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Posted
13 minutes ago, rogermunibond said:

Tempted to buy some IGV

 

ERP software won't get replaced by AI written software.  There's a lot of hand holding needed to implement these systems.

 

Agreed.  However timing very tricky here - think some things are cheap enough to make it work medium-term, but could see some big drops to come (but equally may not).  Frustrating at the moment.

Posted
13 minutes ago, rogermunibond said:

Tempted to buy some IGV

 

ERP software won't get replaced by AI written software.  There's a lot of hand holding needed to implement these systems.

 

Agreed.  However timing very tricky here - think some things are cheap enough to make it work medium-term, but could see some big drops to come (but equally may not).  Frustrating at the moment.

Posted

Half a large position in CSU. 2-year option on Adobe (13% yearly yield) now-crm 2-year options (16% annual yield) and umg-nintendo 2 year option (12% annual yield)    

Posted
20 hours ago, rogermunibond said:

What are the chances that a SaaS focused pod shop or two are blowing up?

 

Big crack in silver and gold maybe spreading to others? 

 

Selling begets selling!

 

 

Posted
3 hours ago, ASTA said:

Half a large position in CSU. 2-year option on Adobe (13% yearly yield) now-crm 2-year options (16% annual yield) and umg-nintendo 2 year option (12% annual yield)    

Quote

2-year option on Adobe (13% yearly yield) now-crm 2-year options (16% annual yield) and umg-nintendo 2 year option (12% annual yield)    

 

 

What do you mean on above? You mean you wrote covered calls or naked puts? or where is the yield coming into play

Posted (edited)
On 2/3/2026 at 10:42 PM, DooDiligence said:

Replaced some NVO that I sold last month.

 

Jeff [ @DooDiligence ], 

 

Now, second time!

 

Are you - gradually - morphing into become a sentiment swing trader? SD [ @SharperDingaan ] style? -Even the memory of your late Mom at sale, if just the price is right ?

 

-Not posted here to offend you in any way, just asking , - so to say - straight out!

 

-You really have balls here!

Edited by John Hjorth
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, John Hjorth said:

 

Jeff [ @DooDiligence ], 

 

Now, second time!

 

Are you - gradually - morphing into become a sentiment swing trader? SD [ @SharperDingaan ] style? -Even the memory of your late Mom at sale, if just the price is right ?

 

-Not posted here to offend you in any way, just asking , - so to say - straight out!

 

-You really have balls here!

 

Yes. I'll be doing this mostly in non-taxable. That's where the biggest portion of my shares are, including 3/4 of the original 2016 purchase. The shares I bought today are in taxable and I'm hoping to sell off higher basis shares and slowly shrink the position size down a bit in this account.

 

edit: balls are frequently mistaken for lack of brains

Edited by DooDiligence
Posted (edited)
12 hours ago, John Hjorth said:

Are you - gradually - morphing into become a sentiment swing trader? SD [ @SharperDingaan ] style? -Even the memory of your late Mom at sale, if just the price is right ?

 

No morphing, I'm just trying out a new approach that I've termed 'context analysis'. It's essentially a sniff test of a forecast outcome (via a social media feed, technical or fundamental analysis) against an independent supply/demand assessment; if the two conclusions broadly concur, I have something 😅. So far it has worked very well, on pair trades, and one or two others as well 😇.

 

Technical analysis vs supply/demand. The chartists proclaim 'X' if 'Y'! ... but no one looks at the supply/demand of the stock, or the time frame. An earnings announcement with bad news triggers a panic mass sell off on the day ... this dog is utter sh1te! But 10 days later ? ..... it will often be trading at a higher price 😁 Not a lot of risk, and typically, the more who follow the stock, the bigger the change 😇  

 

Scale/active management. Assume a minimum DKK 25,000 per round trip, 50% chance of being right, 1/2 made on the sale and 1/2 on the repurchase. Typically a sale of 50% of the position, ahead of the event. The bigger the resultant expected change, the smaller the position required. To make it work you need a deep and liquid market, to be holding the stock long term, and actively managing ... not really worth it unless there is a lot of volatility.

 

Volatility. The more the better ... so Orange Boy, social media, the press, and blogs for everything in live time! .... are now your friends 😁. NVO is a more modest application .... BTC and oil/gas are a little more aggressive 😇. Different times, different tools, and the more propaganda the better; as in Judo, use your opponent to serve your purpose.

 

Very modest balls, just applied risk management ☺️

    

NVO. The thesis is the weight loss drugs commercialising successfully (the tide coming in); anything on that tide will rise, and by about the same amount. However, waves have peaks and troughs; hence when it's storming, a liner is better than a row-boat (buy quality). Against which ... the longer your hold, the lower the % of stormy days there will be, and the more the thesis will dominate. Stormy days now become your friend ..... 😁   

 

SD

Edited by SharperDingaan
Posted
53 minutes ago, DooDiligence said:

Yes. I'll be doing this mostly in non-taxable. That's where the biggest portion of my shares are, including 3/4 of the original 2016 purchase. The shares I bought today are in taxable and I'm hoping to sell off higher basis shares and slowly shrink the position size down a bit in thi saccount.

 

edit: balls are frequently mistaken for lack of brains

 

This reads awesome!, Jeff [ @DooDiligence ]!

 

I wish I could engage in such deals, transactions, not suffering Danish tax consequenses! Just not the case for me, and my family!

 

Oh well.

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