Gregmal

Well, the SPY is up ~7% in the three weeks since this thread was started. Be greedy when others are fearful I guess. Whatdayasay Blakeypoo?

Man! What a start to the week! After groveling like schnooks about largely fabricated “rapist Trump” stuff cuz someone said something 2/3/4 decades ago…Californians would’ve willingly voted for some assclown whom was apparently raping women….a couple months ago? No wonder you can’t take anything out of California serious. I know! I know! How could they have known? It would’ve been impossible to tell given how they’re always so obsessed with anything and everything Donald Trump! But then! Kathy Hochul rushes in, trying to support Mamdamis disaster in progress, and decides she wants to push for taxes on second homes! It really is a pleasure watching these idiots destroy themselves.

Im shocked that none of the usual jerkoffs havent raged about the articles claiming "Trump said Diet Coke prevents cancer!" LMFAO. Maybe theyve started taking tranquilizers? Cuz they sure never learn....

In a way, it's similar to the narrative around a local issue. Here on 30A, theres this nagging hot topic of "customary use". It basically means beaches are private, minus the 5 ft space of wet sand. One of the big cases, involves a fairly famous dude, Backstreet Boy, Brian Littrell. It's presented as if hes a greedy psycho rich guy with private security that quickly confronts anyone walking on the part of the beach thats within his parcel. His adversary, is some supposedly retired lady from Freeport. Freeport meaning she has to drive over the bridge and pass a bunch of public beach access points, to get to the spot she likes to camp out at, on Littrells property. Well, Littrell has sued here in Walton County Court. The predominant "narrative" amongst locals and the media is that Littrell bad, nuisance lady good. They went to court, and eventually the case was dismissed in favor of the lady on a technicality. Littrells lawyers refiled the suite...on and on. Every time, the narrative is "lady destroys greedy backstreet boy in court"...what really occurred? Retired lady who needs Gofundme to pay for her legal expenses, got a case dismissed, and rich backstreet boy who's spending money thats immaterial to him, just tells his lawyer, "rinse, repeat"...if nothing else, just cuz he CAN spend more than this lady. And because in reality, her "victories" and "destroys him in court"'s end up harming her dearly(just like "winning" by "surviving" despite known names being blown up and those anons hiding in bunkers...). While only merely being "annoying" to Littrell. The same narrative vs reality more or less exists with the US/Iran war. Folks need to be sensational and redefine victories based on narratives, not realities. And those that chose to do so and actually believe it, are stupider because of it.

Yup. Just like with Ukraine, the folks swallowing the hand fed hysteria will be left behind.

Eh that’s a wee little bit of a stretch. The odds of the US Navy blowing up Chinese ships was always zero. Expensive demonstration/rhetoric? Sure. Obsolete…almost as bogus as the “Iran winning just by surviving” rhetoric.

As long as there’s disruption to the SOH, the situation is effectively UNCH as far as putting it in stock terms. Theres this vapid instinctual need for many people and outlets to constant assign winners and losers to every single situation. Whether its the US or Iran disrupting things isn’t really relevant other than to the extent that Iran(again pulling this back to the timing being somewhat strategic) having made, an continuing to make lots of neighbors their enemy. Until something on those fronts change, it’s all largely worthless daytime drama tv.

Bullshit. The Twitter guys are saying the US blockade is an ineffective joke.

So when Iran has "the straight closed", and ships are getting through, a certain bunch, carry on a narrative that "Iran holds all the cards"....when the US is blocking it, and some ships get through(apparently, although Im guessing something shoddy like Twitter is the source for this), its a total joke and the straight is "open" and the blockade is ineffective? The purpose of anyone blocking it, is to cause disruption and chaos. Unless you are unilaterally going to destroy anything going thru, and wage war on those respective countries, thats all this is. Does anyone really think the US is going to takeout Chinese ships lmfao? The whole purpose of investment framework is to remove the narratives of bad actors and noise and at least make sure the parameters and framework are solid. Thats why some people here have opinions that are totally worthless, especially when expressed in the politics thread. Sooo.. things like In theory it's exactly what it is. A stunt that just keeps the SOH in a state of disruption. If one really wants to go further, you ask whom benefits from this. This folks drunk on a media narrative have been desperately trying to tell us that Iran benefits as apparently they have "all the time in the world"....I mean maybe the underground bunkers are luxurious, but for a bunch of guys in a game of whackamole....any objective person can call BS on this narrative. Look a little deeper and you see the true beneficiaries of this disruption are....NA O&G exporters.... This is pretty laughable as well. Void of historical knowledge. From a purely tactical standpoint, the risk/reward was actually pretty obviously favorable for taking a shot on Iran. I say this as someone's who's completely opposed to the war. The area where this was utterly stupid was strictly from the position of "Im a republican president with a razor thin margin and mid terms 6 months away"...thats it. From a foreign policy perspective, not only are there numerous examples of real blunders over the 250 years of US existence, but theres also so much evidence that if one wanted to take a shot at Iran, now was a pretty damn good time to try. How? If you look at how those countries operate, this is plain silly. Russia has outright admitted they waited for Biden before going into Ukraine because he was a pushover. But, I get it. The MSM narrative of "AHAH! Trump couldn't end the Ukraine War on Day 1! Putins Puppet!" is powerful....

That’s quite the extrapolation

That’s dark John! Lmfao little sympathy though for a cheating whore or a dirtbag politician running as a “family man” who’s boinking underlings.

You’d think that if we just got rid of Trump everything would be perfect based on the way most whine/act. Swalwell, Gonzalez and 400+ other members of the house plus another 100 from the senate say otherwise.

Man, poor Eric Swalwell. Another liberal hero and darling of California, repping them well!

Man, I need to get an imaginary friend so I too can be outraged when he’s potentially insulted and his deity is called into question!

I have very little personal knowledge of the ME public opinion. However we did used to have a few higher profile clients in places like Oman, Qatar and Dubai. And the general position these people conveyed is that the ME is very serious about being viewed as a modern power. They want to attract capital. They admire the status of the Chinas and US’s and want to be considered a peer. And throughout the region, they’re making great progress. Except for Iran, whom is widely viewed as the proverbial mosquito. Largely run by hardliners, they don’t exactly share the same aspirations as their peers, abrasive and isolationist. Word for word “they’re tolerated”. Would think if any of that sentiment is accurate, the current events are a perfect storm for regional change.

Yup. Isn’t it interesting how only one side gets to mouth off, unabated? Or how they get to find an “expert” whom will tell them exactly what they want to hear, and then go “see, this guy knows what he’s talking about!”? We hear this shit all day. And then if it’s shoe on the other foot, things like bias or credibility of sources all of a sudden matter….I’ll hold my breath til we hear about another “anonymous source” saying Trump said something…

May I ask why? What relevant impact/influence do you see Mike’s focus, as having on macro politics in the US. Thank you

So is this fake news, or is there some explaining to do as far as why this is being completely ignored by the media? At best this would again indicate active collusion to present a negative narrative.

Iran also really has nothing to offer. That’s why they won’t surrender. They think running in front of traffic so to speak will give them leverage, the rest of the world will only tolerate it so long.

No one let anyone off the hook…My “interest” in the whole saga has been consistent for pretty much my entire existence on this site; unlike the meal worms whom all of a sudden got stiffies for pedos in Feb 2025.. Also, we have a legal system and I also think it’s already been explained to you the reason behind the media misrepresentation of “Trump mentioned a million times”. Hint, the emails and convos predominantly had to do with the same shit that every outlet has obsessed over since…drumroll…2015 or so…Trump politics and being president. It’s also pointed out how Epstein used his photos and name dropping of folks like Clinton and Trump to market himself. So we’d think we can agree, that’s it’s dishonest to present things without that context. Which is why us big boys engage, rather than include the mudsuckers who just always take the media fed “line” that fits the narrative of the story they want. Flopped meaning used a separate comment box to address a separate subject, that IMO, only fits appropriately on COBF, in the “politics” thread? Ya got me! I can affirmatively walk and chew gum at the same time!

And I’ll also add, we are talking about the Middle East lol

This is really the best part of it all, that basically 95% of the Epstein roster were….your 90s and 2000s A list Democrats. Them? Trump, Trump, Trump! Since day 1 of Epstein? Nope, the infatuation started February 2025….weird coincidence I guess. Then ask them, how come Merrick Garland never went after Trump, and they slink off like the mutant cocksucking rodents they are! Or just chant, “release the files!” Without any semblance of awareness for context or legal precedent. I don’t know. But it’s funny to watch.

It’s just rhetoric. If I threaten to close a Burger King that’s already closed, who cares? Of course the TDS crowd will miss the “negotiation” aspect of everything, probably hanging on “but I thought it was open”, the same way they keep obsessing over singular words like “obliterated” and stuff, but it’s all just part of the song and dance. Right now it’s basically the world against or neutral vs Iran/Lebanon/few small allies. Shitll get situated, just a matter of whether Trump screwed up doing this so close to midterms which my assumption there is yes he did. Folks can be free to bid up oil or bid down stocks on this drama but the game of hot potato will eventually come to an end. Then like always, it’ll be onto the next drama.

Is this another forecast we can look back on later?

Oh recall Swalwell's rhetoric around Kavanaugh? https://www.facebook.com/calicourier/videos/swalwell-said-multiple-accusers-prove-guilt-in-2018-kavanaugh-comments/890529974037397/