to 26 ;D
no_free_lunch Posted April 6, 2014 Posted April 6, 2014 THRX seems a bit too complicated for me. At the high level it's an amazing story, you have Seth Klarman and GSK holding huge positions. GSK will be paying out royalties to THRX so they know the business better than anyone. Both parties have purchased shares at higher prices. You also have a spinoff to potentially unlock some value. So at that 50,000 ft level it looks great. However, when you dig into the sales estimates for the COPD drugs they are all over the map. Peak sales from $1B to $4B. At $4B it's a steal and will probably double or more, it will go down to the teens at $1B. So for someone outside of the sector it is a tough call. I guess, in either scenario it doesn't seem likely to be a 0, maybe a 50% loss assuming something doesn't go horribly wrong with the drugs. It seems you basically just have to trust the major holders to buy into it. Honestly that's probably as good a thesis as any but I generally like to have a better feel for the fundamentals. Am I missing anything?
frommi Posted April 6, 2014 Posted April 6, 2014 My amazing charting skills suggest that it should at least dip to 26 ;D How do you come to that number? I can only "see" that it has a high chance of falling further, but i don`t "see" yet how far. At 20 there is a massive support, but that doesn`t mean it drops that low.
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