west Posted October 6, 2014 Share Posted October 6, 2014 Recently ItsAValueTrap posted a great article on his blog about future demand for different technologies (e.g., CPU power, network bandwidth, etc.) Please read it here: http://glennchan.wordpress.com/2014/10/04/what-happens-when-technology-is-good-enough/ I would summarize, but by summarizing it I think I would skew what he says in a way that more reflects what my perspective is. So I'll leave it for you to read instead of summarizing. :D One of the things he talks about is how he thinks that the future demand for bandwidth will decrease once there is full 4K penetration in the cable and other video delivery businesses in the US. I disagreed with him on this, or at least I felt that assuming demand for more speed/bandwidth would taper off is a dangerous assumption. My feeling on the matter is that there always seems to be something new in technology that creates demand for more. While this isn't true in the realm of CPU power (most people have enough CPU power at this point to meet their needs) or in say sound cards (when's the last time anyone here worried about what sound card is in their computer?), it is true for almost every other domain in technology. For example, the more hard drive space is available to consumers, the more people seem to need more hard drive space. My feeling is that while there is a chance that demand could taper off at some level, we are a long ways away from that point. There could be more devices on the network, whether at home or at work. There could be more applications, some of which we haven't even heard or thought of. (Holographic video calls anyone?) Who knows. I just think we're a long, long way off from satisfying any current or future complete bandwidth demand. I think Glenn's thinking goes something along the line of: Most internet traffic is driven by video and most people don't care too much about 4K video (let alone 8K video). Even if they do care about 4K video, most networks will be able to handle it within a few years. Then what's left to drive bandwidth? (Correct me if I'm wrong on this Glenn.) What do you guys (preferably you guys who have knowledge on the matter) think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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