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If the deal was digitally signed on Sunday why are they waiting until Friday to release the details? And if they're sending JD Vance out there to fluff the media in advance without providing details, it really doesnt bode well.
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Gayest event ever. Lots of half naked men. Too bad Trump didn’t take his shirt off.
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Got a bid, and closed Oct'26 LQDA $20 puts sold in Feb to fund OTM calls at that time. They had ~20% premium in Feb.
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Insurance Brokers (MMC, AON, AJG, WTW, BRO)
rogermunibond replied to tnathan's topic in General Discussion
FT on the very soft insurance market https://giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/actions/redeem/ec8c2ca1-1026-43cc-b91b-bbffcba72dd8 -
Blakes just mad he fell for the oil bros propaganda
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Bread & Circuses
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Word of advice....if you find yourself taking the opposite with just as firm of a stance you're likely just as bad of a rational thinker as the ones you're criticizing.
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Has the real estate angle been discussed any where, that would interest me more. Although I don't think it worked out very well when they took that angle with ToysRus
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Do you think they did the deal to help a Canadian Company? ex like how Blackberry investment likely was about saving a Canadian company (my guess)? or do you think they understand Canada better? I think there is a lot of hidden value in Andrew Peller real estate portfolio that could be unearthed with Capital that Andrew Peller could not.
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One would think oil plunging would be bullish for Indian stocks. FWIW, the rupee is less of a headwind this quarter vs last and the public market portfolio has bounced a decent amount. I assume BIAL valuation will continue to accrete. I added some today too.
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All I will say Fairfax often has many headscratching investments! If this wasn't in Canada, would they have bought it?
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Trying to argue with Trump supporters is like deciding to slam your head repeatedly into a brick wall. The wall of course never budges, and all you get at the end is a horrible headache.
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It's too bad they decided to attack us earlier this year. It's also been hard working with them considering they withdrew from the JCPOA.
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I felt some real sexual tension between Donald and Dana. I'm surprised they weren't holding hands as they walked out. I even thought they might kiss there at the end.
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Finally got a bunch of order fills today after trying every day for weeks. Looks like $17.72 was the lowest I got executed on so far
- Today
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Good thoughts, thanks.
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Managing a Concentrated Portfolio - How do you do it?
Red Lion replied to Cor's topic in General Discussion
That's my point, there's a huge difference in tax implications. You can sell losers/duds/underperformers to raise cash while allowing winners to compound tax deferred. If you've got $10 million in a taxable investment account and want to take out $400k a year, you could be paying 37% in a high tax state just on long term capital gains, so tax loss harvesting does have value. You'd probably need a lot more than $10 million to really make this worth your time, and there are direct indexing services available, haven't really looked into them. -
Managing a Concentrated Portfolio - How do you do it?
SharperDingaan replied to Cor's topic in General Discussion
+ 1 But that big position had better be a life changer for the amount of risk you are taking .... and you need to be willing to add to it at a 50% decline. Gain in the multiple six digits or higher, and a 'win' that pays off the mortgage ... and then some. Make volatily your friend, and you will also make money your servant .... reducing the anxiety. The squeeze balls, not get squeezed SD -
The real estate looks to be very high end. Looks like a bunch on multi-million dollar houses for sale in Niagara on the Lake. Any Canadians have an opinion?
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You do realize, that probably the majority of Americans and even the world, would be happy to shower Iran with economic growth and welcome to the 21st century incentives if they’d just stop the state sponsored terrorism stuff, right?
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In response: The real estate portfolio and inventory are largely required to run the business - anything that can't be sold can't be valued separately. There are zero meaningful synergies with Recipe/Keg. Peller already has significant distribution as described in the deck. Long term business - yes - but not a very good one. I used to know Concha y Toro in Chile quite well. I came to the conclusion that it is all but impossible to build real brand equity in mass consumption wine. Producers are much better at making taste consistent across vintages than they used to be, but there is immense competition. The best producers can do is earn a commoditised spread between input costs and sales price. That fluctuates from year to year but is fairly stable over time. Concha earned 5-12% ROIC over the 10 years I modelled it, averaging 7-8%. Sector is out of favour - is it? They're paying 11x ebitda* for a glorified farming business in an industry that hasn't grown volumes over the last 25 years. * $579m EV from the release divided by $50m L5Y average ebitda from the deck. I can't see the value here. I hope Fairfax has an angle! If they were buying a decent Burgundy producer at least I might be excited by shareholder discounts at the AGM!
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Looking through the deal press release, seems like this is much more of a retail, distribution business. 101 store locations plus an importer business in addition to the wine and liqueur brands.
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Honestly I was only half joking about the KW land redevelopment or Recipe synergies. Is there anything unique about this one? Are Canadians really loyal to it? Scratching my head down here in the US as I’ve read for years about how volumes are struggling and even Napa and Sonoma wineries are closing left and right. And if Prem thinks it’s cyclical, why not buy STZ, TAP, BUD, DEO?
