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  2. I think the real problem is the market structure. It’s the minority shareholders that determine what the equity is valued at by the market. Fairfax pays a big premium to that. The majority of the minority have to approve any transaction. They always go along because either they have better options for their capital or they don’t want to stomach a drawdown. I’m glad Fairfax is designed to take advantage of inefficient markets. It’s part of what makes me think a 10 year CAGR of 20-25% is more likely than <15%.
  3. People want to partner with us...India is ripe with opportunity...the government will privatize business...Poseidon going public...these notions have been around for a looong time, and, honestly, the more these things are said, the more they ring hallow. I feel like Charlie Brown having the ball pulled away right before kicking it. Please understand, FFHI is my #2 or #3 holding, depending on the day, so I did drink the Kool-Ade, and I still believe in the company and the potential, but it's interesting to see these attachments from April of 2024 26 months later realize that minimal tangible progress has been made. We have to trust that intangible progress is being made that is unseeable right now. i THINK that's happening, and really hope it is, but the fact that it hasn't yet does bring up the notion that either it won't, or that my patient capital would be better off being patient elsewhere. The above comments are well over 90% frustration with the rest being concern, anger or bewilderment. And, yes, one has to think that management is as frustrated as this shareholder. -Crip -Crip
  4. I think it was more to do with the escrow requirements but I’m an optimist.
  5. Today
  6. If we keep letting millions of people come to the US who don't share our values then we will end up much worse than Europe - look at Mamdani and the policies he is advocating/pursuing in NYC. At this point, plenty of places in the US have much higher taxes than Europe - NYC, California, Hawaii
  7. Most likely, this is just a way to lock in a high yield effectively in dollars, given the recent Indian government efforts to bring in dollars to shore up the rupee. It also helps them earn brownie points with the Indian government to speed up approval for their investments.
  8. I respectfully disagree - it’s not really complicated. It just never made any sense, and even Buffett eventually abandoned that way of thinking.
  9. Yesterday
  10. Well, for a long time Buffett didn't repurchase shares, idk if I'd call him an empire builder but I imagine he felt he could earn a better return investing rather than repurchasing. Then again I bet that's what every empire builder tells themselves. Of course Buffett happened to be right, at least for a very long time! The other difference IMO is Buffett maybe didn't want to come across as taking advantage of fellow shareholders (also why he publicly released his buyback criteria).
  11. Europeans have touted their social safety net and "quality of life" since the 1990s. They have neglected economic productivity, technology, and defense since then and it's no coincidence. The problem is that guys like Putin will always exist and if you don't have defense (or technology/productivity), one day that nice social safety net and "quality of life" will be taken from you (all of a sudden, it's just gone)...just the brutal reality of this world. The time period since the end of the Cold War has been unusual because the U.S. has basically allowed Europe to create a fantasy world that's now going away...
  12. Wealthier yes, but better I am not sure. Europe has a much better work life balance (work hours, vacation) and more livable cities. US has lower taxes , is much more entrepreneurial. I think the bottom 50% is probably better off in Europe, the top 25% better off in the USA and for the the rest depends. I think I can judge this better than most having lived and h sing friends on both sides of the pond and going back frequently. I think the combo of working in the US and retiring in Europe is hard to beat. FWIW, most people going to the Worldcup have travelled to the USA before, so I think some of the stories are a bit staged. Europeans know Amerika much better than vice versa.
  13. Free refills is the killer app in restaurants. Here in the south they even give you a cup and a lid and refill to go.
  14. I tell this to people, the average European doesn’t understand just how much wealthier the average American is. However, I wouldn’t say Americans live better overall, Europeans mostly seem content to be a bit poorer in exchange for a stronger safety net.
  15. Hey, at least your old man loves you!
  16. I knew Charlie Rose was great interviewer, but I never knew about his website. It is incredible: https://charlierose.com/ I recommend taking a look at it.
  17. It's really great to see, especially how they celebrate the little things like air-conditioning and free soda refills.
  18. You don't even know the half of it
  19. 100%. I think the same thinking has overcome our younger generation when it comes to 9/11 as well.
  20. Pretty harsh Blake. You definitely sound like an arrogant little shit!
  21. Yeah, I suspect, at heart, Buffett might have been a bit of an empire-builder, because it seemed to me that, for a thoughtful guy, he reacted too late to the challenges of scale. It feels like Fairfax has made that switch at about the right time if one is trying to maximize shareholder returns. You want the best of both worlds--economies of scale while still having a large universe of potential investments.
  22. Change, you must be the fastest typer in the world.
  23. Trump and the American people are trapped in a dangerous, negative feedback loop with one another. Throughout his life, Trump's entire mission has been to put his name and likeness wherever possible, through any means available. We are talking about a man who, now as president, receives a yearly document detailing how many times his name has been used on TikTok. He must be talked about, shown on TV, and embedded in the brains of everyone around the world incessantly. It is his drive. How does he accomplish this? Through increasing amounts of chaos of course. And at the same time, the American people are increasingly tuning out as the chaos Trump generates begins to scare them. They tune out more and more, which, in turn, causes Trump to push ever harder in his never-ending mission of capturing the minds and thoughts of everyone. This feedback loop will not end until Trump is either out of office or dead, and will likely only increase in its ferocity. I would also like to say that I do not respect the views, opinions, or logic of Trump supporters. It's always funny for me seeing your input because it only ever reminds me of how worthless it is. You are the ones who enabled the dangerous feedback loop I described up above, after all. But this is not to say that you are bad people outside of those beliefs. My dad is one of the biggest Trumpers there ever was. I love that man so much it is indescribable. But I also realize that he is a racist who is highly ignorant when it comes to policy, markets, economics, anything really of macro substance. He is a tribal-thinking ideologue who has fallen in line behind a mass manipulator, as I believe many on this board have as well.
  24. https://archive.ph/j6kgr
  25. On share buybacks, Buffett definitely talked out of both sides of his mouth. He had one line of reasoning for buying back BRK stock... and a completely different line of reasoning when businesses he owned did it. That is not a criticism... it is complicated.
  26. You might want to keep in mind that we're almost at the end of Q2, a quarter where the average crude price has been very elevated. For most, Q2 earnings will be released around mid August. Today, most companies are priced at what the average crude price was, when the war started. An opportunity SD
  27. Yeah, at the time, I think it was a no-brainer. Why wouldn't you use a massive bomb you recently developed in a war that already lasted four years? It also was pretty tiny relative to nukes today. My impression is that the controversy only arose decades later, when the moment was long past and people had the prosperity necessary to develop luxury beliefs.
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