What are you buying today?

[Malmqky]

2 minutes ago, Luke said:

Well AMR going down down down...anyone interested?

 

Q1 is going to be bad. I think it'd be prudent to sit tight for now.

 

But yes, still holding and will probably add at some point this year

[Spekulatius]

Starter in PAX and a bit more GOOGL.

[longlake95]

a smidge of TFII

[dipod]

Sold CSPs on CNQ. Attractive value here.

[mananainvesting]

Added to $ACIC

[LC]

ARE

[Grafter]

Some abg 

[Hektor]

1 hour ago, Grafter said:

Some abg 

Hi @Grafter, curious to hear why ABG, if you don’t mind. Thanks

[Grafter]

1 hour ago, Hektor said:

Hi @Grafter, curious to hear why ABG, if you don’t mind. Thanks

 

 Mostly I read the write ups both here and on the dealership industry (I think both lad and ABC over at vic) and believe that directionally either would do.  And then on pull back, dip my toes and usually then sell itm calls on it, which have hefty premiums.

[Hektor]

11 hours ago, Grafter said:

Mostly I read the write ups both here and on the dealership industry (I think both lad and ABC over at vic) and believe that directionally either would do.  And then on pull back, dip my toes and usually then sell itm calls on it, which have hefty premiums.

Thanks 

[CorpRaider]

On 2/28/2025 at 8:54 AM, Kizion said:

 

You added during recent decline? I came across the name in list of future spin offs, and remembered it was mentioned in "best ideas for 2025" topic. 

I haven't.  I'm down about 30% on the position so I should probably think about it.

[Luke]

I am going hardcore long Rheinmetall with leveraged Knockout certificate open end.

[Junior R]

looking to add PAX under $11 if it goes there

[sleepydragon]

sold puts on MSTR, CACI and OXY

[Castanza]

SSD

[Whensthepaintdry?]

I added to Ssd, wcc, and googl

[WayWardCloud]

Added to Alphabet (4%>6%) and started a new position in Microsoft (0%>5%).

 

I want to ride the trend of cloud providers. I don't find their Capex to be as crazy as everyone says when you compare them to the size of the company. They were just under-investing and milking the cow before and now they have a clear path to grow into something big and exciting so they go for it. Rational. Even if AI models end up commodified, serving them will require massive server capacity for LLM inference and for hosting the apps ecosystem built atop. Worse come the worse they decelerate and take a couple of years to grow into their infrastructure investments just like Amazon did when they went too big with their warehouses during COVID, not the end of the world. But that is not at all the scenario I believe into so I'm happy to bet against the bears here. The amount of brain power and talent at these companies we get to own for reasonable-ish valuations is extremely high so good things should keep happening albeit with potholes here and there. Wake me up with the bubble talks if they ever trade at PE 50+

Edited Monday at 09:33 PM by WayWardCloud

[tnathan]

2 hours ago, WayWardCloud said:

Added to Alphabet (4%>6%) and started a new position in Microsoft (0%>5%).

 

I want to ride the trend of cloud providers. I don't find their Capex to be as crazy as everyone says when you compare them to the size of the company. They were just under-investing and milking the cow before and now they have a clear path to grow into something big and exciting so they go for it. Rational. Even if AI models end up commodified, serving them will require massive server capacity for LLM inference and for hosting the apps ecosystem built atop. Worse come the worse they decelerate and take a couple of years to grow into their infrastructure investments just like Amazon did when they went too big with their warehouses during COVID, not the end of the world. But that is not at all the scenario I believe into so I'm happy to bet against the bears here. The amount of brain power and talent at these companies we get to own for reasonable-ish valuations is extremely high so good things should keep happening albeit with potholes here and there. Wake me up with the bubble talks if they ever trade at PE 50+

+1 Agree ... still think Amazon is probably the most attractive as the moat hasn't been touched and people somehow have missed that retail is now operating at 8% margins...

[WayWardCloud]

1 hour ago, tnathan said:

+1 Agree ... still think Amazon is probably the most attractive as the moat hasn't been touched and people somehow have missed that retail is now operating at 8% margins...

Thanks for sharing your thoughts!

How to you calculate the retail margins?

 

I was considering adding Amazon in order to own the whole US cloud and I agree they hold very very good cards, unfortunately I have no confidence in the management since Bezos and his OG team all left at once and that makes it hard to pull the trigger.

 

-Jassy does not seem like he has it in him to CEO. He has not made a significant mark to the business since taking over or even articulated a clear plan. His annual letter sounded like a list of quarterly numbers a branch manager would send to their boss internally rather than a vision.

-They were opening hairdressers and cashier-less stores nobody wanted meanwhile got caught off guard by LLMs.

-Their vision for Alexa 2.0 with AI is completely missing the point in my opinion.

-They've been circling around healthcare for a decade without ever pulling the trigger

-They're behind in self driving cars (Waymo) and robotics (using Nvidia's Omniverse) which they should lead given their logistics roots.

-They insist to run like a startup (day 1) which makes a lot of obviously stupid projects be tried wasting billions instead of accepting it's day 2 and they're a mature behemoth like Tim Cook did at Apple.

 

Good news is that Bezos is apparently back full time and he's focusing on AI. He's an actual freaking genius. Never understood why people think Elon is so smart when CEOs like Bezos, Dimon or Nadella run circles around his k-holed brain. Also EV/EBITDA chart looks like a floor has been reached so this could rebound really nicely quickly. Given that they are the incumbent in cloud it just feels like they have more to lose than to gain and I wouldn't like to have the engineers at Microsoft and Google breathing down my neck. Of course the pie can and probably will just grow for all three. There was just a little bit too much hair in the story for me but I do believe Amazon is a buy at these levels.

[Paarslaars]

9 hours ago, sleepydragon said:

sold puts on MSTR, CACI and OXY

Also sold MSTR puts. Premiums looking good again.

[Luke]

More Rheinmetall

[WFF]

Some OXY, VKTX and hopefully be put some VKTX. 

[Xerxes]

Added CNQ as a new position. 

someone please ping me if this was a great idea or dumb. 

[Eldad]

JDG

 

Pace yourselves. Loooooong way to fall from here. 

[Junior R]

49 minutes ago, Xerxes said:

Added CNQ as a new position. 

someone please ping me if this was a great idea or dumb. 

earnings this week...As long as they don't say anything bad its a good buy ...I would add but waiting for after earnings