gfp
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Everything posted by gfp
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Well Sokol got it from Peter Kiewit, which is who Warren was quoting
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I don't know what they are feeding you Germans, but you guys sure know how to get your questions into the meeting!
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My impression is that he has continued to sell Apple shares after quarter-end since he seemed very confident that the $182 cash figure would be $200 billion at June 30.
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"Warren sold Apple shares in the quarter because they didn't have a compelling story to tell on generative AI in the period!"
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Nice of Warren to call Tim Cook yesterday and let him know the big headline was going to be (almost) $20 Billion AAPL share sales in the quarter.
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Just call it a "bond portfolio" and debate his decision on duration instead. If he put half of it in 2 year notes nobody would complain.
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$189 B if you count all the subsidiary cash A decent chunk of the "bond portfolio" was so short dated that it crossed into "cash and cash equivalents" just through the passage of time.
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Interestingly there was only $19.972 Billion of equity security sales in the quarter, so they didn't get a very high price for the AAPL stock sold in the quarter (or maybe there is enough rounding error in the estimated number of shares sold that my math is off)
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Certainly appears that the share count of the AAPL position went from 905,560,000 to something like 789,596,454 (plenty of rounding error in this number)
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Berkshire's Q1 results are out. Float is down ~$1 Billion from $169 -> $168 Billion. (edit: this was the effect of rounding, Float was only down a couple hundred million dollars during q1) Repurchases were $2.6 billion in the quarter. Operating earnings $11.222 Billion in Q1. Only Class A stock was repurchased in the quarter
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I assume we are not talking about hourly jobs here. This isn't time-clock type stuff.
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I had never heard of this (sounds like my personal nightmare! Sign me up for "unemployment" please) but a close friend was explaining the temptation over drinks at the bar. Obviously everyone working remotely is what really enabled this movement. I would think something like a LinkedIn profile would become a problem? My friend was promoted from sales to sales management and had no problem finishing "the work" in the new position in a matter of hours. Two full time comp packages were really tempting. I have heard this 2-full-time-jobs thing is popular with the Indian-American community.
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It was great to hear Wade do the investment overview. Did everyone else hear average duration of 2.8 years on the fixed income portfolio? I heard yield of 5% as well. If I heard correctly on duration it seems like they tactically shortened again. edit: I also heard duration of about 3 at the end of the call. 2.8, if I heard correctly might include cash and bills and 3 might be just the "bond portfolio."
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What do you mean by this bolded section above?
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The full quarterly report is out now in case it hasn't already been posted here: https://www.fairfax.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024_05_May_02-FFH-2024-Q1-Interim-Report-Final.pdf
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Press release for Fairfax India https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/05/02/2874791/0/en/Fairfax-India-Holdings-Corporation-First-Quarter-Financial-Results.html This PDF is better: https://www.fairfaxindia.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024_05_May_02-PRFIH-Q1-2024-Press-Release-Final.pdf
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Nice, so they repurchased 240,734 shares during the quarter - $260.3 million worth. 3/31 share count is 22,831,173 shares
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https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/05/02/2874789/0/en/Fairfax-India-Holdings-Corporation-Financial-Results-for-the-First-Quarter.html Press release pdf: https://www.fairfax.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024_05_May_02-PRFFH-Q1-2024-Press-Release-Final.pdf
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Seems like FFH share repurchases should come in around $195 million in the quarter but I may be double counting some shares. We'll see how far off I am later. https://ceo.ca/api/sedi/?symbol=ffh&amount=&transaction=&insider=Fairfax
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It's funny, with Fairfax, nobody points to the bond portfolio and panics over the idle cash. They get busy calculating the spread between 95% combined ratio cost of capital and +4.5% investment yield. At Berkshire it sits in 3 month and 6 month bills and it's some huge problem. If Warren moved $150 billion to 3 and 5 year treasury notes would everybody stop worrying about the "cash problem" and call him a genius like Brian Bradstreet? Can we just call most of Berkshire's cash the "bond portfolio" and be done with the 'big cash problem' talk?
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pdf of the article. Go ahead and remove it if an opinion section excerpt is some kind of copyright issue. Why Fairfax Financial.pdf
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So it's kind of a bullshit article because they don't know which investors bought which stocks. Several of their guesses appear to be incorrect. These are likely wrong: Aon: Buffett Capital One: Buffett Celanese: Combs/Weschler (not sure) General Motors: Combs/Weschler (not sure) Lee Enerprises: Combs/Weschler PNC Financial: Buffett S&P 500 ETF: Buffett VeriSign: Combs/Weschler Verisk Analytics: Combs/Weschler (they also don't do enough research to figure out the actual buy and sell prices to calculate the returns, using 13F quarter-end data instead)
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Thanks for posting - nice to see they got the green light to stream the annual movie on CNBC - I'm sure there will be some great stuff in there this year.