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John Hjorth

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Posts posted by John Hjorth

  1. It's pretty striking to me, I would say, that not Browder, nor Kasparov, nor Khodorkovsky has much tangible to add here. Perhaps it's time to just settle with the Winston Churchil quote above posted by @Xerxes, and to shrug.

     

  2. 15 hours ago, dealraker said:

    If you have little cash you'll be posting up stuff that proves (correctly) that about one investor in 100 gets it right going in and out of business (that's the stock market) at the right times.  If you are 50% cash then of course you know the game well, there's probably a few million fear articles out there each week and tons of dudes making hay selling their wares of fear.  Find 'em and post 'em online...you can feel the fear and elevated pulse rates of those reading the sellers who know very well what sells.

     

    And then...oh my lord...there are the Charlie's of the world (that's me) that really don't give a shit about any of it.  And we are this way because we've fucked up trying to be something we aren't (business traders) too many times.  Thus we just gave up playing musical chairs and decided to be in business at all times.

     

    Life is great...if you can stand it.  

     

    Add to that a priori low expectations, and you have a recipe for good life, if one combines it with living below or at your means. None of us need to be the next Warren Buffett to do good.

     

    - - - o 0 o - - -

     

    Perhaps one day, I'll tell the story about *F* here on CoBF [*F* will stay anonymous, unless he may chose to register here on CoBF.]

  3. 10 hours ago, Martian said:

     

    You don’t need individual trade details. You just need the balance of the portfolio on the start date, balance on the end date and the dates and amounts for the deposits and withdrawals.

    Then you can just use XIRR to find the return.

    image.thumb.png.eae3c7db78a2b91f23acc13d1f370b62.png

     

    8 hours ago, brobro777 said:

     

    That's pretty good

     

    thanks man

     

     

     

    To get this calculation right pre tax, you have to include withheld dividend taxes as withdrawals to the calculation. Counterintutitive, but so it is.

  4. 9 minutes ago, Xerxes said:


    No need to be puzzled John. This is infact highly consistent. 
     

    "Russia is a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma" ~ Sir Winston Churchill 

     

    😅 Great one, @Xerxes!,

     

    What do you do to take down a man who takes him self too seriously? You troll him and pull pranks on him, so he looses face.

     

    Twitter : Phillips O'Brien : Ukrainians openly trolling Russian navy .

     

    Twitter : How to pull a prank, saying "Who owns whose a**" [Normally, this phenomen is about cats, not dogs.]

     

     

  5. On 7/3/2023 at 5:28 AM, John Hjorth said:

    Has anybody seen any tangible / solid information about the whereabouts of Yevgeny Prigozhin recently [in the last week]?

     

    Two weeks today since what I have called the coup d'état. Still no *real* [tangible / solid]  information about what's going on inside Russia.

     

    I'm puzzled.

  6. 8 minutes ago, cubsfan said:


    You are SO wrong.

     

    Its the coverup that China unrolled for years, not the lab leak. It’s the coverup.

     

    1 minute ago, crs223 said:

    “US spreads spreads war to push its agenda; COVID leak was an accident”.

     

    “if you like abortion death squads so much, why don’t you move to China?“

     

    It would be nice to getting back to sharing facts.

  7. Bloomberg [July 6th 2023] : Russia Gas Giant Warns of Sanctions Risk for Ukraine Energy Firm.

     

    This has the potential to turn really bad - for both Europe and Russia. I have mentioned the gas pipelines in Ukraine before upstream in this topic and their importance, everyone seem to skip or disregard this matter / issue.

     

    Gazprom PJSC CEO Alexei Miller has for long now looked like something dragged inside the house by the cat, when he has been seen in videos. I think nobody envies him his job. 

     

    Really bad, when international trade gets messed up with geopolitics.

     

    Personally I speculate that this could evolve and escalate into something worse than last autumn and winter in the European gas markets.

  8. Ian Fleming did not know, that what he was "inventing" - making up and thinking up with the use of his imagination and fantasy in 1961 while finishing the manus to Thunderball introducing SPECTRE would end up later to become quite similar to the playbook of Wagner PMC. All, from Russia with love.

     

    A tapeworm, but the logo is clearly an Octopus. It's deeply concerning.

    image.png.cbaa4dbb7a6f779712e32c994086924d.png

  9. Awesome, thank you for sharing, @Spekulatius,

     

    Purpose plausible deniability, and in this week we've got videos on Twitter, where Putin is putting numbers on the "chef" activities, and PMC activities, drowned somewhere in the Russian state budget. I only find it a bit amusing, because I've not been contributing to it.

     

    The man is simply loosing it.

  10. 5 hours ago, Saluki said:

    I have 3 editions, but I'm probably going to order this too. I bought whatever the current edition was in 2000, then bought the new one after. Then I bought a reprint of the original edition which I decided to read but never got around to. I know I have a book problem but compared to gambling, drugs or fight club it's not so bad. 

     

    @Saluki,

     

    I have to say, you're just my kind guy! Yes, it could be a lot worse, including "Wein, weib und gesang", also ref. Charles Mungers comments about leverage, liquor and ladies. I think it's called being a bookworm.

  11. @Xerxes,

     

    I curse you [J/K], now I need to buy that book, too! 😅

     

    - - - o 0 o - - -

     

    Since the war started last year I have been wondering what has happened to that enormous combination of a gas station and construction work in progress called Gazprom and its financing, because there is a lot [many billions of USD] of western financing on the ongoing pipeline constructions. Are these debt obligations being served or what?

  12. 9 hours ago, Castanza said:

    Would you want Wagner with the nuke codes? Somehow that’s  even worse than Putin having that control. ...

     

    There is already a strong reaction from the Baltic states related to the presence of Russian nuclear warheads in Belarus, combined with information of the presence of Jevgenij Prigozjin in Belarus, too.

     

    It's for sure concerning.

  13. Thank you, @gfp,

     

    I looked it up after your post confimed the connection :

     

    Wikipedia : J. B. Pritzker &

    Wikipedia : Pritzker family.

     

    I personally think there's a lot of truth to that speech. It seems impossible to build a civilized society based on law and order by the use of simple and primitive cruelty, suppressing basic human rights, especially if the population does not care about it, and let everything pass, ref. above.

     

    Christ, what a Hellhole Russia has become.

  14. Is this Prizker a member of the family that sold Marmon to Berkshire? Anyways : Here about how to spot an idiot, the relation between idiocy and cruelty, vs. idiocy and kindness, idiots ability even to become elected President etc.

     

    Illinois Governor J. B. Pritzker’s “How To Spot An Idiot” at a Northwestern’s graduation.

     

     

     

     

  15. https://www.linkedin.com/posts/lars-christensen-422793_i-går-talte-jeg-med-god-russisk-ven-han-activity-7079346670341091328-Y6ka?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop

     

    image.thumb.png.c923711758a747fb9decc182fba0d847.png

     

    Translation from Danish to English :

     

    "Yesterday I spoke with good Russian friend. He said something very important to me about the situation in Russia: "Never underestimate the Russians' willingness to deceive themselves".

     

    The words fell as we talked about the events of the weekend and how the Russian people would react to them. We agreed that the events have weakened Putin's reputation among the Russian population and my Russian friend was articularly surprised by how many people had spontaneously taken to the streets of Rostov and cheered Wagner's entry into the city.

     

    But when we talked about what happens next and how the population would react, we agreed on what I have often said - namely that the Russians will not take to the streets against Putin, but they will not take to the streets for Putin either .

     

    Russia is NOT headed for a civil war in the sense that large parts of the population will join a rebellion.

     

    What Russia may be heading for is repeated coup attempts, where different parts of the power structure will go to war with each other. But the population will continue to tell themselves that everything is "normal".

     

    "Never underestimate the Russians' willingness to deceive themselves" - tells everything about what decades - or rather centuries of dictatorship do to a population's ability to think independently. In totalitarian regimes, not thinking about politics becomes a way of survival.

     

    PS for natural reasons I can't share my friend's name. But he is not in Russia anymore. In fact, virtually none of my Russian friends or acquaintances are. Those who can still think are long gone. They will not give up thinking independently, and then they cannot live in Russia."

     

    - - - o 0 o - - -

     

    I personally think there is lot to the above. And thinking about it in that way is really depressing.

  16. I don't know, @Dinar,

     

    I still have a feeling that we are only observing the top of the iceberg. Would I trust any of those two men who were primary actors over the weekend? No, certainly not.

     

    I consider them both thugs and criminals. They both have blood not only on their hands, but all over themselves, they both don't give a damn how many lives of young Russian or Ukrainian men are lost in this madness. Remember the sledgehammer video?

     

    I did not read an amnesty to Yevgeny Prigozhin in the subtitles, more the opposite, I think [, but does that even matter anything?].

     

    - - - o 0 o - - -

     

    Do you consider the translation OK here, @Dinar? Thank you.

     

    - - - o 0 o - - -

     

    Aleksandr Lukasjenko has postponed his speech to tomorrow.

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