I wonder if what ultimately deflates this bubble is all the bubbles crashing together to compete for liquidity. Two datapoints already:
- Bitcoin now down 50% from the peak. Ethereum down 80% from 2024 levels. All other crypto: virtually no bid
- Korea experiencing the largest single month of foreign selling ($30 billion out in May) and the largest single year of foreign net selling (~$100 billion YTD) likely because foreigners are selling out of memory for upcoming IPOs
On top of this, Google is doing an $85 billion raise in advance of the 3 mega IPOs and S&P just shut off the spigots for passive flows into all of 3 IPOs, choking off the last source of exit liquidity. This may well get pretty ugly.