
schin
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Everything posted by schin
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What is your top 3 business/finance/investing books you've read?
schin replied to schin's topic in General Discussion
I'm actually surprised people didn't mention some of Annie Duke's books or Morgan Housel's books. -
What is your top 3 business/finance/investing books you've read?
schin replied to schin's topic in General Discussion
I know there has been a lot of debate about Pabrai and his performance. But, I did enjoy his two books - Mosaic and The Dhando Investor. I know Mosaic is a collection of his articles... What's weird is I felt he strayed from some of the stuff he mentioned in those books. He was on a Checklist Manfesto kick... and now he's all things international.... I felt if he followed his earlier thoughts and approach, he would post better numbers. Again, people evolve I guess. -
If he sees danger, I would think he and Todd/Ted would be reducing positions too. But again, I think tech stocks are still high, but other stocks are still within the reasonable range. If the Fed does reduce interest rates, it's generally bullish for the market. Again, I don't remember seeing him thinning positions from an economic PoV. He devised his airline stocks because he didn't like the optics of the bailout that must happen and how it would be perceived as a pass through to him... but, he has been selling off his other bank holdings before he started thinning BAC.
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New book on Bill Gates - and it's not pretty
schin replied to Peregrine's topic in General Discussion
@ValueArb We should all be like Leonard DiCarpio and only dated 25 year old women in their prime. -
I should use the number of posts on this thread as an indictor on liquor sales. No wonder LVMH, Brown Forman, and Diageo announced lower earnings.... few posts on here. I need to do data analysis on wines and companies to see what will rally in the future. I've been reading the ValueLine for Brown Forman and Diageo -- it is definitely looking interesting.
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It'll be awesome if this get so crazy that BoA asks for convertible bonds as a show of confidence from Warren. LOL.
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Does anyone remember a situation when Buffett started to sell going into a downturn? I don't he did anything special (do any mass sells) going into the dotcom bubble; GFC; Covid, etc. Is this the first time he started selling his top positions like this? I find it funny for a person famous for being buy and hold, he does a lot of selling recently.... I remember Alan Greenberg of Bear Stern laughing when talking about Buffett being a buy and hold investor when he says... he sees him active every day.
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What is your top 3 business/finance/investing books you've read?
schin replied to schin's topic in General Discussion
@gfp Do you listen to David Senra's Founder's podcast? He talks about a lot of biographies. So, what are your favorite autobiographies/biographies? -
What is your top 3 business/finance/investing books you've read?
schin replied to schin's topic in General Discussion
@frommi - I took the leap the invested $22 in Evan's book. I better change my life. LOL -
I'm assuming people would put down the classics from Ben Graham, Peter Lynch, Seth Klarman, and Joel Greenblatt. But, I'm alway open to suggestions from this forum. A long time ago, someone recommended Capital Accounts and Capital Returns by Edward Chancellor and those really opened up my eyes. Inside baseball, actually Nick Sleep wrote some of those MAM letters. I like Howard Marks' first book - The Most Important Thing.
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@73 Reds - Congrats on the first post and limited use of debt. Why is your retirement account so small relative to your total holdings? Pretty impressive how you have purchase real estate without debt. How did you go about that? I know you are super conservative, but it's hard to get good returns without a bit of leverage there, isn't it? It doesn't look like you'r doing fixer uppers or large apt complexes that might take more money on top of acq. Again, interesting and just wanting to learn more.
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Yes, I think counterparty risk is a huge risk with swaps, options, CDO, etc. They're just embedded leverage. I do not know who the CEO gamblers in Wall Street nowadays... I feel Jaime Dimon, Brian M, Christian Sewing as super conservative and not coming from a marketing/sales background. I'm reading books about DB, ABN Amro, BAC's histories and it seems when an overly ambitious IBanker runs the show bad things happen. If the CEO comes from the retail banking or risk management side of things, it's run more conservatively and things don't blow up. When they want to scale or be a Global XYZ or they need to make 15%+ ROIC.... risks are taken and leverage is added. I believe banks are prone to boom and bust cycles. It's when there is growth at all costs is when things go bad. I worry this whole ESG trend will go towards that. As for AI, it's going to be a black box... so, it's like the conventional wisdom in 2008 that housing prices have never gone down... and then, Housing boom burst... and breaks the 1000 year old rule. AI is going to lead into overconfidence. And it'll create this "mark-to-model" versus "mark-to-market" problem..... AI is not going to save the world.... If it's trained on aggressive techniques, it'll over leverage. Think Long-Term Capital and all these flash crashes on steroids.
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It's crazy how much they raved about each other and Warren backpedalling from Bill like he and David Sokol.
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Never been to a McConnells...but, collaborations are generally good. Broadens the customer base by a little bit. I'm surprised See's didn't do a collaboration with Dairy Queen..... keep it in the family.
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Public Company Share Repurchase-Cannibals
schin replied to nickenumbers's topic in General Discussion
@thowed - I am inching into the position. In the last conference call, they mentioned they are comfortable with 18/sh of earning... Trading at 130/sh now..that's a sub 10 P/E.... with limited debt... Even if they are over-earning, the products are tangible and not vaporware... and if they are overearning, they are NOT over leveraging... which is a recipe for disaster. They are making investments in plants in America and not an Asian plant that might not exist. The workflow is not streamlined, but they acknowledge it's a work in progress. If you goto their website, the jobs they are hiring for...are very blue collar... which is not bad or good, per se... just they don't get blackmailed by hiring AI engineers and IT staff at premiums. -
Public Company Share Repurchase-Cannibals
schin replied to nickenumbers's topic in General Discussion
@giulio - It's amazing how UniCredit had the worst credit risks of European Banks and now, it's one of the most profitable and under appreciated. I like the capital returns, but it was a quick turn from worst to first. -
Public Company Share Repurchase-Cannibals
schin replied to nickenumbers's topic in General Discussion
I have recently found Atkore Inc - ATKR. I think it checks all the cannibal boxes. -
Charlie Munger's Bookshelf - Help Me With Identification Please
schin replied to Voodooking's topic in General Discussion
I am a bit shocked he doesn't have any Harry Potter Books or Danielle Steele novels.... -
@Saluki - So, what is the final line between this pump and dump and what they do in the movie "Boiler Room" or early "Wolf of Wall Street" staff? That's crazy. It just promotes bad behavior.
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Interactive Brokers stops US, CAD, EU Investors from buying in China
schin replied to Luke's topic in General Discussion
@Gamecock-YT - How does Know Your Customer and Anti-Money Laundering play into low volume stocks with large spreads in HK? -
It's disingenuous, but I guess not illegal.. He's a self-promoter and knows just mentioning it would be a catalyst. I guess he has the Warren Buffett affect on stocks (like Chubb), but Warren holds long term.... They can sell short term since they don't have insider information.. but, someone else is holding the bag... but, the others have to take ownership of being lemming I guess.
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@wescobrk - I know he has a CFA and was working in the industry (insurance?). But, again, his brilliance last time was to identify a highly shorted stock and use social media to rally a "commoners" mob mentally movement. If anything, he was a brilliant sociologist. There was no fundamentals then and there are none now. If you tell me, he used his CFA/finance background to find a stock with a high short ratio... I guess that's the brilliance...but, he is not the best stock analyst out there. Again, he won the game last time ... and got out... I don't know why he had to come back with this BS. I guess he's bored.. but, he was a one-trick wonder.... He didn't get a fund from it last time. He didn't get invited to ValueX. He didn't get called from Warren Buffett to be part of the Ted and Todd investment team. He got money that was more than he should have expected. He didn't get any creds other than being the king of the stock retards.
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78% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck
schin replied to Blake Hampton's topic in General Discussion
Buffett was right that luck of being born in the right country or migrating to the right country is a huge factor. In terms of saving, it's almost like playing a video game and your power level is low. You try to find some power-up or something to get more time. I know it's not always easy, but I would assume most people would have that same feeling of nervousness without a buffer. I either have to work harder or take on more shifts...Or make sacrifices to start the snowball again. I know someone will point out the extreme cases of large families out of wedlock or mentally challenged, homeless people... but, that must be 10% of that 78%. For most people in the 78%, are they really focused on needs versus wants (frivolous consumption) that they can control?