Jump to content

Grenville

Member
  • Posts

    1,117
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Grenville

  1. Thank you for the link! Here is some of the commentary from the link: Based on what I read, it doesn't seem like the new customers are impacting the CR, It seems to be more prior year accident reserve development. The March CR might be tied more to March storms and maybe past reserve development including the FL tort reform. Maybe the 10Q and the CC has more granularity around auto, but their auto direct premiums really jumped
  2. Wow! Those are crazy numbers, I didn't realize the trend in Geico underwriting! Even crazier is Statefarms auto underwriting loss, it's multiples of Geico's. Impressive on progressive's end as long as they are reserving properly. The telematics front is interesting. I have so far shied away from having something track my driving habits for the sake of privacy and the intrusion on the way I drive. It does make me wonder how much it would affect my underlying premium.
  3. Its mind boggling to see the sudden change in rates and the widespread nature of it all....will be interesting to know if its just business as usual policy like others have mentioned or GEICO sees something others aren't seeing yet. The other wildcard is you have one of BRK investment managers running GEICO while at the same time you have to imagine Ajit Jain is aware of what's going on at GEICO and is ok with it?
  4. Cod Liver Oil: That's crazy to have your insurance jump that much, WOW. I am surprised they are using the speeding ticket from over a year ago. Premiums usually renew every 6 months, so why didn't it jump earlier. One thing that might be at play is a push towards telematics given someone else enjoyed a meaningful drop in rates once they added the monitoring. I just don't like the idea of someone tracking my driving habits all of a sudden when for the meaninful past they did not. It also seems not a great way to gain compliance by jacking up rates and then throwing out a carrot that you might get some savings by implementing this. I appreciate you reaching out to him. I just don't get why they are all of a sudden driving away good policyholders. It would be different if they implemented this on a consistent basis with so called groups, but this is more like we don't want to write premium and we also don't want good risk. So far in this small sample size it probably is people with older cars, good driving habits and no recent claims history... adesigar: Thanks for sharing your long tenor with Costco. I didn't know they offered auto/home. Have you had any claims expereince with them, how were they to deal with versus other carriers you might have had experience with?
  5. Gopinath thanks for sharing your experience as well. dealraker: Interesting, I assumed something was at play where we are subsidizing the cost of higher claims, but the magnitude of the delta in premium is what shocked me. If this type of tactic works then great for Geico i guess. I would have assumed the insurance business could target with more granularity given the quality of data analytics (like Snowflake) now. Roger: my data point is TX
  6. I thought I saw a topic on car insurance renewals, but I was just surprised by the jump in our premium and wanted to vent a little. Our six month policy came up for renewal, we are long time Geico customers and our policy jumped 63%. I was shocked after it staying around the same amount for a long time. The last six month bumped up 10%, but this last one was a doozy. No accidents and only one car on the policy, my wife's 2000s Corolla. What was odd to me is that after lowering my limits on the Geico auto policy for renewal, it still came in 73% higher than the progressive quote. Hopefully Todd Combs knows what he's doing, but I was shocked by the discrepancy in premiums. I also was disappointed when I talked to the GEICO rep and she seemed to understand and seemed like it was a common thing for the premiums to jump so much. Maybe I am missing something but seems weird to drive away long term customers with such drastic premium jumps all of a sudden, but I am probably missing something.
  7. Happy Holidays everyone!
  8. One of many for me....Selling a 3% position in Amazon shares in the $200s to invest more in Valeant....Double whammy...
  9. I am sure Fairfax will miss him! From the outside looking in, he seemed to be Prem's successor, should Prem decide to step down/retire.
  10. muscelman, Appreciate your post on what you were seeing with the technicals. This seems like an investment where there is a clear information asymmetry between investors for better or worse. Hopefully there isn't any asymmetry with the court outcomes like with the administration. Thank you for sharing what you saw because it seems to be a reflection of what was happening with material information.
  11. fwiw: "(two of two) Then Calabria will negotiate w Treasury & hopes to come to agreement by the fall that would allow them to stop Fannie and Freddie from sending profits to Treasury later this year. That is, ending the net sweep."
  12. that's some messed up shit.
  13. Glad to see Fairfax continue the litigation.
  14. Prem Watsa, You are a business owner in the United States and a human being. Please reach out to your colleague in the current administration, Wilbur Ross, to stop the unnecessary separation of children from their parents. Your colleagues and employees look up to your leadership and I believe this is an issue that could use your help. I apologize if I'm being disrespectful asking for your help or assuming that you haven't done anything to help. Thank you! ps. Sanjeev, feel free to remove this thread if it doesn't make sense or is counter productive.
  15. Eric, 1) Reached out to u via DM with one avenue that may help with your situation. 2) I believe the old site got archived by Sanjeev and I imagine there is some way to prove the veracity of the post from that time. I believe the flow of posts do an accurate job of framing your state of mind during that time like a journal. Maybe Sanjeev has an idea of proving the veracity. Also I'm sure others including myself can vouch for those post once you find the relevant ones in some formal manner that shows its not some made up thing but actual people willing to say they read those posts from that time. I for one remember you posting about Santa Barbara and having the option on the house you were renting, the tesla (having them come to fix it), there's plenty of anecdotes you shared during that time... Best of luck, but be rational and stay truthful as you try and fight someone that is twisting the facts for their own gain. Don't stoop to their level and hopefully the legal system will see thru the fabrication and surface the facts. Look forward to helping in any way we can.
  16. Happy New Year! Here’s to another crazy year.
  17. I couldn't access the site all day. Request to the site never came back for me.
  18. Maybe they are overly comforted with Wilbur Ross on the cabinet?
  19. http://proxy.dailyjournal.com/Fileserver/DJICText/DJCO_Proxy/DJAnnualReport2016.pdf
  20. http://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-executive-order-repeal-dodd-frank-fiduciary-rule-2017-2-1001721502 I found another link that has the same text as you posted: I guess we wait and see what these executive orders have to say.
  21. Trump's calendar shows he plans on signing executive orders today at noon. Buckle up. (my emphasis added on "executive order" in quote above) The text in that article has changed from what you posted above to this: Anyone have the earlier version of the article?
  22. Interesting, just looked at the actual document linked in the twitter post…it looks strange. The second page doesn't look like it matches the first page in scan quality and the second page questions restart the numbering from 1. I also couldn't find a link to the document from Brown's website, maybe I'm just looking in the wrong place. just some comments on the strangeness of the document. I hope we get some clarifications from the courts soon.
  23. Don't forget that Ackman owns FNMA common and Icahn is surely aware of that.
  24. Props to Brian & Prem on liquidating the long bonds… Decent move in the 30yr rate 7.8% to 2.83
  25. thumbs up! Thank you for posting this.
×
×
  • Create New...