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nwoodman

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Everything posted by nwoodman

  1. Fascinating, thanks for posting cheers nwoodman
  2. I thought this was an interesting observation: " A funny thing happens to an index's valuation when you choose not to entirely ignore the companies that have negative earnings (i.e. losses). Ever wondered what the P/E ratio of the Russell 2000 was given that it is full of companies where the 'E' is negative? The answer is simple - and ugly - as The Wall Street Journal exposes, the aggregate P/E of the Russell 2000 is over 200x which perhaps explains the gaping chasm between bond and equity valuations for this highly credit-sensitive cohort." http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/02/28/20160228_rty2_0.jpg http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-28/three-charts-no-small-cap-asset-manager-wants-you-see cheers nwoodman
  3. I share your frustration but that statement is a little extreme. Bank of Ireland has been a great and material investment. However, If they hadn't fixed the insurance companies I would have been long gone, but they seem to be running that part of the business very successfully now. I believe their over all positioning will be roughly right but their timing was very early. It sucked, has been priced in and the more interesting line of thinking is what happens going forwards Cheers Nwoodman
  4. Very impressive sir, well done! A nice set of result all round cheers nwoodman
  5. Confirmed http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/news/AUG1015.pdf Cheers nwoodman
  6. http://news.yahoo.com/warren-buffetts-berkshire-hathaway-nearing-deal-buy-precision-163812149--finance.html Cheers Nwoodman
  7. Not a bad article for ZH. Does a reasonable job of summing up the deflation thesis http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-08-03/largest-financial-departure-reality-human-history Cheers nwoodman
  8. Cripes, that was quick http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/04/15/idUSL5N0XC0QH20150415 cheers nwoodman
  9. Fair point. They seem to be growing into these acquisitions nicely, 1.4b for Zenith and now 1.9 for Brit ;D So much happier to see them picking up quality and market position. Seems like they are a learning organisation after all and near death experiences of years gone by have shaped them (touch wood). cheers nwoodman
  10. What are the chances we look back in a few years and say it was a mute point how they financed it. I think they have just pulled another Zenith. This is a nice set of results! http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/02/25/brit-results-idUSL5N0VZ14620150225 Cheers nwoodman
  11. http://www.fairfax.ca/news/press-releases/press-release-details/2015/Fairfax-to-Acquire-Brit-PLC/default.aspx The Brit Offer Price represents a premium of 11.2% to the closing price of 274.2 pence per Brit Share on February 16, 2015, being the last full business day prior to this announcement. The aggregate purchase price payable by Fairfax for the Offer is approximately US$1.88 billion. On February 12, 2015, Fairfax announced 2014 earnings of approximately US$1.6 billion. Excluding the final dividend expected to be declared by the board of directors of Brit for the year ended December 31, 2014 in an amount of 25 pence per Brit Share , Fairfax's purchase price of 280 pence per Brit Share is less than ten times the company's earnings based on the company's annualized net earnings for the six months ended June 30, 2014. The acquisition is accretive to Fairfax on several metrics including gross revenue per share and investments per share. Fairfax has built a strong relationship with the Brit team and an understanding of their business and operations since the acquisition of Brit's runoff business in June, 2012.
  12. Short article on the pet insurance industry. Nice place for an insurer with a market cap of $10b to play in and hopefully way too small for that "other" company with a slightly larger market cap of $350b http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-13/dogs-loved-like-children-fuel-pet-insurance-sales.html "Makara is among so-called pet parents fueling a $600 million industry in North America that’s growing at triple the pace of U.S. accident-and-health coverage, drawing investment from companies including Toronto-based Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. (FFH) and Nationwide Mutual Insurance Co. Fairfax, run by value investor Prem Watsa, agreed this year to buy Pethealth Inc., North America’s second-largest pet insurer, for C$100 million ($88 million). The Oakville, Ontario-based firm provides pet pharmaceuticals, microchips for animal identification, and insurance that covers everything from behavioral therapy to a reward for the return of a runaway pet. “It’s a nascent industry and demographically it has legs, especially with the adoption of pets as family members,” Fairfax President Paul Rivett said in a telephone interview."
  13. congratulations and keep up the great work Cheers nwoodman
  14. A very tidy quarter. Well done to to all at FFH and so good to see the plan paying off At 1.1x's book with downside protection this is looking cheap again Cheers Nwoodman
  15. Wonderful news. Congrats to all :) Cheers nwoodman
  16. Thanks Gio, looks like regression to the mean might have started on the Russell 2000. I reckon we might get to see some traction on the short side of our favorite long/short "fund" FFH cheers nwoodman
  17. Thanks for this, I really enjoyed it. I haven't had the privilege of hearing John Lace speak before but it has only reinforced my faith in HWIC, grey hairs and a deep understanding of margin of safety is exactly what I am looking for in my largest position. I think he also provides a little more color at the end about the hedges. It has probably been posted already but this is the doco on John Templeton that John Lace mentions http://www.bloomberg.com/video/contrarian-a-documentary-about-john-templeton-aD8U03jnSs2BFr4IuxF~IQ.html thanks again! nwoodman
  18. Results are heading in the right direction http://www.independent.ie/business/bank-of-ireland-ceo-richie-boucher-taxpayer-support-for-the-bank-has-been-rewarded-and-repaid-as-losses-fall-30057063.html Cheers nwoodman
  19. I believe they hold 2,807,463,858 shares and purchased them for 0.1 Euro's each http://www.bankofireland.com/fs/doc/publications/market-news-and-analysis/tr1-notification-fairfax-12-12-13.pdf http://www.lse.co.uk/SharePrice.asp?shareprice=BKIR&share=bank_ireland I would advise steering clear of the LSE chat group as there is a lot of day trading whackiness and aspirational pricing going on ;) Cheers nwoodman
  20. Great article and really enforces the fact that Heins was way out of his league. The fact that Prem backed Heins in the first place is still a mystery to me. The little I have read about Chen certainly gives me hope and hasn't left me squirming the way Heins used to http://thenextweb.com/insider/2013/11/04/5-funniest-things-ex-blackberry-ceo-thorsten-heins-said/ The older I get the more I have come to realise the importance of good management in the overall puzzle. Hopefully Prem's quote comes true and Chen's reputation only grows
  21. Gio so glad it worked out and thanks for sharing. I thought about this thread a few times today and it made me smile. It is an amazing community and culture that Parsad has fostered cheers nwoodman
  22. I am sure you will shoot the lights out just by being your usual enthusiastic, intelligent, thoughtful self. I hope it goes well and enjoy every moment. cheers nwoodman
  23. I am looking forward to to this http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/business-economy-financial-crisis/exclusive-watch-billionaire-steven-cohen-stumble-over-insider-trading-rules/ Coming this winter, FRONTLINE correspondent Martin Smith (The Untouchables, The Retirement Gamble, Money, Power and Wall Street) and producer Nick Verbitsky examine how prosecutors have set their sights on the hedge fund industry. In the process, they’ve dug into the operations and mind-set of billionaire hedge fund manager Steven A. Cohen. FRONTLINE has exclusively obtained a video deposition in which Cohen, who is rarely seen on camera, addresses these issues. He describes federal insider trading laws as "vague," his firm's own trading rules as "general guidelines" and says he gives his traders latitude to use their judgment while making deals.
  24. That made my day, thanks for posting ;D Hopefully it sets a healthy precedent for any further action by Fairfax
  25. Very helpful, many thanks nwoodman
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