Rainier Posted February 20 Posted February 20 9 hours ago, Saluki said: Small nibbles to VG, XIPR and TalkMD. What is XIPR?
shhughes1116 Posted February 20 Posted February 20 2 hours ago, Rainier said: What is XIPR? Did you guys mean XIFR, the new name for the bombed out Nextera Energy Partners?
Saluki Posted February 20 Posted February 20 28 minutes ago, shhughes1116 said: Did you guys mean XIFR, the new name for the bombed out Nextera Energy Partners? Yes, it was a typo. New ticker for Nextera energy partners. It dropped so much after the dividend was cut to zero that it looked good again. Probably take a year or two to see some price improvement but I can nibble along the way.
Rainier Posted February 20 Posted February 20 31 minutes ago, Saluki said: Yes, it was a typo. New ticker for Nextera energy partners. It dropped so much after the dividend was cut to zero that it looked good again. Probably take a year or two to see some price improvement but I can nibble along the way. Thanks; sorry I should have picked up that it was NextEra. And thanks for the analysis on it from a few weeks ago - I didn’t know anything about it prior to that. It’s interesting and I’ve been thinking about a small position. I do wonder what stops them from just getting themselves back into the same situation again over the long-term (over leveraging with CEPFs). Maybe they’ll be more disciplined. But I guess the reality is that this is probably a 2-5 year story with constant re-assessing, not something to buy and put in a coffee can.
Castanza Posted February 20 Posted February 20 (edited) JOE, FRFHF, RTO last few weeks FRFHF - 30% Cost Basis up to ~900 JOE - 15% MSFT - 13% RTX - 11% RTO - 6% GOOGL - 5% CNSFW - 5% TOITF - 5% cash = 10% dropped MELI, DHLGY, CPRT, WFG, BRK.b, NTDOY Trackers - SSD, CB, NTDOY (probably gonna regret trying to trade this) Edited February 20 by Castanza
Paarslaars Posted February 20 Posted February 20 All these traders selling a great long term company like Nintendo... You guys are crazy!
Gregmal Posted February 20 Posted February 20 Well how many of you guys have Nintendo weighted north of 20%? Like I said in another thread, if it’s a 5% position, then yea what’s the point in trimming? But at larger levels sometimes it’s just about managing the size.
cubsfan Posted February 20 Posted February 20 13 minutes ago, Gregmal said: Well how many of you guys have Nintendo weighted north of 20%? Like I said in another thread, if it’s a 5% position, then yea what’s the point in trimming? But at larger levels sometimes it’s just about managing the size. Not me - but I got to love the confidence! At least enough to make it interesting for me.
Paarslaars Posted February 20 Posted February 20 Yeah wasnt referring to you cutting 20%, you mentioned it was position sizing. For me it is currently 24% of my personal portfolio, most of the position was bought in the 5000-7000¥ region. Though this equates to roughly 15% of the combined portfolios so I guess I am still undersized.
Castanza Posted February 20 Posted February 20 18 minutes ago, Paarslaars said: All these traders selling a great long term company like Nintendo... You guys are crazy! If it was in my brokerage sure, but I held it in my Roth so I have no problem flexing in and out of tax free positions (Brk.b as well). NTDOY, love it long term, but the stock has gone up ~30% in a month on news that isn't all that new imo. Great future and great business moves. @Gregmal After the runup this was getting close to 12% for me. If it wasn't in my Roth I likely wouldn't have trimmed. Debated trimming to just 5% but figured why not with how this thing swings around (famous last words).
Gregmal Posted February 20 Posted February 20 Haha yea I’m somewhat joking around but I think trading around the core to a certain degree is helpful. Ive had a ton of stuff that’s worth having a position in but too much capital tied up in stuff I already like, so perhaps its boredom driving me but I want to own a few more things and ringing the register a bit to do so accomplishes that. I would be pissed if Nintendo went back to $12-14 and I didn’t at least have a little to show for it.
chenisheng Posted February 20 Posted February 20 1 hour ago, Gregmal said: Well how many of you guys have Nintendo weighted north of 20%? Like I said in another thread, if it’s a 5% position, then yea what’s the point in trimming? But at larger levels sometimes it’s just about managing the size. 5% for me, but wish I went 10% when the CEO confirmed backwards compatibility
lnofeisone Posted February 20 Posted February 20 1 hour ago, Eng12345 said: BAH What's your thesis? BAH is a total mess internally. They are losing contracts and people are jumping ship. BAH is also pure gov play and don't have commercial contracts to offset (unlike ACN which lost $1.5B or so of contracts already).
brobro777 Posted February 20 Posted February 20 1 hour ago, Gregmal said: Haha yea I’m somewhat joking around but I think trading around the core to a certain degree is helpful. Ive had a ton of stuff that’s worth having a position in but too much capital tied up in stuff I already like, so perhaps its boredom driving me but I want to own a few more things and ringing the register a bit to do so accomplishes that. I would be pissed if Nintendo went back to $12-14 and I didn’t at least have a little to show for it. My gambler's crystal ball sez... there's a better than 66.7% chance that you can buy back at a significant enough discount to make it worth your while sometime during the next 2 years!
sleepydragon Posted February 20 Posted February 20 1 hour ago, lnofeisone said: What's your thesis? BAH is a total mess internally. They are losing contracts and people are jumping ship. BAH is also pure gov play and don't have commercial contracts to offset (unlike ACN which lost $1.5B or so of contracts already). How about CACI?
lnofeisone Posted February 20 Posted February 20 1 hour ago, sleepydragon said: How about CACI? BAH has something like 35% of their portfolio in civilian, and a lot of them are getting hit very hard (cfpb is $0 now). CACI is a bit more insulated because of its technology play but some of their service contracts are looking weak (e.g., part of USCIS that handles inbound immigration, etc.).
Paarslaars Posted February 20 Posted February 20 6 hours ago, Castanza said: dropped MELI Unfortunate timing...
Mephistopheles Posted February 20 Posted February 20 On 2/4/2025 at 2:15 PM, Spekulatius said: What about opening an account with library and get online access for free? Part of my stingy me dies when I see people spending on things that are freely available. How do you get this? I am in NYC and I can't figure out how to access value line online via my library. It looks like I have to go in to look at it in person.
sshr Posted February 20 Posted February 20 25 minutes ago, Mephistopheles said: How do you get this? I am in NYC and I can't figure out how to access value line online via my library. It looks like I have to go in to look at it in person. https://investors.valueline.com/Users/Account/barcode?urlid=36d77dbc-ee20-4592-ab24-094acdc178d5&=2&o=research&lp=secure%2fdashboard Here's the Value Line link from NYPL. You will need the bar code number from your library card. Get the library card, if you haven't already. Or apply for a digital card if you don't want to visit a branch. https://www.nypl.org/help/library-card
Mephistopheles Posted February 20 Posted February 20 (edited) 25 minutes ago, sshr said: https://investors.valueline.com/Users/Account/barcode?urlid=36d77dbc-ee20-4592-ab24-094acdc178d5&=2&o=research&lp=secure%2fdashboard Here's the Value Line link from NYPL. You will need the bar code number from your library card. Get the library card, if you haven't already. Or apply for a digital card if you don't want to visit a branch. https://www.nypl.org/help/library-card Ah. thank you! I do have a card. I just had no idea we can do this. This is huge! Much appreciated Just curious, where did you get the link? Edited February 20 by Mephistopheles
Castanza Posted February 20 Posted February 20 2 hours ago, Paarslaars said: Unfortunate timing... Haha bummer! Was just a few shares a few shares though so nbd
Eng12345 Posted February 21 Posted February 21 5 hours ago, lnofeisone said: What's your thesis? BAH is a total mess internally. They are losing contracts and people are jumping ship. BAH is also pure gov play and don't have commercial contracts to offset (unlike ACN which lost $1.5B or so of contracts already). Honestly? I am no fan of the company and don't see it ever being a core holding. That said, I am of the opinion that despite all the hub bub surrounding all these different offices closing etc, most of the governmental work will still have to be done. Furthermore, there is a long history in the US of contractors ripping off the government. I expect that to continue or expand and no single administration is capable of changing that beast. Purely think it is oversold on a bunch of nothingburger nonsense. That's my thoughts from a macro view. To be honest, I haven't dove too much into the micro view yet.
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