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What's the most intelligent way to play the recent oil price crash?


muscleman

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Guest Schwab711

How much of the oil price drop is related to the strengthened USD and legitimate drop in demand for oil due to China? I would think China is the majority of the increased demand for oil since ~2000. Even if you don't, China is still a big piece of the puzzle for oil recovery. How do you evaluate their economic numbers or do you trust that demand will slowly increase over-time (and thus, price)?

 

I 2nd the "Do nothing" stance. Why play roulette for a few extra %?

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Interesting to see where WTI traded during the meltdown in 2008.

Understand that you can't look at this data in a vacuum but still might be helpful in thinking about potential downside. This feels like capitulation to me.

 

History of Crude Oil Prices (WTI)

 

 

October 3, 2008       $93.88

October 10, 2008 $77.70

October 17, 2008 $71.85

October 24, 2008 $64.15

October 31, 2008 $67.81

November 7, 2008 $61.04

November 14, 2008 $57.04

November 21, 2008 $49.93

November 28, 2008 $54.43

December 5, 2008 $40.81

December 12, 2008 $46.28

December 19, 2008 $42.36

December 26, 2008 $37.71

December 31, 2008 $44.60

January 2, 2009         $46.34

January 9, 2009         $40.83

January 16, 2009 $36.51

January 23, 2009 $46.47

January 30, 2009 $41.68

February 6, 2009 $40.17

February 13, 2009 $37.51

February 20, 2009 $40.03

February 27, 2009 $44.76

March 6, 2009 $45.52

March 13, 2009 $46.25

March 20, 2009 $52.07

March 27, 2009 $52.38

April 3, 2009 $52.51

April 10, 2009 $52.24

April 17, 2009 $50.33

April 24, 2009 $51.55

May 1, 2009 $53.20

May 8, 2009 $58.63

May 15, 2009 $56.34

May 22, 2009 $61.67

May 29, 2009 $66.31

June 5, 2009 $68.44

June 12, 2009 $72.04

 

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