Lance Posted March 28, 2014 Posted March 28, 2014 Portfolio Utilities SO Staples CL, CLX, KO LO, MO, PM, RAI Telecommunications ORAN, T, TEF Discretionary MCD Financials AIG, FRFHX, NLY C-prfds., GS-prfds. Real Estate SHLD Energy BP, CVX, KMI, RDS LUKOY, OGZPY ERF, PGH EVEP, KMP, LGCY, PAA Materials SCCO, WLT Precious Metals TGLDX GFI, GG, NEM Other Japan – DXJ Municipals-PMX Secured Puts & Covered Calls AIG 4-4-14 $52.50 (Calls) $50 (Puts) DXJ 3-28-14 $50 (Calls) GFI 1-17-15 $5 (Calls) JCP 8-16-14 $8 (Puts) RAI 8-16-14 $52.50 (Calls) RDS 4-19-14 $75 (Calls) SHLD 6-21-14 1-17-15 $50.42(Puts) $50 (Puts), $48 (Puts) SO 4-19-14 $43 (Calls) WLT 3-28-14 $14 (Calls) 1-15-16 (Not covered or secured) IAU $16 CALLS SLV $25 CALLS EEM $38 PUTS IWM $120 PUTS
dpetrescu Posted March 30, 2014 Posted March 30, 2014 My positions: 18% - GLW Corning long calls. Not my #1 conviction but it has moved dramatically. I will leave it and live with the volatility for a while 10% - IMOS shares. Very low capex required today after over investment resulting in great cash flow 7%. - MEG. Warren, my pro bono consultant, recommended these two small media companies 6%. - LEE 5% - GM calls. Waiting to buy more 4%. - Toyota calls. Part undervalued, part Abenomics 4%. - Fiat. Thanks to this board. 3%. - VRSN calls 2% - GME Gamestop long puts. Brick and mortar in age of streaming. Recently, Walmart announced itself as a competitor. 2% - CAT/RIO puts. China construction bubble insurance policy 2%. - misc 37% cash. This is my short bitcoin position. All my options were purchased as 2 year LEAPS options. My biggest conviction right now are the auto companies. I'm hoping to increase positions in my 3 if they fall more.
rkbabang Posted November 1, 2018 Posted November 1, 2018 I'll start off since no one else is. I'm not going to spend the time to figure out percentages, because I hold some of these in multiple accounts and others in just one account. My largest holding right now is: BAM Other stocks which I'll just say are large percentage holdings are: (in no order) APPL, AMZN, BAC-WSA, BRKB, MIDD, SYTE Stocks which I hold a moderate amount in: (in no order) MKL, POEFF, UBNT, WFCF Other stocks I own which range from very little to almost as large as the above category: (in no order) CLWY, JD, LAACZ, TDW-WSB, SHOP, JOE, NEWR, ANET, DATA, OSTK, SAIL, SINA, PRDGF I also own crypto: (in order) BTC, ETH, XMR, DASH, XTZ, tZERO And my 401K at work only offers mutual funds, so I have it in mostly foreign stock funds to diversify away from the mostly US stocks in the rest of my portfolio. I also have some in a midcap fund, because I notice that my portfolio is mosty either large companies or tiny ones. And finally, I own restricted stock in the company I work for, both vested and unvested. I try to keep the vested stock to about 10% of my portfolio, so I sell when it gets too large because of increase in price or when more vests.
Liberty Posted November 1, 2018 Posted November 1, 2018 MIDD's an interesting one. I passed on it many years ago (2011?) because I wasn't sure about a few things, and then looked at it go multi-bagger. I haven't really looked at it in a while. How would you describe what you like best and dislike most about it these days, if you want to share?
rkbabang Posted November 1, 2018 Posted November 1, 2018 MIDD's an interesting one. I passed on it many years ago (2011?) because I wasn't sure about a few things, and then looked at it go multi-bagger. I haven't really looked at it in a while. How would you describe what you like best and dislike most about it these days, if you want to share? I've held MIDD since 2005. I've sold a lot along the way and added back on dips, but I've had some amount of MIDD in my portfolio for over 13 years. I really cleaned up when they aquired Turbochef and CHEF was trading as if the acquisition was not going to happen (this was right after the financial crisis and a lot of announced mergers where being cancelled), I bought a ton of CHEF and even converted most of my MIDD to CHEF only to get it back and then some after the acquisition. I had held MIDD for a while by then and knew that MIDD had the cash and that they would go through with the acquisition even if the market was skeptical. What I like about MIDD is its CEO Selim Bassoul. He's a serial acquirer, only unlike most CEOs who try to do this, he makes it work every time. He is a master of making acquisitions work, integrating the companies, finding synergies, and getting them to add to earnings quickly (most of the time in under a year). He's been doing this again and again, multiple times per year, successfully at MIDD since (IIRC) 2003 or so.
Liberty Posted November 1, 2018 Posted November 1, 2018 MIDD's an interesting one. I passed on it many years ago (2011?) because I wasn't sure about a few things, and then looked at it go multi-bagger. I haven't really looked at it in a while. How would you describe what you like best and dislike most about it these days, if you want to share? I've held MIDD since 2005. I've sold a lot along the way and added back on dips, but I've had some amount of MIDD in my portfolio for over 13 years. I really cleaned up when they aquired Turbochef and CHEF was trading as if the acquisition was not going to happen (this was right after the financial crisis and a lot of announced mergers where being cancelled), I bought a ton of CHEF and even converted most of my MIDD to CHEF only to get it back and then some after the acquisition. I had held MIDD for a while by then and knew that MIDD had the cash and that they would go through with the acquisition even if the market was skeptical. What I like about MIDD is its CEO Selim Bassoul. He's a serial acquirer, only unlike most CEOs who try to do this, he makes it work every time. He is a master of making acquisitions work, integrating the companies, finding synergies, and getting them to add to earnings quickly (most of the time in under a year). He's been doing this again and again, multiple times per year, successfully at MIDD since (IIRC) 2003 or so. It's definitely a bet on management. It's not like everybody in that industry is doing that well.
writser Posted November 1, 2018 Posted November 1, 2018 I'll dump my garbage here as well. No sizings, no particular order and I removed most illiquid holdings. lon:argo lon:bxp epa:cdu 4624:tyo 7235:tyo 7292:tyo 7399:tyo 4295:tyo qfal:mil qfare:mil qfari:mil qfid:mil qfpol:mil qfsoc:mil hkg:3828 hkg:0635 hkg:6822 bda:ses epa:ffp cnrd lon:rma stly asfi pder pdrx rhdgf brk.b smci sigm weq radh:sto cori snmx call uwn
Foreign Tuffett Posted November 1, 2018 Posted November 1, 2018 My portfolio is ready for anything: 10% cheap whiskey 10% cheap beer 10% gold 10% silver 10% platinum 10% weapons 10% various army surplus supplies 10% old issues of Playboy magazine 40% fresh water 30% MREs I do everything 150%
DooDiligence Posted November 2, 2018 Posted November 2, 2018 My portfolio is ready for anything: 10% cheap whiskey 10% cheap beer 10% gold 10% silver 10% platinum 10% weapons 10% various army surplus supplies 10% old issues of Playboy magazine 40% fresh water 30% MREs I do everything 150% ;D ;D ;D :o no weed?
frommi Posted November 2, 2018 Posted November 2, 2018 Pretty boring right now, size from top to bottom. Tobacco/Consumer ~25%, 25% REITs, 25% Energy and Industrials, 25% Healthcare/Utilities/Other. 5% dividend yield and 5-7% expected dividend growth on a portfolio level, 10-50% undervalued by my rough estimates. I won`t post 50% annual returns with this, but i also doubt that i get >-50% drawdowns :). October drawdown was ~-1.5% in $, +1% in €. KMI (6.6%) SRC MO SKT MSM (5.4%) WBA PM LON:BATS SPG D OXY (3%) HKG:0398 (the only netnet right now, but of course its paying a dividend and trades at a P/E<7) FAST KIM TAP XOM CAH T LON:IMB HSY (2.5%) PPL ENB (2%) CCI MPW CVS IRM MDP SYF (1.2%) BRX PEP DIS WHG EPR STOR BP AMNF OMC UBP WPC SITC (0.3%) Options: -FB puts 145$ strike 21DEC2018 Trade/hedge positons: EUR futures that cover 100% of the dollar exposure with a break even stop around 1.134$.
TorontoRaptorsFan Posted November 2, 2018 Posted November 2, 2018 Frommi, Your portfolio looks like a mutual fund's portfolio. Why so many?
The Investor Posted November 3, 2018 Posted November 3, 2018 AAPL Apple Inc. BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway GOOG Alphabet Inc RYM Ryman Healthcare Ltd. WFC Wells Fargo Top 5 positions
frommi Posted November 3, 2018 Posted November 3, 2018 Frommi, Your portfolio looks like a mutual fund's portfolio. Why so many? 1.) These are 100% of my life savings, its an irreplaceable asset base. 2.) I make mistakes, a lot of mistakes. 3.) With 10% annual returns, i can live a comfortable life. Why risk what i have for something i don`t need? 4.) For 99% of people in the world my portfolio is already very concentrated. 5.) I did a lot of tests with different ranking criteria on my watchlist and the Top15 portfolios always came out as having the best returns. I don`t know why that is, but that is the reason my maximum position size is 6.6% (1/15). There was only one ranking that was better and that was past 4 week return, Top5 was best there, but Top3 was a lot worse, so i don`t trust it. And now the most important aspect: Handpicking stocks out of my ranking ALWAYS performed worse. My conclusion: I am a bad stockpicker, but i know how to create portfolios that outperform.
EricSchleien Posted November 3, 2018 Posted November 3, 2018 Frommi - It's important to know what you're good at and capitalize on it. Majority of my holdings for myself and clients (approximate percentage) 20% - Self-Storage Business 15% - Liberty SiriusXM Group 15% - Brookfield Asset Management (Non-IRA) / Partners Value Investments LP (IRA Accounts) 7% - GCI Liberty 5% - Trupanion 5% - Discovery 5% - Facebook 5% - Amazon 5% - Fiat 5% - Markel Frommi, Your portfolio looks like a mutual fund's portfolio. Why so many? 1.) These are 100% of my life savings, its an irreplaceable asset base. 2.) I make mistakes, a lot of mistakes. 3.) With 10% annual returns, i can live a comfortable life. Why risk what i have for something i don`t need? 4.) For 99% of people in the world my portfolio is already very concentrated. 5.) I did a lot of tests with different ranking criteria on my watchlist and the Top15 portfolios always came out as having the best returns. I don`t know why that is, but that is the reason my maximum position size is 6.6% (1/15). There was only one ranking that was better and that was past 4 week return, Top5 was best there, but Top3 was a lot worse, so i don`t trust it. And now the most important aspect: Handpicking stocks out of my ranking ALWAYS performed worse. My conclusion: I am a bad stockpicker, but i know how to create portfolios that outperform.
rkbabang Posted November 3, 2018 Posted November 3, 2018 MIDD's an interesting one. I passed on it many years ago (2011?) because I wasn't sure about a few things, and then looked at it go multi-bagger. I haven't really looked at it in a while. How would you describe what you like best and dislike most about it these days, if you want to share? I've held MIDD since 2005. I've sold a lot along the way and added back on dips, but I've had some amount of MIDD in my portfolio for over 13 years. I really cleaned up when they aquired Turbochef and CHEF was trading as if the acquisition was not going to happen (this was right after the financial crisis and a lot of announced mergers where being cancelled), I bought a ton of CHEF and even converted most of my MIDD to CHEF only to get it back and then some after the acquisition. I had held MIDD for a while by then and knew that MIDD had the cash and that they would go through with the acquisition even if the market was skeptical. What I like about MIDD is its CEO Selim Bassoul. He's a serial acquirer, only unlike most CEOs who try to do this, he makes it work every time. He is a master of making acquisitions work, integrating the companies, finding synergies, and getting them to add to earnings quickly (most of the time in under a year). He's been doing this again and again, multiple times per year, successfully at MIDD since (IIRC) 2003 or so. It's definitely a bet on management. It's not like everybody in that industry is doing that well. Yes, 100% a bet on management. They are the best operators in the business. They have a nack for buying mediocre companies cheap and making them profitable. My two worries is that Bassoul gets hit by a bus or at some point they will just get too big and will need huge acquisitions just to move the needle at all. I’m not sure at what size that is.
LC Posted November 3, 2018 Posted November 3, 2018 BRK and Cash, about a 60/40 split Not for lack of ideas or anything, but I'm a year into a new house and spending most of my time (and cash) on projects. Fun :D
james22 Posted November 8, 2018 Posted November 8, 2018 Roughly: 5% Small Value Index (VSIAX) 15% Emerging Markets Index (VEMAX) 10% BRK 10% FRFHF 5% MKL 10% BAM 10% OAK 5% BAC-L 5% WFC-L 25% Stable Value
scorpioncapital Posted November 9, 2018 Posted November 9, 2018 Top 2 brk and dhr - 42% and 12% of capital respectively.
TwoCitiesCapital Posted November 10, 2018 Posted November 10, 2018 Based on current market values: Altius - ATUSF/ALS - 8.9% Sberbank - SBRCY - 6.9% Fairfax - FRFHF/FFH - 7.1% Fiat Chrysler - FCAU & Options - 5.8% Freddie Mac - FMCCJ - 5.7% Santander - SAN/BSBR/BSMX/BSAC - 4.4% Exor - EXO - 4.3% Lukoil - LUKOY - 3.1% Gazprom - OGZPY - 3.1% Seritage - SRG - 2.9% EM Betas - VEMIX/PEFIX/FFXDF - 34.6% European Betas - PTSIX - 8.0% Doesn't sum to 100% - all options are valued at notional exposure and smaller positions plus cash were left out Macro Themes reflected in the portfolio: Long Real Assets & Real Asset Producers (O&G companies, base metal royalties, REITS, massive EM overweight) Expectation for higher interest rates (Fairfax Financial) Long Global Equities vs U.S. equities (massive overweight to EM and little U.S. exposure)
james22 Posted November 10, 2018 Posted November 10, 2018 Like to see the EM overweight. https://www.investmentweek.co.uk/investment-week/news/3065590/gmo-upgrades-emerging-market-returns-forecast-as-spreads-with-the-us-reach-widest-since-2003
kab60 Posted November 10, 2018 Posted November 10, 2018 Alliance Data Autozone Auto Nation Ashford Inc Molson Coors Interactive Brokers Linamar Corp Lion Rock Group Spectrum Brands Alliance and Interactive are like 15-20%, rest around 7-12%
Bluedevilvalue Posted November 11, 2018 Posted November 11, 2018 Based on current market values: Altius - ATUSF/ALS - 8.9% Sberbank - SBRCY - 6.9% Fairfax - FRFHF/FFH - 7.1% Fiat Chrysler - FCAU & Options - 5.8% Freddie Mac - FMCCJ - 5.7% Santander - SAN/BSBR/BSMX/BSAC - 4.4% Exor - EXO - 4.3% Lukoil - LUKOY - 3.1% Gazprom - OGZPY - 3.1% Seritage - SRG - 2.9% EM Betas - VEMIX/PEFIX/FFXDF - 34.6% European Betas - PTSIX - 8.0% Doesn't sum to 100% - all options are valued at notional exposure and smaller positions plus cash were left out Macro Themes reflected in the portfolio: Long Real Assets & Real Asset Producers (O&G companies, base metal royalties, REITS, massive EM overweight) Expectation for higher interest rates (Fairfax Financial) Long Global Equities vs U.S. equities (massive overweight to EM and little U.S. exposure) Are you playing a shorter term trend with EM overweight -- i.e. USD weakening and mean reversion over the next 3 months. Or is this a 5 to 10 year bet? The hard part about EM growth is that it's so beholden to the whims of China
TwoCitiesCapital Posted November 11, 2018 Posted November 11, 2018 Based on current market values: Altius - ATUSF/ALS - 8.9% Sberbank - SBRCY - 6.9% Fairfax - FRFHF/FFH - 7.1% Fiat Chrysler - FCAU & Options - 5.8% Freddie Mac - FMCCJ - 5.7% Santander - SAN/BSBR/BSMX/BSAC - 4.4% Exor - EXO - 4.3% Lukoil - LUKOY - 3.1% Gazprom - OGZPY - 3.1% Seritage - SRG - 2.9% EM Betas - VEMIX/PEFIX/FFXDF - 34.6% European Betas - PTSIX - 8.0% Doesn't sum to 100% - all options are valued at notional exposure and smaller positions plus cash were left out Macro Themes reflected in the portfolio: Long Real Assets & Real Asset Producers (O&G companies, base metal royalties, REITS, massive EM overweight) Expectation for higher interest rates (Fairfax Financial) Long Global Equities vs U.S. equities (massive overweight to EM and little U.S. exposure) Are you playing a shorter term trend with EM overweight -- i.e. USD weakening and mean reversion over the next 3 months. Or is this a 5 to 10 year bet? The hard part about EM growth is that it's so beholden to the whims of China Mostly the latter - have been massively overweight EM since 2015ish. Trimmed some in January, but now it's all back on the table plus some.
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