backtothebeach

There are different stats, but it is about two or three in 1 million healthy children. Nowadays, with more natural immunity and post Omicron, it should be even less. Not enough to subject ALL children to yearly injections IMO. Your seatbelt analogy is lazy. Anyway, no one is convincing anybody here, agree to disagree.

Last night I dreamed of @Parsad chasing kids with a syringe... (kidding) As we have learned during the pandemic, statistics are a tricky thing. Those 17400 poor children (over the course of 2.5 years) were overwhelmingly not healthy children that suddenly dropped dead from Covid. How many of them were seriously ill and any respiratory infection would have pushed them over the edge? The stats don't differentiate "from Covid" and "with Covid as a factor". Not jabbing healthy kids with a non-sterilizing and short lasting treatment was and is entirely rational.

I don't even know why you guys are still discussing the subject. Here is an interesting stat: Here are the estimated yearly migrant numbers who crossed through the Darien Gap from 2018 to 2025: 2018 and earlier: A few thousand per year on average. 2021: About 133,653 migrants crossed. 2022: Approximately 248,284 migrants crossed. 2023: A record high of around 520,085 migrants crossed. This surge more than doubled the 2022 figure. 2024: Estimated 302,203 crossings, a 42% decrease from 2023. 2025 (early months): A dramatic drop with only about 13 crossings in May and 10 in June, representing a 99.98% decline from the 2023 peak. This is a 100km hike through the jungle controlled by drug cartels, with all kinds of dangers such as river crossings, also human trafficking, rape, murder, organ harvesting, all the worst one can imagine. A blind person can see that Biden's border policy was a huge pull factor. Also when a record number of people show up at the US southern border, a record number will be rejected. If no one shows up, no one will be rejected. Not so difficult to understand.

I admire your patience, but you are wasting your breath @Sweet.

I don't think he was on the radical right (which in German basically means he's one step away from being a Neonazi). Religious conservative, sure. Intolerant extremist, no. I’d question the accuracy and categories of your graph. They feel vague and subjective. Apparently, analysts rate a small number of articles, which doesn’t seem very rigorous. As for Charlie Kirk, it’d be interesting to actually see the ten or so articles where they say he spreads falsehoods, when 90% of his stuff online is polite discussions with college students. I mean, you can dig up examples of lies or falsehoods from almost any media outlet. Like yesterday, when the German correspondent in Washington from the same public station repeated the claim that Kirk supposedly said gay people should be stoned to death, and other stuff, parroting the same lies from the X post someone else did earlier in this thread.

German public mainstream media slinging mud, with a half-sentence for plausible deniability. This is one of the two main evening news shows, reporting just 24 hours after Charlie Kirk was killed: "Charlie Kirk was an extremist." "That there are now groups celebrating his death cannot be justified by anything ... not even by his often repulsive, racist, sexist, and anti-human statements." "The radical religious conspiracy theorist ..." (heute-journal September 11) Poor Germans have to pay an obligatory $250 per year per household for "neutral" public media.

Just looking at the last 3 years, FFH has had several stretches of up to 5 months where the stock went absolutely nowhere. Nothing unusual.

At June 30, 2025 there were 21,591,832 common shares effectively outstanding. At this pace 20 million shares is on the horizon.

Huh? That went to extreme analogies quickly. Anyway, by bottom line is that the rule of law, constitutions, charters, whatever, are all great 99% of the time, but suddenly become flexible and can go out the window quickly when the ruling class decides so, be it the US, Canada, Europe, wherever.

You gotta be kidding: "The Federal Court has ruled the Trudeau government’s decision to invoke the Emergencies Act during the so-called “Freedom Convoy” that descended on Ottawa in 2022 violated the Charter of Rights and Freedoms." "On January 23, 2024, Judge Richard Mosley of the Federal Court ruled that while the protest itself "reflected an unacceptable breakdown of public order," the use of the Emergencies Act was unreasonable, ultra vires, and had violated Section 2(b) and Section 8 of the Charter of Rights and Freedoms.[485][486] The court found that orders made under the act were "overbroad" infringing on the freedom of expression of protesters who did not intend to breach the peace, and that freezing of bank accounts and collecting of financial information from banks had amounted to unreasonable search and seizure."

Topped up FIH.U.

Trump makes shit up sometimes, like most politicians, and has a habit of going off on a stream-of-consciousness rant (the weave), but usually comes back to the original point if he feels he has to. The windmill stuff was obviously because he lost in court in Scotland and now the views of his golf course are ruined by offshore windmills, and he took the chance to give the EU a piece of his mind on the matter on the world stage. Not saying any of this is particularly smart or good manners, but to imply a Bidenesque decline is ridiculous.

What's not to like? The guy is an ass, but at least things get done. :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: The “Trump Account” is a government-funded investment account introduced in the “Big Beautiful Bill,” aiming to give newborns in the United States a financial head start. Here’s how it works: Eligibility: Every child born between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2028 who is a U.S. citizen and has a Social Security number is eligible for a Trump Account . Initial Deposit: The federal government will automatically deposit $1,000 into each eligible child’s account . Investment Structure: The account is tax-deferred and invested in low-cost index funds or similar market-tracking funds, intended to maximize long-term, compounded growth . Additional Contributions: Parents, relatives, employers, and nonprofits can contribute up to $5,000 per year per child, with up to $2,500 potentially matched by an employer . These annual limits may be adjusted for inflation . Access and Use: Funds cannot be accessed until the child turns 18 . At age 18, money can be used for higher education, post-secondary credentialing, small business or farm expenses, or buying a first home . At age 31, any remaining funds become fully accessible for any purpose . Withdrawals are taxed at the capital gains rate .

Time to buy TLT (at $84.53) on what is probably a false alarm?

Bingo. Was going through old bookmarks and found this all-time logarithmic bitcoin chart. https://bitcoin.zorinaq.com/price/

Helps a lot. Thank you!

@wabuffo, thanks for your expertise. So the "Real deficit/surplus" is the reported one, adjusted by the "By other means" number. Would tariff income be part of the "By other means"? What is the formula for your crosscheck in the final column? The latest number is May 2025; the trailing 12-month deficit increased by about $59B. I downloaded the data from https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/mts/current.html to replicate your table. Love being able to go the data source and not listen to talking heads with whatever agenda they have.

Maybe we will see some repurchases soon. That would be a way for Warren to signal to Greg that it’s OK to repurchase at higher multiples than he did historically.

Looks like your PM has a crush on Meloni.

Is there a book for "Pasting links for Dummies"? Just kidding. Whenever you see a ? in a link, everything after that is bullshit tracking stuff, not necessary. https://www.amazon.com/Logic-Dummies-Zegarelli/dp/0471799416/ref=sr_1_1 would have been enough.

Thanks, this was really good!

So who is selling?

I'm not implying anything, just adding information, you can make your own conclusions. My take is that the National Guard was available at the time, and was politely rejected. So your statement that Trump refused to deploy the national guard on January 6 is likely wrong. That's all.

According to Perplexity: "Up until their removal, the ACIP had recommended routine COVID-19 vaccination for a broad range of Americans, including children and pregnant women." For what has now become a bad cold. What could possibly be the motivation.