Jump to content

CorpRaider

Member
  • Posts

    4,009
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by CorpRaider

  1. You're gonna' love the way you look....in cash. I guarantee it! (Not a guarantee. Not investment advice.)
  2. My trend rules in trend + value "strategy" are set to force me to buy soon...feels like a whipsaw is in my future.
  3. I think their creators could possibly take them out if they wanted.
  4. ~(24%) in my "stock picking" account.
  5. He's the spicy chicken worst...
  6. PE5 and Q give you roughly the same answer as of my last check. Prof. Shiller credits Graham appropriately.
  7. I think I kind of get Goosehead; use technology to allow the model to work for smaller $$$ policies/transactions. I've used policy genius a couple of times. But not (remotely) at this price. Interesting model. CBRE and co kind of have more diffuse cohorts on either side of their market making operation, but I suppose they don't have the recurring and mandatory purchase aspects.
  8. Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays!
  9. 100% agree. It seems they're also operated with the non profit goal of generating employment and maintaining state manufacturing capacity. Even if GM tries to make money, many of their huge competitors are not operated for that purpose. Industry is toxic waste no touch pile for me.
  10. I saw that on Bloomberg. RIP.
  11. It seems like you gotta' have some systematic guardrails that give you a chance to catch those right tails and try to get some positive skew don't you? Max 100% down (if you don't average down) and infinity up. The distribution is not normal or random.
  12. Time for WSJ leak.
  13. And then they start getting their asses whipped worse than the Russians. The Chinese soldiers don't want to be there, "what the hell is wrong with the status quo" and the Taiwanese are fighting for amazing lives and they have been preparing for this since WW2 ended.
  14. I like watching real yield but I have recently chastised myself because I feel like he spends most of the show on prediction porn.
  15. Seems like human nature and political impulses might make a similar path fairly likely. "Mission accomplished!" Human confirmation/under reaction/loss or pain aversion = stuff trends.
  16. Oh yeah would be shocked if he's not totally bailing on USB. Not as shocked as I would be if BAC isn't doing much more horrible stuff on a larger scale at this very moment than USB and WFC, particularly in Merrill, but very shocked.
  17. I conjecture that he's dumping USB because of the reported bad activity that to me was basically identical to the WFC stuff. Cockroaches and all that. All things being equal, I think he would prefer Para over DIS because of capital allocation/ownership alignment. DIS just had to put out a presser....about forming a committee.....to look at cost cuts in streaming...LOL for fooks sake. Shari and co tried to sell publishing and sold real estate/HQ and they've also been more rational and less reactionary to wall street wishes about theatre business and arms dealing to Amazon and NFLX imop. They also blew up Hwang and those guys with the timely prefs issuance. Financially sharp, he likes all else being similar. It's also waaaaaaay cheaper and he says a lot of BS but usually he buys stuff pretty damn cheap. Also, it might be Ted.
  18. For all the OXY ink, good lord that CVX position is Buffett, is yuge, and he's still buying. Interesting to see him sell some $BK. Wonder if Paramount is WEB or Ted. Up to 15% of the class. $LPX is kind of interesting given the history with building materials, johns manville, and unforeseen liabilities. Super cheap cyclical, maybe it's Ted.
  19. $6MM of CABO and $60K of MKL.
  20. "Well, I guess I might as well buy some $DIS." - Eeyore
×
×
  • Create New...