Political Posts

[John Hjorth]

17 hours ago, Gregmal said:

Ok. One more try. 
 

There have been these head scratching theories, some posted here, I think @whiskybravo linked to a Doomberg one, and then the post from @Viking that you quoted, that suggest the US is running out of weapons after like 2 weeks of this. 

 

Thank you for having patience with me,  Greg [ @Gregmal ].

 

I have no knowledge about US weapon or ammo inventories, so I can't contribute on the matter.

Edited March 13 by John Hjorth

[Parsad]

1 hour ago, dealraker said:

And despite his faults, Trump is one of the most unsuccessful Americans in history.  Reconcile that.

 

1 hour ago, dealraker said:

And despite his faults, Trump is one of the most unsuccessful Americans in history.  Reconcile that.

 

You both could be right! 

 

Doesn't matter at this point how he did it...but the resume is impressive...I mean the shit he beat in the courts alone surpasses anything Capone was able to do!  He's President  of the United States...twice!

 

On the other hand, would Reds want his daughter to marry a guy like this?  A question Buffett has often referred to.  I think you have your answer!

 

Cheers!

[Parsad]

55 minutes ago, 73 Reds said:

May I offer some friendly advice?  Disconnect for a day or two.  It might help improve your mood.

 

19 minutes ago, dealraker said:

Reds, I am sitting on a log at The Ridge Cycle Hub laughing with two co workers, both about my age.  We are trail workers and building an addition on the mountain bike trail we began here not long ago.  We have ten miles.  For the most part I run the Cat skid steer...but I get off and chop roots and help place rock amouring in the low places for erosion control.

 

And I'm laughing and discussing what I am sending you with them.  I have never-ever in my life associated with anyone less aware of himself than you Reds. 

 

I'll be riding 10 miles with my co-workers shortly.  They both use e-bikes while ole dealraker is on the analog version - me...the only source of power.

 

Life is great Red.  Trump is a fucking GD idiot regardless.  The dumbest child in the class?  That's our Pres!

 

 

 

 

 

Deal is actually on here a lot less than you Reds...try some of your own medicine.  In fact, I encourage everyone to take a little break from time to time...far more to life than politics!

 

The only guy who doesn't need to take a break is Greg...no changing that mood...it's always on Pappy's every weekend!    Cheers!

[Xerxes]

15 minutes ago, Mephistopheles said:

 

I agree with all of this. I think the harm to the Gulf states isn't talked about enough, to your point the evaporation of tourism and Dubai in particular being a major trade/business center and getaway for the wealthy.

 

The IRGC doesn't have a central command right? Their goal is to disrupt the West, not do what's best for their people of course. My concern is: what kind of ceasefire deal would be palatable to the Gulf? And why would Iran even make a deal when they don't mind sacrificing their own people, and where there is no central authority? Trump will likely declare victory and leave. Israel will be satisfied at significantly diminishing the regime.

 

But for the Arab Gulf states, nothing short of complete defeat of the IRGC would bring back wealthy foreigners IMO. Why would anyone travel to Dubai, even after a ceasefire, if the IRGC is still in charge? May take years of no conflict/violence for people to return.

 

So now the Arabs will need the U.S. to provide ground troops. Nothing short of a major terror attack will make this politically possible in the U.S. 

 

Scary world.

 

 

Even though Khamenei disastrous foreign policies have largely been responsible for losses and misfortune that IRGC had to endure, there was always deference toward him by the IRGC, the institution. Maybe because when Khameni took over back in 1989, he had no base of his own, so he allied himself with IRGC and a mutual reliance developed. 
 

That is why no matter who is now the new leader, never again so much power will be allowed to be concentrated in one institution (Leader office). 

Which means despite the non-sense coming from Mojtaba (assuming he is actually around) IRGC is now free to chart a course of its own. What course that remains to be seen. It is an institution with many stakeholders, some commercially driven, some ideologically driven.
 

They need to duke it out, what is important to them. 
 

 

[Xerxes]

Btw I have no doubt that tourism will come back .. it always does. 
 

The effect I think is more trade and capital investment. For instance the aspiration to turn into a AI hub. Things like that. Emirates Airline may not be a long haul network of first choice. Other hubs like Bangalore, Istanbul and other major airport will pick up long haul traffic, that has been so over concentrated in the Gulf region. A rebalancing. 

[dealraker]

35 minutes ago, Parsad said:

 

 

Deal is actually on here a lot less than you Reds...try some of your own medicine.  In fact, I encourage everyone to take a little break from time to time...far more to life than politics!

 

The only guy who doesn't need to take a break is Greg...no changing that mood...it's always on Pappy's every weekend!    Cheers!

The reason I was on this morning is relevant to our Meta stock ownership Sanjeev...LOL.  One of the guys says to me as we were taking a break, "Did you see the 80% off Specialized (Specialized is the world's largest cycling co) sale on Facebook?"  I quickly responded, "Let me check before you go there...I'll bet it is a fraud!"  And of course the sale was incredible, items of top class were marked down unbelievably.  Wasn't too much longer until the Facebook post was still up but the link was non-working, I guess at least this time Facebook got going as to taking the fake site down- a bit faster than in most cases as to cycling and FB.  

 

So I was flipping around...and now eating lunch getting ready to ride!  

 

I find great interest in following DJT.  There's nothing like him anywhere else in my lifetime, nothing as obviously different that what's attempted as to presentation.  But he sells: he always has sold well to some, generally an in-and-out crowd until today's cult came about.  It was best to observe him and stay far away, but today no one has any choice in the matter.

 

The inevitable harm it brings will be interesting.  But hell my insurance broker stocks are down such that I'm laughing out loud about just anything these days.  As I say, "Life is great...if you can stand it!"   Meanwhile just practicing using my thumbs on my phone.  I saw the young people doing it, took me years to get here so I'm gonna stay in practice!

[John Hjorth]

3 minutes ago, Parsad said:

On the other hand, would Reds want his daughter to marry a guy like this?  A question Buffett has often referred to.  I think you have your answer!

 

Cheers!

 

This is funny!

 

Been there, tried that!

 

The daugther of of Lady of House was married to a completely idiotic guy - likely good in the hay <noo, John, you diden't say that!>, that when she finally told him that she wanted a divorse, he wen't totally beserk, took all her shoes and her three LVMH bags, and other stuff!

 

-Bahh-buhh, bahh-buhh, emergency, GFC-like cash injections to daugther to keep her standing up on fer feet with her beautiful kiddo in a new setup for themselves.

 

Next thing happening, she informs us about what her insurance claim got her. The insurance company even had a private detective on the guy, to no avail, so it gave up and paid out. I was so surprised : Full replacement costs for the LVMH bags! The taxator had said to her, that they were likely worth more used than new, but she had to settle with new ones.

 

Then I said to her : 'Now you have to pay - partly - your debt to your mom with the funds, forget the difference in your favour, for us all to get this over with, so we can move on.' Reply : 'No, these funds are mine'.

 

She used them to pay a consumer loan of hers instead.

 

I got so stinking furious, that it ended with a judge teaching her the concept of 'mine' applies to both assets and debt. I call it full consolidation, Brookfield style! Then loosened up a lot, made a for her reasonable agreement about installment over some years, with interest. Instead of further dipping her in tar and rolling her in feathers.

 

She is paying exactly timely, every month. Not much left.

 

Honestly, I was a mentally like a flossy, worn out carpet in a period after this, that I had to demonstrate how I am, when it comes to that, so far out, and the Lady of the House was heartbroken.

 

I was starting to think 'How do we recover from this?'

 

Then it came to me : 'Get up standing again on your feet by the tree where you have fallen.' I started buying LVMH, naturally!

[Gregmal]

55 minutes ago, Parsad said:

On the other hand, would Reds want his daughter to marry a guy like this?  A question Buffett has often referred to.  I think you have your answer!

I mean, Buffett aint one to talk there....

[Parsad]

2 minutes ago, dealraker said:

The reason I was on this morning is relevant to our Meta stock ownership Sanjeev...LOL.  One of the guys says to me as we were taking a break, "Did you see the 80% off Specialized (Specialized is the world's largest cycling co) sale on Facebook?"  I quickly responded, "Let me check before you go there...I'll bet it is a fraud!"  And of course the sale was incredible, items of top class were marked down unbelievably.  Wasn't too much longer until the Facebook post was still up but the link was non-working, I guess at least this time Facebook got going as to taking the fake site down- a bit faster than in most cases as to cycling and FB.  

 

So I was flipping around...and now eating lunch getting ready to ride!  

 

I find great interest in following DJT.  There's nothing like him anywhere else in my lifetime, nothing as obviously different that what's attempted as to presentation.  But he sells: he always has sold well to some, generally an in-and-out crowd until today's cult came about.  It was best to observe him and stay far away, but today no one has any choice in the matter.

 

The inevitable harm it brings will be interesting.  But hell my insurance broker stocks are down such that I'm laughing out loud about just anything these days.  As I say, "Life is great...if you can stand it!"   Meanwhile just practicing using my thumbs on my phone.  I saw the young people doing it, took me years to get here so I'm gonna stay in practice!

 

DJT is like those fake Facebook ads...unfortunately, we can't just delete the ad!  

 

I had a ton of cash in my trading accounts trying to figure out where to put it for the last 5 months.  So, his chaotic behavior gave me a fine opportunity to put much of those funds to work. 

 

For me...I'm quite pleased this volatility appeared, and it is relatively short term compared to a major recession or something...which I'm sure is also down the road, and will be blamed on whichever Democrat or Republican who wins the next election!

 

Cheers!  

[cubsfan]

1 hour ago, 73 Reds said:

I think jeolousy weighs in a lot.  He's got everything they don't:  Power, money, influence - many of the signs most people attribute to "success".  And for now he is calling the shots and they have to take them.  Reality sucks sometimes.  

 

That's exactly what it comes down to --- no political power -- rejected by the public --- so all you can do is bitch, bitch, bitch.

[Parsad]

2 minutes ago, John Hjorth said:

 

This is funny!

 

Been there, tried that!

 

The daugther of of Lady of House was married to a completely idiotic guy - likely good in the hay <noo, John, you diden't say that!>, that when she finally told him that she wanted a divorse, he wen't totally beserk, took all her shoes and her three LVMH bags, and other stuff!

 

-Bahh-buhh, bahh-buhh, emergency, GFC-like cash injections to daugther to keep her standing up on fer feet with her beautiful kiddo in a new setup for themselves.

 

Next thing happening, she informs us about what her insurance claim got her. The insurance company even had a private detective on the guy, to no avail, so it gave up and paid out. I was so surprised : Full replacement costs for the LVMH bags! The taxator had said to her, that they were likely worth more used than new, but she had to settle with new ones.

 

Then I said to her : 'Now you have to pay - partly - your debt to your mom with the funds, forget the difference in your favour, for us all to get this over with, so we can move on.' Reply : 'No, these funds are mine'.

 

She used them to pay a consumer loan of hers instead.

 

I got so stinking furious, that it ended with a judge teaching her the concept of 'mine' applies to both assets and debt. I call it full consolidation, Brookfield style! Then loosened up a lot, made a for her reasonable agreement about installment over some years, with interest. Instead of further dipping her in tar and rolling her in feathers.

 

She is paying exactly timely, every month. Not much left.

 

Honestly, I was a mentally like a flossy, worn out carpet in a period after this, that I had to demonstrate how I am, when it comes to that, so far out, and the Lady of the House was heartbroken.

 

I was starting to think 'How do we recover from this?'

 

Then it came to me : 'Get up standing again on your feet by the tree where you have fallen.' I started buying LVMH, naturally!

 

LOL!  Good on you to get her to repay the debt...too many parents feel obligated to put fiscal responsibility away when they are comfortable.  They risk their own well-being and their children learn nothing about responsibility!  Cheers!

[Parsad]

4 minutes ago, Gregmal said:

I mean, Buffett aint one to talk there....

 

LOL!  That was somewhat of a knee jerk reaction.  

 

Buffett asked the question...the question itself was not about Buffett...just a general question anyone should ask themselves when they do business or hang out with someone. 

 

How many people would have avoided Epstein if they asked themselves that question after his conviction?  Bill Gates and Larry Summers are two pretty good Democrat examples...and there are plenty of Republican examples as well.

 

Cheers! 

[Parsad]

5 minutes ago, cubsfan said:

 

That's exactly what it comes down to --- no political power -- rejected by the public --- so all you can do is bitch, bitch, bitch.

 

I'm sure that's part of it...maybe a big chunk of it!  But he's also just a really, really big asshole! 

 

He's also very funny at times...but he's like if you looked up "Biff" from Back to the Future in a dictionary, they wouldn't even have words...just a picture of Trump!  

 

Cheers!

[Gregmal]

2 minutes ago, Parsad said:

 

LOL!  That was somewhat of a knee jerk reaction.  

 

Buffett asked the question...the question itself was not about Buffett...just a general question anyone should ask themselves when they do business or hang out with someone. 

 

How many people would have avoided Epstein if they asked themselves that question after his conviction?  Bill Gates and Larry Summers are two pretty good Democrat examples...and there are plenty of Republican examples as well.

 

Cheers! 

Ive honestly found that while not always true, businessmen/money seeking folks, and "the kind you'd want to have your daughter marry" are often inversely related. Hard to be loyal at an elite level to two things that both require full time attention. 

[John Hjorth]

23 minutes ago, Parsad said:

LOL!  Good on you to get her to repay the debt...too many parents feel obligated to put fiscal responsibility away when they are comfortable.  They risk their own well-being and their children learn nothing about responsibility!  Cheers!

 

It's true, Sanjeev [ @Parsad ],

 

Grow up, or go grow a brain! Either way, here you have it! - The choice is yours!

 

Edit :

 

In high school I had an absolutely terrible class teacher and teacher in Danish, that I hated wholeheartedly. She many times insulted many of my classmates [but not me!] by talking about 'Rich peoples dumb kids'.

 

I got angry every time, and diden't really understand it by then. Now I do.

 

Meet thy next in eye height - both high and low. There is an element of quality in every person, always give it chance, openminded.

Edited March 13 by John Hjorth

[73 Reds]

1 hour ago, dealraker said:

Reds, I am sitting on a log at The Ridge Cycle Hub laughing with two co workers, both about my age.  We are trail workers and building an addition on the mountain bike trail we began here not long ago.  We have ten miles.  For the most part I run the Cat skid steer...but I get off and chop roots and help place rock amouring in the low places for erosion control.

 

And I'm laughing and discussing what I am sending you with them.  I have never-ever in my life associated with anyone less aware of himself than you Reds. 

 

I'll be riding 10 miles with my co-workers shortly.  They both use e-bikes while ole dealraker is on the analog version - me...the only source of power.

 

Life is great Red.  Trump is a fucking GD idiot regardless.  The dumbest child in the class?  That's our Pres!

 

 

 

 

So what are you bitching about?  The difference between us is I am entertained and you are angry.  Or at least your posts depict an angry individual.  Lighten up.  We've dealt with far worse in the past and will most certainly have to address far worse in the future.  As for self-awareness - read your own posts.  

[73 Reds]

1 hour ago, Parsad said:

 

 

You both could be right! 

 

Doesn't matter at this point how he did it...but the resume is impressive...I mean the shit he beat in the courts alone surpasses anything Capone was able to do!  He's President  of the United States...twice!

 

On the other hand, would Reds want his daughter to marry a guy like this?  A question Buffett has often referred to.  I think you have your answer!

 

Cheers!

Sanjeev, we are not discussing whether I like the man, personally.  That's the problem - you guys can't separate person from policy.

[Parsad]

5 minutes ago, 73 Reds said:

So what are you bitching about?  The difference between us is I am entertained and you are angry.  Or at least your posts depict an angry individual.  Lighten up.  We've dealt with far worse in the past and will most certainly have to address far worse in the future.  As for self-awareness - read your own posts.  

 

Reds...Deal is probably one of the least angriest people ever.  He's got every right to be the angriest person in the world...but somehow has managed to be the opposite!  Cheers!

[Malmqky]

Everyone knows Trump is a morally lacking person.

 

What it comes down to is whether or not Trump is what this country needs. I don't think so personally, but there's an angle where we all look back and realize the Trump presidency is the disruption this country needed long term, even if short term it's a disastor.

 

I also hold out hope I'm wrong and everything works out fine. I hope his presidency is a success, even if I can't see it at the moment.

[73 Reds]

1 minute ago, Parsad said:

 

Reds...Deal is probably one of the least angriest people ever.  He's got every right to be the angriest person in the world...but somehow has managed to be the opposite!  Cheers!

People who bitch constantly, every day, about the very same thing are what most would consider angry.   

[Malmqky]

Take Iran for example. Looks like a moderate success so far, although massive downside looms on the horizon. But, if things wrap up quickly, and the Iranian people take their country back (doubtful if we look at Iraq and Afghanistan), it's going to be a massive win for humanity, even if I don't think we should be involved in the Middle East.

[Parsad]

7 minutes ago, 73 Reds said:

People who bitch constantly, every day, about the very same thing are what most would consider angry.   

 

That would probably include both of us as well then! 

 

Hello mirror, is that you looking back at me?    Cheers!

[73 Reds]

2 minutes ago, Parsad said:

 

That would probably include both of us as well then! 

 

Hello mirror, is that you looking back at me?    Cheers!

Perhaps it looks that way to you.  But if if weren't for obvious TDS that dominates this thread, I'd ignore it completely because there would be nothing to reply to.  The irony is, as investors we are trained not to project current results into the infinite future when evaluating an investment.  That is precisely what you guys are doing when it comes to Trump.  The very notion that anything Trump does, says or thinks will cause irreparable harm or damage in the future is downright silly yet that is TDS in a nutshell.  So can you blame me for continuing to be entertained by you all?

[Gregmal]

That’s really the issue it comes down to. So many of these folks are just deranged and purely incapable of having any sort of relational thought, let alone properly communicated conversation, about anything tangentially related to Trump. 
 

What’s worse, is that because the sphere of Trump is so large, this permeates into way more than it should. This is why we get shit like “forever war” declarations three days in, even though he plainly states out of the gate it’ll be “about 4 weeks”(next up of course is these mongrels eagerly awaiting the 29th calendar day to rage about “LIES” lol)….or brandishing both stupidity and ignorance moaning about Kash flying private even though anyone really concerned or paying attention to this stuff should know that it is a congressional mandate and the LAW for him to fly private. I mean heck, even the “Trumps mentioned a billion times in the Epstein files” cry is very easily debunked by details explaining that the substantial majority of them are from the past decade and relate to gossip about him being POTUS….but they like to stick with “their versions”…just like if we pullback up the term 1 thread, how many folks were DEAD certain Trump’s collusion with Russia was “about to be exposed any day now”!

 

So yea, you’ll have to excuse the humor in it all, but sadly, so many of these otherwise capable folks, are just brained rotted and nothing they say on the subject even remotely matters anymore because it’s worthless, corrupted rubbish.

[Parsad]

15 minutes ago, Gregmal said:

That’s really the issue it comes down to. So many of these folks are just deranged and purely incapable of having any sort of relational thought, let alone properly communicated conversation, about anything tangentially related to Trump. 
 

What’s worse, is that because the sphere of Trump is so large, this permeates into way more than it should. This is why we get shit like “forever war” declarations three days in, even though he plainly states out of the gate it’ll be “about 4 weeks”(next up of course is these mongrels eagerly awaiting the 29th calendar day to rage about “LIES” lol)….or brandishing both stupidity and ignorance moaning about Kash flying private even though anyone really concerned or paying attention to this stuff should know that it is a congressional mandate and the LAW for him to fly private. I mean heck, even the “Trumps mentioned a billion times in the Epstein files” cry is very easily debunked by details explaining that the substantial majority of them are from the past decade and relate to gossip about him being POTUS….but they like to stick with “their versions”…just like if we pullback up the term 1 thread, how many folks were DEAD certain Trump’s collusion with Russia was “about to be exposed any day now”!

 

So yea, you’ll have to excuse the humor in it all, but sadly, so many of these otherwise capable folks, are just brained rotted and nothing they say on the subject even remotely matters anymore because it’s worthless, corrupted rubbish.

 

Greg...wasn't the war in Ukraine supposed to be over in the first day according to Trump himself?  Of course, he was being facetious...I think...but other than the southern border, his timelines have not been anywhere near accurate. 

 

Look at tariffs...look at the bombing of Iran a couple of months ago (nuclear capabilities obliterated)...look at releasing tax files...look at releasing Trump-Epstein files...how about 2020 election fraud (still zero proof into the 2nd year of the 2nd term)!

 

Maybe he's genuinely trying to do things and trusting the wrong people to execute?  But it's his name on the President's door and he's the one making the promises!  Cheers!