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Posted

Planetel SpA, small Italian fiber telco which IPO'd in december. Insiders didn't sell a share and own most of the stock. User growth of 20 pct. in 2020, ebitda up 35 pct. y/o/y, long runway for growth and massive margin expansion yet trades at 6,5x21 ebitda versus local peer Intred which is closer to 14x. Analyst has it at 4,4x2022 ebitda. Potential multibagger with a combination of revenue growth, margin and multiple expansion.

Posted

Here's a podcast specifically about this thread:  https://focusedcompounding.libsyn.com/website/ep-304-thoughts-on-10-different-stocks-reits-msgmsgn-and-a-bull-case-for-amazons-stock

Posted (edited)
On 3/5/2021 at 4:51 PM, RichardGibbons said:

Bought some UAN Aug $30 calls.

Because why wouldn't one want to make a leveraged bet on a company whose business strategy is basically "take on huge operational leverage and then wait for fertilizer prices to increase"? Double the leverage, double the fun!

(This describes why UAN is an interesting speculation. Note that the price of UAN32 fertilizer futures have almost doubled YoY, with almost all that increase coming in the past two months. If today's prices hold for six months, I think the options will work out well. If not, they will likely be worthless.)

I rolled these calls over in to UAN AUG $50 calls. The original calls cost $2.60 and I sold them for around $19.

My belief that Canadian capital gains taxes might increase on April 19 played a role in the decision to make the trade right now.

Edited by RichardGibbons
Posted
9 hours ago, KJP said:

Not sure if this is a talk show or what, if any financial background the guys have, but I watched a few minutes because someone sent me a link saying they talked about APTS.

For one, if you look at ~$300M in NOI, and then (incorrectly) look at a $3B EV, and dont conclude this is 1) too good to be true, and 2) something must be off otherwise its the bargain of a lifetime...well, I think that says a lot. It certainly doesnt scream "financially in the know", at least to me. 

Otherwise, this exact process is a big part of the reason PAC is where it is, and the opportunity exists. I mean, people, qualified people, looked at SPG at $50/60/70 post covid crash and wanted nothing to do with it. And thats the cream of the crop, A rated credit company. So its no wonder a company like PAC gets left for dead. Microcap REIT. Still probably listed as externally managed. Profile says MF, retail, and office. $2.5B+ in debt against ~350M in market cap. Cut dividend. Still with me? Well, maybe you are you brave and diligent soul...and then you dig into the filings and boom get the whole $2B+ of preferred dropped on your head....at which point even the most arduous person probably goes, OK, fuck this...pass. Those clouds shall pass though. 

Posted

Small starters in BOMN and Z. The latter of which I finally decided to make the shift from psychologically being a bear and disliking many of the traditional metrics...and realizing that 1) its been a great investment over the years, and 2) if my housing thesis plays out this will be a gloriously good investment. Will see how it goes. 

Posted (edited)

Within the last couple of days, I've :

1. Added to BRK.B,

2. Added to BAM,

3. Added to MC.PA, &

4. Added to SCHO.CPH,

[all, small additions],

Furthermore,

5. Added to NORTHM.CPH, [North Media A/S]

6. Started a new position in SPG.CPH [SP Group A/S], &

7. Started a new position in RTX.CPH [RTX A/S].

- - - o 0 o - - 

All small portfolio movements.

Edited by John Hjorth

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