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Castanza

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Everything posted by Castanza

  1. https://www.ft.com/content/7fe07a25-9a76-4777-9178-c6756bb04c2f
  2. lol I shared a pic of the USSR…but the reality is these type of developments almost never get better over time unless they are in prime locations. Comparing them to college dorms doesn’t improve the attractiveness just saying. In my UPS days I delivered to enough tower like apartment complexes (some that look nice from the outside) to always find them trashy and smelly in a dozen different ways. There is only so much value you can squeeze out of those types of complexes unless they are top end in prime locations. The US isn’t going to run out of space for a long time. Technology and remote work will help propel smaller towns and cities forward imo.
  3. I'd rather be dead then move into complexes such as this. Between Europe and Canada I'll never understand why they move housing in this direction. Basically a prison if you ask me. To me if your country is popping up housing like this, it's time to re-evaluate your long term strategy....highlights long-term systemic risk. These are not homes...they are stalls with hay for the livestock citizens.
  4. If you haven’t been following this Twitter account for Ukraine Russia you should. @OSINTtechnical edit: @Xerxes @Spekulatius changes it so it reflects just the resource Should note that there are a lot of terrible OSINT accounts. There are a few good verified ones. Bellingercat is another good one.
  5. Probably right, easy to speculate on this stuff. In general the situation is just very complex. It’s not often there are truly right or wrong sides in war. Everyone has a reason and talks their own book. Ok sorry back to Ukraine Russia. Don’t want to derail the solid discussion that’s occurred here. Plus I don’t think Parsad wants another Israel/Palestine thread squabble which is fine.
  6. So we bring an entire carrier fleet? I guess maybe, we do it in South Sea. We have CAG and DEVGRU for hostage rescue though.
  7. Anyone else confused by the US carrier presence in the Mediterranean ? We don’t have a defense treaty with Israel… also where tf is the congressional approval here? Oh wait… Wonder if the US is thinking about engaging Russian troops in Syria? Putin also very confused why US is moving into the Mediterranean. I don’t think we would engage with Iran or Lebanon (been there done that)at this point. Damascus and Aleppo airports were recently taken out. Just spitballing edit: Also pretty bad timing or just a bad look for the sitting President to schedule a visit days before a ground invasion. Especially after the hospital attack if this turns out to be Israel. Talk about tying your image to an event. Anyways the Syria Russia
  8. Andddd just like that the war in Ukraine is over to 90% of the people Ukrainian flag flying people here in the States! More social clout now available surrounding Israel and Palestinian….
  9. Interesting stuff for sure. Glad it worked out for your mom. You very well could be right! I was reading through the potential longterm side effects. 5% rate for the basket doesn’t seem too bad vs the likelihood of diabetes, and other heart conditions caused by obesity. https://vial.com/blog/articles/what-clinical-research-says-about-the-long-term-safety-of-ozempic/ Investment wise, snacks isn’t something I’m interested in, and pharma is also not an area I like. One is too attached to dads and has little growth while the other constantly is one bad drug away from lawsuit mania. Just not something I like to risk. Im just stubborn and don’t think the vast majority of people will stop eating junk food. For humanities sake I hope they do! 2 out of 3 adults being obese is a piss poor statistic. I’m also very much personally against drug pushing over lifestyle changes. But that’s just me. Hope you guys make a killing!
  10. I hear you on the it could happen How much more effective is Ozempic vs the multitude of other pharma drugs people take? SSRI, ADHD meds all reduce appetite and cause weight loss. Yet obesity has continued to clone in tandem with those drug uses.
  11. Largest demographic for junk food and fast food eaters are mid 20’s to late 30’s. People 55+ often already have diet restrictions etc. I just think people are touting this as a miracle drug and the cure all. Call me skeptical because it’s never happened before. Guess it could be the inflection point. I just think the argument of “because something is available it’s inevitable” is a bit lazy. But maybe I don’t fully understand the application of Ozempic and others drugs here.
  12. This is going to drag a lot longer than people thing. Seems everyone thinkIsrael is going to take Gaza in a week. This is a very similar situation to Mosul. Population density, underground networks, entrenched enemy, etc. urban warfare is a major pita. Israel very well may be one of the best in the world at it, but that Guerilla warfare has proven a major thorn in the heal of modern armies with advanced tactics and equipment. 3rd time in the last decade a terrorist group has seized a major city. Mosul, Kabul and now Gaza. Pretty big deal
  13. The idea the humans are going to stop eating readily available junk food in large quantities because of some new weigh loss drug is beyond ridiculous.
  14. Looking at the current crisis and the innocent individuals caught between the war on both sides…For the ones who likely have to flee Gaza, how many do you think are going to their bank? Likely none. How many are taking physical wealth with them? Probably very few. Now think what you could take with your 12-24 word pass phrase committed to memory.
  15. That becomes more difficult with how advanced equipment becomes. LMTs first jet airplane was built with 6 full stack engineers in 143 days (concept -> production). The stuff coming out today is incredibly complex. Where do you get the capacity for scale? I would think you need very complex facilities. Also with how co reacted out small parts are, I would think this “extra capacity” would be more difficult out down chain as you move towards the smaller suppliers. Likely would be harder for them to justify this “just in case” capacity with their much smaller budgets.
  16. Yeah I’m sure the academics have reasons for their 2%. I’m just a believer that economies are way too complex to think a simple interest rate number or target inflation numbers can account for all the variables and effectively produce results. Sure they have a place, but the tool is beyond blunt. I’d argue it’s a magnifying glass vs electron microscope. It’s really absurd when you think about it and just start listing off variables of inputs outputs, geopolitics, local politics, birth rates, wild fires, bankruptcies, new businesses, college grads, job market (regional, local, national), innovations, technological changes, etc.
  17. 2% rate has always given me a chuckle. It literally did come out of nowhere and everyone just hopped on board. https://sites.lsa.umich.edu/mje/2023/09/04/why-the-2-inflation-target/
  18. So far this just seems like standard bananas market volatility. Nothing substantial to suggest oil supply will be constrained at this point imo.
  19. Whaaaa Obama won a Nobel Peace Prize! Forget about all those drone strikes But in all seriousness I don’t disagree with you. I think war is complicated and decisions are not binary. War is Hell and that’s why it’s best avoided….imperfect decisions in and imperfect world result in imperfect outcomes. There is so much to this topic and things and stories I could share that I learned from friends with first had experience but I won’t. In short the ME is one F&$ked up place. It seems this topic is drifting and not wanted since the other thread was deleted.
  20. I believe the claim was 40 women children and babies with some beheaded babies. But this really should t even be shocking. It’s not difficult to find videos of ISIS, Hezbollah, Boko Haram doing this and much worse things. I have seen photos first hand from people who were in Mosul that showed women and children’s heads on sticks outside of an school ISIS decided to target. I’m not sure people understand the evil that exists out there. Things that happen on a daily basis that make a SAW movie look like a Disney movie…..what the media never will show. Could it be a lie? Yeah possibly….but Hamas is fully capable and likely to do something like this.
  21. Who said I view those individuals differently? Who said I don’t support Ukraine? I just think US involvement should be limited because of the issues we have here. And fwiw, Hamas and Russia are two completely different scales of attack and warfare… Israel has mandatory service for all citizens. Ukraine does not. Israel is constantly dealing with attacks, Ukraine does not. These aren’t even comparable situations imo.
  22. Who makes ink cartridges for the US Treasury USD printers?
  23. All very true…there is no shortage of bottlenecks out there for the transition. Probably will be pockets of development sustained by govts (country, or state level) intervention. Governments don’t often take the most logical or rational approach to changes. Throw in a some economic disaster in key development or adoption locations and it throws a whole monkey wrench into the change over. Then you have all the competing markets of consumer electronics, other renewables etc.
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