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Posted

It's interesting how the media was claiming that his party was going to lose seats.  It reminds me of the reporting in the US before the Trump victory in 2016.   If polls were really scientific there shouldn't be surprises like this.   It is either that polls don't work anymore (maybe people don't answer unknown numbers, so the polls aren't taking an accurate representative sample of the voting population), or it is direct lying by a manipulative media.  My guess is a little of both.  I think it is a good thing that there is no way to accurately poll the opinions of the public anymore.  Politicians will have to start saying what they actually think rather than polling the public and simply parroting what the public wants to hear to get elected.

 

Posted

I think the problem is polls have been politicized.

A well designed poll is representative.

A poll designed to drive a specific outcome may not be. Process vs. outcome

  • 1 month later...
Posted

It seems like Europe is intent on making the mistakes of Latin America of the past (Peronists, etc) while Latin America itself is turning a corner. Perhaps I should consider investing in Latam over Europe...

 

 

 

 

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