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Everything posted by Parsad
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Thanks Lemsip! Cheers!
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Manhattan was also sold for about $24 of beads and trinkets, but I don't think that would work now for a global monetary system. The barter system has existed longer than currency. But the barter system would not work efficiently on a global basis. I've owned a chunk of a barter exchange (ITEX) and while you can trade services for services through ITEX's currency, it is not something that could be adopted on a national or global scale...simply because most of the world would not sell their products for ITEX currency, because they could not go and use it everywhere to buy what they need. BTC is a derivative of barter or similar to ITEX currency. It exists as a form of currency in a small exchange, but not one that is particularly useful on a global level. It has also showed far more volatility than even something like ITEX currency, let alone gold or fiat currencies. Instead of being an asset of choice during a liquidity event like commodities or treasuries, people flee BTC and other current crypto. I think investors would be better off buying the infrastructure companies around blockchain, than buying crypto itself long-term. Own the highways, not the cars! Cheers!
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Bill, do you know what is the total amount Buffett has donated to non-profit organizations to date, since he started giving shares to the Gates Foundation? Cheers!
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There is nothing backing BTC...no utility, no tax revenues, no assets, no gold, no fiat currency...only scarcity. If something is scarce, but has no utility and value...what is it worth? How much would you pay for peanut shells if there were no peanuts? But even peanut shells has some use as ground up filler, compost, etc. BTC has nothing...nada, zilch, zero value or utility. Blockchain is real! It will be the next wave of disruption over the next 20 years. There will be future digital currencies using blockchain. I just don't see the current batch being the winner, and if there is one, it's probably something that hasn't been created yet or no one is paying attention to. But hey, I thought rap music was a fad back in the 90's! Cheers!
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Or could be more human than we think! Cheers!
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Yup, totally agree! Cheers!
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We're not going to see $200 oil in the next 12 months. At $150, the pain is going to start to really hit consumers and industry. 10 kids on the same side of the seesaw...maybe market sellers, crypto sellers, strength of USD, commodity investors. Not that I'm for the current batch of crypto, but blockchain infrastructure companies are getting thrown out with the coins...so there may be some opportunity there. Really most of the ridiculous stuff was happening late last year when I had moved to 50% cash...crypto, markets, real estate, spacs, etc. It's Christmas again and I'm doing a ton of shopping! Cheers!
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They said "Greg Malchowski is at the pool today, we're going to sink the Dow nearly 1,000 points!" Don't go to the pool tomorrow Greg! Cheers!
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Current bid is $3M...Cheers! https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-last-warren-buffett-lunch-175430933.html
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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/read-conversations-helped-convince-google-034756721.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/google-ai-lamda-blake-lemoine-212412967.html Cheers!
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Yes, he's said before that he does 45 minutes to 1 hour of treadmill walking every day...usually after a couple of cheeseburgers and Cokes! Charlie only exercises his brain. Both are happy with life and what they get to do...that's probably the biggest secret! Joe Segal, a well-known investor and real estate developer here in Vancouver...he worked till the day he died at 96 last week...was one of the happiest people you'd ever meet, a philanthropist and loved his work. Jim Pattison, another well known billionaire investor in Vancouver who is buddies with Buffett, is also 93 years old and works every day. Healthy as a horse and again, the happiest guy you'll ever meet. Working and doing what you love works almost as well as nutrition and daily exercise! This in turn makes me happy, because a couple of my friends, Prem Watsa and Francis Chou, love what they are doing and it's nice to know they'll be around another 25-30 years! Cheers!
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Wintaai - Stonetrust Insurance - Chou Funds - Francis Chou Vehicles
Parsad replied to Parsad's topic in General Discussion
AM Best Upgrades Credit Ratings of Members of Stonetrust Insurance Group CONTACTS: Chris Draghi Associate Director +1 908 439 2200, ext. 5043 chris.draghi@ambest.com Richard Attanasio Senior Director +1 908 439 2200, ext. 5432 richard.attanasio@ambest.com Christopher Sharkey Manager, Public Relations +1 908 439 2200, ext. 5159 christopher.sharkey@ambest.com Jeff Mango Managing Director, Strategy & Communications +1 908 439 2200, ext. 5204 jeffrey.mango@ambest.com FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE OLDWICK - JUNE 08, 2022 01:55 PM (EDT) AM Best has upgraded the Financial Strength Rating (FSR) to A- (Excellent) from B++ (Good) and the Long-Term Issuer Credit Ratings (Long-Term ICR) to “a-” (Excellent) from “bbb+” (Good) of Stonetrust Commercial Insurance Company and its reinsured subsidiary, Stonetrust Premier Casualty Insurance Company. The outlook of these Credit Ratings (ratings) has been revised to stable from positive. The companies are domiciled in Omaha, NE, and are known collectively as Stonetrust Insurance Group. The ratings reflect Stonetrust Insurance Group’s balance sheet strength, which AM Best assesses as very strong, as well as its adequate operating performance, limited business profile and appropriate enterprise risk management (ERM). The rating upgrades reflect sustained improvement in the group’s overall balance sheet strength. The group has maintained the strongest level of risk-adjusted capitalization, as measured by Best’s Capital Adequacy Ratio (BCAR), adhering to internal targets set by management. Furthermore, the surplus position has been enriched consistently by income derived from underwriting activities. Loss reserve development has been consistently favorable since management implemented more-robust guidelines regarding the carried position, as well as further emphasis put on its comprehensive claims closure strategy, which has materially reduced the number of open claims from older accident years. Partially offsetting these favorable attributes are elevated positions in more-volatile asset classes, marked by a common stock leverage that compares unfavorably with the composite average. However, management is expected to maintain close controls over the portfolio to mitigate potential volatility and actively monitor risk appetites and tolerances. The group’s adequate operating performance has benefited from profitability initiatives geared toward refining the classes of business written, as well as a commitment to safety and loss prevention strategies. The group’s limited profile reflects its product and geographic concentration as a monoline workers’ compensation writer primarily in a few key states. Nonetheless, the group continues to expand geographically in an effort to improve diversification. The group maintains an appropriate ERM program to mitigate risk exposure, which is overseen by an ERM steering committee. This press release relates to Credit Ratings that have been published on AM Best’s website. For all rating information relating to the release and pertinent disclosures, including details of the office responsible for issuing each of the individual ratings referenced in this release, please see AM Best’s Recent Rating Activity web page. For additional information regarding the use and limitations of Credit Rating opinions, please view Guide to Best’s Credit Ratings. For information on the proper use of Best’s Credit Ratings, Best’s Performance Assessments, Best’s Preliminary Credit Assessments and AM Best press releases, please view Guide to Proper Use of Best’s Ratings & Assessments. AM Best is a global credit rating agency, news publisher and data analytics provider specializing in the insurance industry. Headquartered in the United States, the company does business in over 100 countries with regional offices in London, Amsterdam, Dubai, Hong Kong, Singapore and Mexico City. -
Ok, so you pick Paul Pelosi and rightfully so, since he is an ass and his wife is a hypocrite. But you could have also chosen to point out Trump's tax follies...equally disgusting. And before you say it, I'm happy to throw Hunter Biden into this shithole too. But let's stop the partisan politics hidden as economic rationale. If you are going to pick on the elite and their privilege, pick on both sides. Cheers!
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Are you slowing things down, or trying to lift people up? Greg, if you are ever in a car crash, or God forbid suffer some devastating setback, I hope the person that offers their hand to help you or your family doesn't think the same sort of thing that went through your head..."utterly useless and helpless"! I've been through a lot of things in my life...just like most people...and for all intents and purposes, I could be viewed as a moderate success, but there have been a couple of periods where I could have been as down and out as the dregs of society you unintentionally maligned. There but for the grace of God go I...humanity isn't a left or right thing. Cheers!
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I never thought inflation was transitory, as we've been watching manufacturers and retailers dealing with some production inflation for the last couple of years...the shrinkage in product size for the same price since early 2019. But the amount of cash flowing into bank accounts has created inflationary pressure in many more areas than just production costs...distribution, labor, commodities, microchips, etc. And I've expected a correction around 30-35%...we had already hit 31% on the Nasdaq and 20-21% on the Dow and S&P500. I find it hard to see a larger correction than that with the way consumers and the economy are powering on. You look at the recent earnings reports from many retailers, travel-related companies, restaurants...consumers are spending and in a big way. They're just moving to different areas of industry to spend some of their dollars that have opened up after the pandemic. It's going to be interesting to see how they can do it, but rising rates should have a reasonable effect on current inflationary pressure. I think we'll get a better idea after the 3rd quarter how these 0.5% rate hikes are affecting spending and the economy. But I just don't see a prolonged recession happening yet...too much money still on the sidelines in checking accounts and corporate balance sheets! Look at Macy's recent report...terrific sales, increased revenue and earnings, cash on the books, lower costs due to efficiencies put in place during the pandemic and they've paid down over a third of the debt accumulated during the slowdown. Look at the comments by Jamie Dimon and Brian Moynihan...both see a robust economy with consumers spending, and debt still under control. Much of the nutso valuations have corrected anywhere from 40-90% (AMZN - PTON) primarily in the areas that had excessive expectations. Speculative assets have equally collapsed and hit the floor...crypto, meme stocks, SPAC's, Cathie Wood's ass! Most of the areas that weren't excessive are probably trading in the 7-12 times P/E range on normalized earnings now...retailers, restaurants, banks, manufacturers, industrial, distribution, etc. While the overall market at the bottom recently was around 18 times P/E. Is there more pain to come...probably some. But this is nothing like 2008/2009 or the pandemic...not sure it's even that similar to 1999. History doesn't repeat, but it may rhyme! So yes, another correction, but not necessarily like the others...except that it always ends! Cheers!
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They've adopted BTC solely for the purpose of bypassing fiat based currency. If you are a country that nationalizes foreign corporations, you want to relieve yourself of being dependent on fiat currencies when you eventually get sanctioned. I'm sure Russia wishes they had adopted BTC more readily in the present circumstances. But, most of the world will want to be able to transact through stable fiat currencies. Many of those looking to BTC will find more durable, stable variants later on as cryptocurrencies develop. Can you make a calculated bet on BTC right now without the possibility of losing significant capital long-term? Remember, rule #1...don't lose money! Cheers!
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Movies and TV shows (general recommendation thread)
Parsad replied to Liberty's topic in General Discussion
He was in two of my favorite movies of all time...Goodfellas and Field of Dreams. Both him and Kevin Costner were on such a run of great movies at that time. -
Hi SD, I know all that. But it is almost inevitable that governments will crack down on crypto in current form, purely to deter the underground economy that has grown enormously and money laundering. Governments are always late to the party, but they eventually get to the party and ruin it once they realize that too many people are having fun. At some point, fiat currencies backed by tax revenues or gold, will create their own digital currencies using blockchain. More stable, easily convertible, trackable for tax purposes and a deterrent to the current base of crypto. Cheers!
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This is all great, but when you go to spend your bitcoin next week at Overstock.com, and it's at $15K, how are you ahead of the game? And then Overstock.com sells you a Rolex this week for one BTC, but then next week they are adding to their inventory and BTC is now at $15K...suddenly they are paying twice as much for the same Rolexes they were selling last week! Luna is a perfect example of why this won't work. It was backed by BTC, and then we saw what happened. If they had pegged it to fiat currencies or gold, it would be around still. Again, I'm not against blockchain based crypto...I've been following it longer than 99% of people...but all I'm saying is that the stuff we have today is shit! It's AOL, not Google. Properly designed crypto will be extremely disruptive, stable and functional as a replacement for fiat currency. Cheers!
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Not as terrible as analogy as you might think: https://www.tradewindsnews.com/opinion/-insane-market-as-prices-for-secondhand-container-ships-jump-by-a-third/2-1-1159454 Ships, planes, cars, trucks, etc depreciate in accounting terms and lifespan, but that doesn't mean their utility value decreases. Thus the massive price increase in second-hand containerships during the hard market. So depreciation reduces the asset value in terms of GAAP/IFRS, but the cash flows being generated by those depreciated assets has not changed. For example, again using McDonalds, who write down depreciation on PPE every year in their restaurants, but you can still make the same hamburgers on that equipment and charge customers the same for them. Whether you like it or not, ships are assets. Atlas is financing them through long-term leases, and they will do the same at APR. It's what Sokol did at MAE, it's how Netjets works, as well as BNSF...Atlas is no different. Cheers!
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The contingency is to ship it in from other countries. Why on earth would you blame the government (either Republican or Democrat), for a company that was using substandard facilities to make baby formula? And do you think that officials just shut manufacturing facilities down without weighing consequences? Not that I'm defending this situation or others...but not every official is an idiot...nor is there much a government can do in the short-term, if years of underinvestment creates a shortage during a crisis. Cheers!
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Why? Personally, I wouldn't buy either, but why BTC over gold? Cheers!
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Overstock.com! $450M cash sitting on the books. Will do about $2.5B in revenues with a 3-4% net profit margin. $1.05B valuation. Hardly any debt. Means a P/E of about 7-10 times. Medici Ventures (blockchain portfolio) is given zero value...free call option. Could be worth anywhere from $750M to $4-5B depending on how they grow and are monetized. tZero alone could grow to a $50B business over the next 10-15 years! Pelion Ventures is now managing the Medici assets as the Medici Fund...an LP in which Overstock.com is the sole LP. Cheers!
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Movies and TV shows (general recommendation thread)
Parsad replied to Liberty's topic in General Discussion
The part they excluded was when Richard slaps Chris Rock across the face for making fun of Oracene at Wimbledon! The Queen was not pleased. Cheers! -
Movies and TV shows (general recommendation thread)
Parsad replied to Liberty's topic in General Discussion
For Yellowstone fans, Tyler Sheridan is doing another prequel series called "1932" with Helen Mirren and Harrison Ford as another generation of the Dutton clan. Will cover prohibition, droughts and the Great Depression. This one may end up even better than Yellowstone itself! Cheers! https://deadline.com/2022/05/yellowstone-prequel-1932-helen-mirren-harrison-ford-1235026210/