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Share your Portfolio 2024


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6 minutes ago, CGJB said:

Mind sharing what your average cost is?

 

$606

 

From $480 when swooned after the ETF launch to just recently at $700.

 

Took me some time to get comfortable with the position sizing (I'd been uninterested in BTC before the ETF approval, and I'm somewhat risk-averse since retired). Just seems a pretty unique opportunity - not often a new asset class comes around.

 

Still seems early enough to get in (before BTC hits its ATH). 

 

And it's unlikely the entry point will matter much in the long run anyway. BTC will most likely do either really, really well or really, really poorly.

 

 

 

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  • 2 weeks later...
On 2/5/2024 at 10:19 AM, Spekulatius said:

Should have monetized my “unique insight” better. Thought  about buying some short dated puts but those things work maybe 1/3 or 1/4 times for me, so left it alone.

 

I  very much like the industrial gas business. It’s like having a small royalty on industrial growth  Each semiconductor fab build in the US will consume technical gases as long as they operate. This is a structurally advantaged business because once a supply is locked in, the customers rarely switch and the suppliers are highly concentrated. (Air Liquide, Lind, APD, Nippon Sanso (Matheson in the US) ). Those business will grow for decades and likely more than the GDP.

Do you have links/insight into what kind of process and gases are used in the semi manufacturing?  It may be something I will need to ramp up on.  TIA

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11 hours ago, nsx5200 said:

Do you have links/insight into what kind of process and gases are used in the semi manufacturing?  It may be something I will need to ramp up on.  TIA

Mostly noble gases like Argon, Helium etc, then likely Nitrogen, some Hydrogen and gases used for reactive processes and doping (fluorides, boron and phosphor chemicals etc). I suppose.

 

Every vacuum deposition and etch process needs technical gases.

Edited by Spekulatius
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On 1/2/2024 at 9:12 AM, Ross812 said:

26% FFH

9% BRK.B

9% $

6% USB

5% LUV

5% NTDOY

5% HQI

4% ADSK

4% GOOGL

4% DFIN

4% MSGE ($30 CCs on full position)

4% CASH ($50 CCs on full position)

3% HUM

3% NNI

2% TOITF

2% CHDN

2% HSY

2% JCI

1-2% in tracking positions - BAC, ASHTY, LHX, META, CPNG calls, BABA, BABA calls 

 

 

 Thought I'd check in on this:

 

26%  29% FFH

9% BRK.B

10% $

6% USB ($44 to$50 calls on full position)

5%  6% LUV ($35 to$40 calls on full position)

3% 6% NNI (Adding)

5% NTDOY

5% HQI (Adding)

2% 4% HSY (Adding)

2% 4%TOITF

4% ADSK

4% GOOGL

4% DFIN

4% MSGE ($30 CCs on full position)

3% CASH ($50 CCs on full position)

3% HUM

2% CHDN

2% JCI

1-2% in tracking positions - BAC, ASHTY, LHX, META, CPNG calls, BABA, BABA calls 

 

 

 

 

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41% JOE

38% BUR

21% FC

 

Recently out of SWBI given its run over the run over the past 6 months and relative valuation...would renter in low teens. FRFHF, TRC & NC are on deck for me if 1 of my current holdings' stock price outpaced its fundamentals.

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2 hours ago, Kazid said:

41% JOE

38% BUR

21% FC

 

Recently out of SWBI given its run over the run over the past 6 months and relative valuation...would renter in low teens. FRFHF, TRC & NC are on deck for me if 1 of my current holdings' stock price outpaced its fundamentals.

38% to BUR is impressive. I have a small position. Are you hoping for a quick flip from the YPF judgment or is this a longer-term holding for you?

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I've been in BUR since late 2021, but built my position substantially as it later traded in the single digit range, especially last March. BUR has a pretty wide range of value based on a number of factors (YPF outcome, meat company price fixing outcomes, and sustainability of economic profits), and I've adjusted that value as time has gone on, mostly upward as the YPF situation has skewed higher. 

 

Nah, I'm not trying to flip BUR related to the YPF judgement. So many things could happen here, but I'm not convinced we'll see anything definitive within a year or even two with YPF. With that said, if a favorable settlement was announced tomorrow and the stock went to $30 I'd likely trim...but I don't see that as very likely.

 

It's a long-term holding to the extent it stays undervalued, but at present I consider it extremely cheap and trading close to or under liquidation value. If various factors play out favorably, it has the potential to generate very substantial returns from here, but it's hard to say given how many factors are involved. Along the way, it's very volatile and presents opportunities to trade around a bit, which has helped too.

 

Long-winded way of saying probably long-term with some adds and trims along the way, unless the share price rockets.

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On 1/1/2024 at 8:20 PM, Xerxes said:

Here is mine. I barely change much year over year. I don’t use any ETF or funds. Just direct equities. And don’t do trims and shavings.  

 

The first four cover 45% of the portfolio

Asset managers:

FFH/FIH                       17%

Berkshire                     12%

BN/BAM and subs.     8%
Onex                            7%

 

Resources:

Exxon.             6%
Barrick.           3%
Stelco.            2%
Oxy.                1%
 

Technology:

Amazon.             8%
Alphabet.            7%
Mercadolibre.     4%
IAC et al.             2.5%
 

Operating businesses:

Couche Tard.     5%
RTX.                    5%
Walt Disney.       3.5%
GM.                     2.5%

Bombardier.       2.5%

Starbucks.          1%

Curious what your thesis is on MELI and why it's in your tech exposure. Thanks!

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23 hours ago, valueventures said:

Curious what your thesis is on MELI and why it's in your tech exposure. Thanks!

 

Hi Valueventures,

 

To be perfectly frank, i don't follow Mercadolibre that closely.

 

I figured that a management team that build up this juggernaut over 20 years spanning a dozen countries with different jurisdiction, inflation, and other country-specific challenges (a moat one might say) is far better equipped to re-invest that next $1 incremental of value than me going over their 10-K and pretending i understand.

 

So it is on auto-pilot for me,

 

I just lumped inside a technology bucket, but perhaps should be under "operating businesses". I agree that it is more than technology firm as it owns logistics, payment solutions etc.

 

Walt Disney and RTX that I own are also technology companies with a focus in media and A&D. But I put them on operating businesses and not technology. For clarity, i don't target any specific % allocation to any bucket. It is all random.

 

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  • 2 months later...

32% Tobacco (10% BTI, 8% PM, 6% IMB, 5% MO, 3% STG)

25% REITs (5% EPRT, 5% BNL, 3-4% O,AMT,CCI,NXRT,AVB, MAA)

10% MDLZ

5% Evolution AB

8% NCAV Portfolio (KRON,SEER,RPID,AVIR,DSGN,HRBR,HURC,UUU)

9% Puts (7.5% DAX, 0.7% TSLA, 0.7% BA)

10% Cash

Is somebody more defensive than me? 😄

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Over the past 2 years I have simplified my portfolios (just in case I die my wife will have a easier time figuring things out) I sold out of a lot of my  individual stocks that were larger positions. I also took almost all my cash and parked it in index funds. My coffee can portfolio is my Roth IRA which means those positions are small since contributions are capped (I buy one new position per year). When I find a high conviction high return bet I plan to sell out of some of the index funds and purchase up to a 10% position, but so far I haven’t found much that meets both return and conviction criteria.  
 

90% index funds 

1% CI

1% LHX

1% IQV

1% CNI

1% MKL

1% VRSK

1% NNI

1% FRPH

1% OTCM

1% CACI
 

Edited by coffeecaninvestor
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Aimco (AIV) - 4.7% position

Ashtead PLC - 4% position

Vistry PLC - 3.9% position

Caseys General Stores - 4.5% position

Dior - 5% position

Coca Cola Consolidated (COKE) - 4.5% position

CRH - 8% position

Fairfax International (FRFHF) - 9% position

GE Aerospace - 4% position

St JOE (joe) - 10.5% position

KSB AG - 4% position

L'Oreal - 5.5% position

Monarch Cement - 4% position

MSGE - 4% position

New England Realty - 13% position

Progressive Insurance (PGR) - 5% position

Philip Morris International - 7% position

Safran - 5% position

Transdigm - 4.5% position

Tel-Aviv Stock exchange = 9% position

Yellow Corp = 1% position

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11 hours ago, coffeecaninvestor said:

Over the past 2 years I have simplified my portfolios (just in case I die my wife will have a easier time figuring things out) I sold out of a lot of my  individual stocks that were larger positions. I also took almost all my cash and parked it in index funds. My coffee can portfolio is my Roth IRA which means those positions are small since contributions are capped (I buy one new position per year). When I find a high conviction high return bet I plan to sell out of some of the index funds and purchase up to a 10% position, but so far I haven’t found much that meets both return and conviction criteria.  
 

90% index funds 

1% CI

1% LHX

1% IQV

1% CNI

1% MKL

1% VRSK

1% NNI

1% FRPH

1% OTCM

1% CACI
 


1 add per year — even S&P 500 has a dozen new adds per year 🙂

 

I have started using the same coffee an strategy but is buying two names per weeks recently:)

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27 minutes ago, sleepydragon said:


1 add per year — even S&P 500 has a dozen new adds per year 🙂

 

I have started using the same coffee an strategy but is buying two names per weeks recently:)

I had to buy a few positions in the first year as I reallocate the portfolio to equal weight. Honestly it’s pretty hard to not be more active. It’s a new skill to learn to sit on your ass and just watch the market. My circle of investing stocks also shrunk since I am typically either looking for 100 bagger type stocks or 100 year type businesses. That really limits my universe of investable stocks for the coffee can. 

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6 hours ago, WayWardCloud said:

Thanks for sharing your process!

Doesn't reallocating to equal weight go against ever getting a 100 bagger?

I only reallocated once when I started this new approach. I didn’t have to but I just wanted each position to be equal to what my new contributions would be. I had a much more concentrated portfolio before a lot of it was in BRK and a couple others. I won’t rebalance from here on out I will let the winners run and losers fade away. 

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Gotcha! Makes sense 🙂

 

Here is my boring portfolio by the way (whole net worth)

 

3.9% Alphabet (because AI)

47.2% VT (World Stocks ETF)

16.5% VTC (US Bonds ETF)

32.4% Condo in Paris (in the process of being sold)

Edited by WayWardCloud
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While the core of my portfolio is passive (VOO), my active exposure includes the following (ordered from largest to smallest by current MV rather than cost basis):

  • FFH.TO
  • NVDA
  • AMZN
  • AAPL
  • META
  • NNI
  • BRK
  • KKR
  • GRUSF
  • SCR.TO
  • GOOG
  • JOE
  • GLASF
  • TVK.TO
  • IWG

Curious to hear thoughts - I'm a 30-year-old for reference. I'd prefer to have slightly less big tech exposure, but that's mostly a function of 1) significant appreciation and 2) the fact I own them in a taxable account and don't yet see a reason to incur a large cap gains tax. Thanks!

 

Edited by valueventures
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11 minutes ago, valueventures said:

While the core of my portfolio is passive (VOO), my active exposure includes the following (ordered from largest to smallest by current MV rather than cost basis):

  • FFH.TO
  • NVDA
  • AMZN
  • AAPL
  • META
  • NNI
  • BRK
  • KKR
  • GRUSF
  • SCR.TO
  • GOOG
  • JOE
  • GLASF
  • TVK.TO
  • IWG

Curious to hear thoughts - I'm a 30-year-old for reference. I'd prefer to have slightly less big tech exposure, but that's mostly a function of 1) significant appreciation and 2) the fact I own them in a taxable account and don't yet see a reason to incur a large cap gains tax. Thanks!

 


Looks a lot like the “CoFB portfolio” mixed with big tech 😛

 

What’s your cost basis for these out of curiosity?

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