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Posted (edited)
22 minutes ago, sleepydragon said:

There’s a research from JPM analyst Alex Yao (same analyst who called baba uninvestable) about Chinese cloud, saying SOEs will take more shares away from baba and Tencent.

 

 

 

Interesting - we heard that story before.  I get MS "research" via my retail E*trade account and the analyst is Gary Yu and has an OW on $BABA with a $140 target. I guess I get what I am paying for.

Edited by Spekulatius
Posted
8 minutes ago, Spekulatius said:

 

Interesting - we heard that story before.  I get MS "research" via my retail E*trade account and the analyst is Gary Yu and has an OW on $BABA with a $140 target. I guess I get what I am paying for.

Yeah, I know. And SOEs move like 3x slower than private companies.

 

i also suspected Goldman is selling their SoftBank “put baba” shares. They had a bullish research a couple days ago. Imo, they are going to want to get the share all sold  before the audit results come out. 

Posted

If it’s really Goldman selling the SoftBank shares(just my  speculation ), then these brokers will usually aggressively sell 90%, creating market impact, and then leave a few% long for their own book, waiting it bounce back and profit from it. 

Posted
22 minutes ago, Spekulatius said:

Bought a starter of $KKR and $MKL and a bit $V. Small adds all over the place $USB, $CRM, $PCYO, $IAA.

What's your investment thesis on $MKL

Posted
11 hours ago, Spekulatius said:

@ACooke re TPB I agree with your assessment. It’s one of my biggest losers (in terms of % loss). I have been adding just a little recently, but my concerns with the CEO (no consumer goods experience) prevent me from getting in bigger.

 

I think they should sell or close down the NewGen (vape) business

I agree - they may do so. They've scaled back capex within the seg as far as I'm aware - I guess whether they make a further push or continue winding it down somewhat will depend on the PMTA outcome. Even if they're successful there, I'm not certain a whole lot comes of their in-house brands.

 

I wonder what they could part the seg out for - surely the E-commerce side of it is worth *something*.

 

As for the CEO - there's not many positives I could find spoken about him from his last role although that was mainly from forums and blogs. I can't recall the magazine exactly but it was a motorsport magazine which in his defence - i think any time you move in to a niche, cultish (too strong of a word here but meh) type hobby and start making business-savvy changes - you're asking for push back from fans. Bobby Kotick is probably a good example on a much grander scale.

 

He's certainly an unknown quantity at the very least.

Posted
On 9/20/2022 at 1:58 PM, Gregmal said:

Took some of these off and split the proceeds into Fairfax and some Novembers.

Sold some more of the Octobers and added to MSGS

Posted

A massive brown bear stood outside my window yesterday displaying his furry junk. Then he climbed a 50 foot oak and ate the acorns at the top. I may be confusing the message but I took that as a sign to buy more hard assets:  PCYO and Itafos today.

Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, Cod Liver Oil said:

A massive brown bear stood outside my window yesterday displaying his furry junk. Then he climbed a 50 foot oak and ate the acorns at the top. I may be confusing the message but I took that as a sign to buy more hard assets:  PCYO and Itafos today.

 

LMFAO 😝

Edited by longlake95
Posted
11 minutes ago, Cod Liver Oil said:

A massive brown bear stood outside my window yesterday displaying his furry junk. Then he climbed a 50 foot oak and ate the acorns at the top. I may be confusing the message but I took that as a sign to buy more hard assets:  PCYO and Itafos today.

Excellent! Was it Schiff or Grantham?

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