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Everything posted by John Hjorth
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Buffett/Berkshire - general news
John Hjorth replied to fareastwarriors's topic in Berkshire Hathaway
Pretty much chaos at Berkshire HQ, -I wonder what the talks are about at those [was it] tuesday lunches [with the CIOs]? -
Anyone know how Kraven is doing? I was just thinking about him earlier today. I was re-reading some quant stuff which led me to some antitrust legal canon concerning how Porter's Five Forces is basically bunk. I had a similar personal realization with M. Gladwell's stuff. I think my journey toward quant-esque investing has been probably kind of similar to his. I dont think I was here while he was an active poster, but we exchanged messages a little bit ago. He can chime in if he's still following but the gist was similar to what a lot of us have acknowledged the past few years. There is not a ton of unique investment related discussion here, and the investment related discussion that does take place, is often in the same trite names and largely an echo chamber...BRK, FFH, etc. The mere concept of anchoring to the past.
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Cigarbutt, Ref. this quoted post of yours, and the chart in your last post [where Denmark is charted, too], right now [started at 15:00 hours local time] there is a Police Press Conference on the Danish News Channel called TV2 News. The whole ting reminds me about a doctor [i think he was american], stating some time ago, that he was fighting on two flanks : 1. The virus 2. The ignorance and the reckless stupidity of the population [, generally speaking]. - - - o 0 o - - - Personally, I've lost all faith & hope in a definitive solution to this situation without a vaccine [, though I still hope I'm wrong].
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Thank you for your last post, and thereby reminding me, Investor20, Here up in northern Europe [Denmark], we're now gradually entering what I call "the dark season" [which I simply hate!]. I've now put purchase of Vitamin D on my TO-DO list for Monday. [i don't know if the Lady of the House and I are in a state of Vitamin D deficiency or not - No need to challenge the fate.] Disclosure : I've had two post signatures over the years here on CoBF. The first one, until I switched to the incumbent a few years ago, was : "Don't worry about getting old - It doesn't last that long." [Needless to say, that I'm happy for the switch back then today! [ ; - D]].
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I can't help quoting SharperDingaan here, Screening the markets for cheap stocks can't hurt, until one engage. From a long perspective [, all kinds of financial instruments omitted here], losses are created by buying, gains are created by holding or selling. It's not that hard to explain basically - a good deal harder to practice.
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Does it even matter? Please stay faithful to your personal process!
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Buffett/Berkshire - general news
John Hjorth replied to fareastwarriors's topic in Berkshire Hathaway
Please keep them coming, BPCAP, We all live with the FSAs [more or less political independent], which make sure, that banks aren't charitable institutions, but banks. -
Cigarbutt, I hope that you've "cooled down" - a bit - on a [hopefully] good night's sleep, while at the same time, you never "hit the roof" or "go ballistic" based on something posted here on CoBF [, to the contrary to me, - now and then].
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Buffett/Berkshire - general news
John Hjorth replied to fareastwarriors's topic in Berkshire Hathaway
Poor Dynamic! [ : - ) ], -It becomes harder and harder to keep the Berkshire portfolio updated. At least it keeps Dynamic away from trading! -
Buffett/Berkshire - general news
John Hjorth replied to fareastwarriors's topic in Berkshire Hathaway
Wirtschafts Woche [August 27th 2020] : Warren Buffett – die Bilanz des Gurus. Instead of bugging Spekulatius with a question on here about what "kleinanleger" translates to in English, I looked it up myself, and got a bit surprised, likely because I thought it meant "wimp" or something like that! [ : - D] -
What is Pabrai's Blackjack Secret?
John Hjorth replied to Mephistopheles's topic in General Discussion
Sanjeev & Writser, I'm not even searching - desperately - for DooDiligence's hurt feelings report once uploaded here on CoBF! [ : - ) ] I've always found Writser's investment style fascinating. I suppose you guys are much more transactional in your investment style than me, which I think is perhaps somewhat related to taxes [i'm taxed on everything I do - no four letter abbreviation tax free account type available for poor me!]. I also consider Writser's comment "non-a$$hole", because it's actually a good explanation of Writser's modus operandi. Have a nice weekend to you both! [ : - ) ] -
What is Pabrai's Blackjack Secret?
John Hjorth replied to Mephistopheles's topic in General Discussion
Let me here just say: Geez, I'm really tired of this topic, because I do not [basically] consider it investment related. [However just about everything allowed for discussion in the "General Discussion" forum]. Edit : Perhaps "the issue at hand" is that I haven't been "attacked" by anyone one here on CoBF for some time now? [To keep me sharp!][ ; - D ] -
Absolutely. I think even inadvertently I realized the need for this when Casey posted on "the next FANGs". It can have different meanings or angles to look at depending on how you look at them. IE next already establishment large cap turning into mega T-cap. Simple a moat and long runway. A revolutionary or disruptive technology. In its simplest form I'd suppose the FANG premise is merely a gargantuan wealthy creating machine. This can be influenced by many different things, events, or circumstances, some perhaps we've seen before, others maybe we have yet to see. Thank you, Greg, And btw, certainly an interesting topic! My request about omitting names was based on that to make a killing on something like the FANGs of the future, to me personally, there are conditions that needs fulfilment in the first place: 1. One need to pinpoint the company before it IPOs [after which one buy it in the IPO]. Thus the "no names" request from me [, because you can't buy it right now, unless one have sufficient capital to participate privately in some VC adventure before that], 2. Likely, it requires certain specific professional skills to actually see the potential, the moat and the long runway [circle of competence], in reality only possessed by few persons.
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Thank you for sharing, Spekulatius, Stay humble to the game.
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Greg, Is it OK with you to widen up the topic a bit and post thoughts without actually mentioning names, thereby also adding to the topic a slightly different angle?
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Of course there are many variables, but still, it's a data point that doesn't help support the approach. Also, since about May, many European peer states are just as open than Sweden. Schools for example opened in late April or May in Germany and Denmark. I don’t know about France though. One of the issue that caused the recent outbreak was travel during the summer. There were issue with crowds in Mallorca (around the infamous Schinkenstrasse etc) and contact tracing showed 25% of thr confirmed cases due to travel and the real number is likely much higher. On the same note, I think father day and 4th of July likely caused the recent surge in the surge that seems to be ebbing no. I expect another surge when schools reopen and on thanksgiving. @Castanza- the protests certainly didn’t help, but most protests were in blue states and that’s not where the surge happened. So, I don’t think the protests were the main reason for the surge. With regard to tiny Denmark, what Spekulatius here posted, is true, here, locally. The whole situation here in Denmark is somewhat "messy & blended" : Outbreak recently in a meat processing plant [owned by Danish Crown] in Ringsted, about 50 km to the west from Copenhagen [it seems to be under control now, though], "Messy" situation in the second-largest city in Denmark, called Aarhus, located in Jutland, Pretty high infection numbers per capita in some municipalities around Copenhagen. - - - o 0 o - - - - Countermeasures disclosed to the Danish population today : Compulsory use of face masks for all citizens using any kind of publicly available transportation. [busses, trains, leight-rails, taxis etc.], starting next Saturday.
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Is there something to deduct & learn from those books about the correlations between returns, size & libido? - In that case, I'll buy them right away! [ : - ) ]
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Personally, I must admit for this year, that - so far - I've failed with regard to reading activity [too much IRL stuff to handle]. But Saluki's post, combined the post by VersaillesinNY now has me turned on.
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Liberty's post triggers me to ask a question: Doesn't a digital public ID exist for US citizens?
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Jurgis, I think you forgot to add [, ref. the Russian context here] "... and go on summer vacation trecking in "the Russian [now, for some years "untouched" & left alone] national park" called "Tjernobyl"."
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Heck, here we go : AAPL closing price EOP 2020Q2 : 364.80 [source : Yahoo! Finance] AAPL shares held EOP 2020Q1 by Berkshire : 245,155,566 [source : Dataroma] AAPL shares reported by NEAM EOP 2020Q1 :1,452,250 + 3,578 [= 1,455,828] [source : NEAM 13-F/HR EOP 2020Q1] Total : 246,611,394 Calculated market value EOP 2020Q2 : 246,611,394 * 364.80 = 89,963,836,531. "Big Four" comment states "$ 91.5 billion". So there was added to the position during 2020Q2?? [ 0_0 ] -Did I get it right?
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With regard to the AAPL position, has anyone of my fellow board members tried to tie the value in the "Big Four" statement to the last known share count for AAPL shares held by Berkshire? [bRK plus NEAM numbers [, if any]].
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Very nice to see you back, Valuehalla! [ : - ) ]
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Xerxes, I must admit, that at first glance, I was personally stunned, too. But I quickly regained posture about it. It's honest accounting, because the destruction of value here is real. Edit: Yes, reversal of impairment losses on goodwill is prohibited, ref. IAS 36.124.