gfp Posted July 10 Posted July 10 (edited) 24 minutes ago, james22 said: Yes, I want the leverage. What is today's fully diluted market cap of MSTR compared to the $13 Billion USD worth BTC they own? (I tried to figure it out on my own. Best I can come up with is fully diluted $28 Billion market cap for $13 Billion worth of BTC currently.) Edited July 10 by gfp
james22 Posted July 10 Posted July 10 42 minutes ago, gfp said: What is today's fully diluted market cap of MSTR compared to the $13 Billion USD worth BTC they own? (I tried to figure it out on my own. Best I can come up with is fully diluted $28 Billion market cap for $13 Billion worth of BTC currently.) What's MSTR's future earnings growth?
gfp Posted July 10 Posted July 10 2 minutes ago, james22 said: What's MSTR's future earnings growth? I don't know. You tell me! What is your expectation? Separately - does that math look right on a fully diluted market cap today? Around $28 Billion fiat dollars? Or is the future so bright you don't even bother with such details?
james22 Posted July 11 Posted July 11 1 hour ago, gfp said: I don't know. You tell me! What is your expectation? Separately - does that math look right on a fully diluted market cap today? Around $28 Billion fiat dollars? Or is the future so bright you don't even bother with such details? I'm pretty committed to the simple belief that BTC is a product Fink/Blackrock will successfully sell (as they did MBS and ESG). I don't need to speculate beyond that to justify the position. And since I don't know how to value a company doing something that has never been done before, I just accept that the Market has traded it like a leveraged BTC fund. That works for me.
Xerxes Posted July 11 Posted July 11 On 7/10/2024 at 4:29 PM, james22 said: 50% MSTR 35% BRK 7.5% Money Market Fund 2.5% Info Tech ETF 2.5% Small Value ETF 2.5% Energy ETF You are bold sir. I recall your portfolio's largest component was Berkshire at 40% (if i am not remembering wrong.) with the rest being ETFs (i think) Now the largest is MSTR at 50%
james22 Posted July 11 Posted July 11 1 hour ago, Xerxes said: You are bold sir. We'll see. Age 60, four years into retirement, dependent upon my portfolio, I'm only betting what I can afford to lose. But just seems like a unique opportunity. Not often a new asset class is created.
Xerxes Posted July 12 Posted July 12 15 minutes ago, james22 said: We'll see. Age 60, four years into retirement, dependent upon my portfolio, I'm only betting what I can afford to lose. But just seems like a unique opportunity. Not often a new asset class is created. A+
frommi Posted July 12 Posted July 12 Its a little late for April fools day . @james22 that was a joke, right?
james22 Posted July 12 Posted July 12 8 hours ago, frommi said: Its a little late for April fools day . @james22 that was a joke, right? Ha. Ask me next year.
Saluki Posted July 12 Posted July 12 Not much change in the larger positions, but new small/mid position in MSCI, FRPH, KRKNF, and ENPH. The right tail is usually things I buy a few shares in while I study them and then add to them or replace them with something else that looks interesting and needs more research.
Xerxes Posted July 12 Posted July 12 12 minutes ago, Saluki said: Not much change in the larger positions, but new small/mid position in MSCI, FRPH, KRKNF, and ENPH. The right tail is usually things I buy a few shares in while I study them and then add to them or replace them with something else that looks interesting and needs more research. is there a hidden message about Kraken Robotics ? the only one not in capital letter
Saluki Posted July 12 Posted July 12 2 minutes ago, Xerxes said: is there a hidden message about Kraken Robotics ? the only one not in capital letter No, I exported this data from my Merrill account, which won't let me buy Kraken, so I looked at the position size in my other brokerage account and typed it in the excel sheet by hand. In that other account JOE is probably another 1.5% also, but otherwise it's accurate.
MungerWunger Posted July 13 Posted July 13 (edited) I am fairly concentrated in Constellation Software like some of the other forum members on here. Edited July 13 by MungerWunger
Castanza Posted August 6 Posted August 6 (edited) The last year I’ve really whittled down my holdings. I’m about ~20% cash right now and have a few odds and ends positions/ trackers left in things like FRP, DEO, some HA puts from beginning of the year, …and the stubborn SBERCY In order of size MSFT RTX FRFHF BRK.b JOE GOOGL AIV NNI OXY CPRT WFG Edited August 6 by Castanza
Dinar Posted August 6 Posted August 6 Aimco (AIV) Ashtead plc (AHT LN) Vistry Group plc (VTY LN) Chubb (CB) Casey's general stores (CASY) Christian Dior (CDI FP) Clipper (CLPR) Coca cola consolidated (COKE) CRH (CRH) Fairfax Financial (FRFHF) GE Aerospace (GE) St Joe (JOE) Hawkins (HWKN) KSB (KSB3 GR) L'Oreal (OR FP) Monarch Cement (MCEM) Madison Square Garden (MSGE) New England Realty (NEN) Progressive (PGR) Philip Morris International (PM) Safran (SAF FP) Short Talen Energy August 115 puts (TLN) Tel Aviv Stock Exchange (TASE IT) Transdigm (TDG) Visa (V)
Longnose Posted August 7 Posted August 7 On 8/6/2024 at 2:08 PM, Dinar said: Aimco (AIV) Ashtead plc (AHT LN) Vistry Group plc (VTY LN) Chubb (CB) Casey's general stores (CASY) Christian Dior (CDI FP) Clipper (CLPR) Coca cola consolidated (COKE) CRH (CRH) Fairfax Financial (FRFHF) GE Aerospace (GE) St Joe (JOE) Hawkins (HWKN) KSB (KSB3 GR) L'Oreal (OR FP) Monarch Cement (MCEM) Madison Square Garden (MSGE) New England Realty (NEN) Progressive (PGR) Philip Morris International (PM) Safran (SAF FP) Short Talen Energy August 115 puts (TLN) Tel Aviv Stock Exchange (TASE IT) Transdigm (TDG) Visa (V) whats your approximate weighting towards CASY? Been intrigued by them recently. Bought a small position to track them while i study it out further.
Dinar Posted August 7 Posted August 7 15 minutes ago, Longnose said: whats your approximate weighting towards CASY? Been intrigued by them recently. Bought a small position to track them while i study it out further. CASY is roughly 4.3% of my portfolio, however my cost basis = $271 from 01/31/2024, and at inception on 01/31/2024, it was around 3.5% of my portfolio.
Longnose Posted August 7 Posted August 7 2 minutes ago, Dinar said: CASY is roughly 4.3% of my portfolio, however my cost basis = $271 from 01/31/2024, and at inception on 01/31/2024, it was around 3.5% of my portfolio. Good 7 months
Eldad Posted August 7 Posted August 7 On 7/13/2024 at 4:20 PM, MungerWunger said: I am fairly concentrated in Constellation Software like some of the other forum members on here. This is beautiful. I have the cowards version of this. 11.5% CSU, 11.25% BRK, 6% GOOGL, 6% TVK, 5.5% MKL then a lot of your smaller ones in similar sizes. Thinking strongly about taking TVK to 10% if it goes below $50 US.
Onefoothurdles Posted August 7 Posted August 7 Im fairly concentrated in my portfolio right now not out of strategy or conviction but because my top 2 positions have run up quite a lot in the last 2 years (while every other position has gone the other way ). WEBSOL.IN 70% DFIN 12% LICT 3% THRY 2% BATS 1% PX 1% Misc postions 8% Cash 2%
Xerxes Posted August 8 Posted August 8 On 8/6/2024 at 4:08 PM, Dinar said: Aimco (AIV) Ashtead plc (AHT LN) Vistry Group plc (VTY LN) Chubb (CB) Casey's general stores (CASY) Christian Dior (CDI FP) Clipper (CLPR) Coca cola consolidated (COKE) CRH (CRH) Fairfax Financial (FRFHF) GE Aerospace (GE) St Joe (JOE) Hawkins (HWKN) KSB (KSB3 GR) L'Oreal (OR FP) Monarch Cement (MCEM) Madison Square Garden (MSGE) New England Realty (NEN) Progressive (PGR) Philip Morris International (PM) Safran (SAF FP) Short Talen Energy August 115 puts (TLN) Tel Aviv Stock Exchange (TASE IT) Transdigm (TDG) Visa (V) Hi Dinar i don’t know if this can be shared. what is the combined % of GE Aerospace, TDG and SAFRAN
Ross812 Posted August 8 Posted August 8 14 hours ago, Onefoothurdles said: Im fairly concentrated in my portfolio right now not out of strategy or conviction but because my top 2 positions have run up quite a lot in the last 2 years (while every other position has gone the other way ). WEBSOL.IN 70% DFIN 12% LICT 3% THRY 2% BATS 1% PX 1% Misc postions 8% Cash 2% I've seen DFIN pop up on this thread with some decent allocation. I'm at 7%. The investment ideas DFIN thread has almost no engagement!
Dinar Posted August 8 Posted August 8 7 hours ago, Xerxes said: Hi Dinar i don’t know if this can be shared. what is the combined % of GE Aerospace, TDG and SAFRAN Roughly 14% at market. I would not be a buyer of TDG here, although I continue to hold and I think it will do quite well, just not as cheap as GE Aerospace and Safran both of which I would buy today if suddenly a pile of cash fell into my lap.
Onefoothurdles Posted August 9 Posted August 9 13 hours ago, Ross812 said: I've seen DFIN pop up on this thread with some decent allocation. I'm at 7%. The investment ideas DFIN thread has almost no engagement! Started buying since late 2021 ($16-17) and traded in and out over 2024. Agree, there isn't much coverage on here and on fintwit, but ~3.5x on a ~4yr holding is not too shabby - certainly compensated for some of the many other dumb decisions I made over that same period
coffeecaninvestor Posted September 20 Posted September 20 (edited) On 6/15/2024 at 8:23 AM, coffeecaninvestor said: Over the past 2 years I have simplified my portfolios (just in case I die my wife will have a easier time figuring things out) I sold out of a lot of my individual stocks that were larger positions. I also took almost all my cash and parked it in index funds. My coffee can portfolio is my Roth IRA which means those positions are small since contributions are capped (I buy one new position per year). When I find a high conviction high return bet I plan to sell out of some of the index funds and purchase up to a 10% position, but so far I haven’t found much that meets both return and conviction criteria. 90% index funds 1% CI 1% LHX 1% IQV 1% CNI 1% MKL 1% VRSK 1% NNI 1% FRPH 1% OTCM 1% CACI Updating my Holdings Market Value %NW %Portfolio CASH 0.1% 0.1% CACI 0.6% 0.9% CI 0.7% 1.0% LHX 0.7% 1.0% IQV 0.6% 0.9% CNI 0.5% 0.8% MKL 0.6% 0.9% VRSK 0.7% 1.0% NNI 0.6% 1.0% FRPH 0.5% 0.8% OTCM 0.5% 0.7% CVS 0.1% 0.2% JNJ 4.6% 7.0% NSRGY 4.4% 6.7% RTO 5.0% 7.6% Index Funds 45.9% 69.3% Primary Home 33.8% Edited September 20 by coffeecaninvestor correction to excel formula
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