Yeah I'm guessing that tanked the Nikkei?
With regards to a recession, I hadn't heard of this sahm's rule before.
What I found interesting was that it does not discriminate between permanent job losers and temporary layoffs.
The current rise is entirely due to temporary unemployment, isn't this something that can be reversed rather quickly?
"Among the unemployed, the number of people on temporary layoff increased by 249,000 to 1.1 million in July. The number of permanent job losers changed little at 1.7 million. (See table A-11.)"