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EliG

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Everything posted by EliG

  1. I have two words for you. property taxes
  2. Tearing NAFTA apart comes with a heavy political cost because you are harming a bunch of people. Sunset clause reduces that cost. It's easier politically to sit back, do nothing and let NAFTA expire than to explicitly tear it apart. Second order effect: sunset clause creates a perpetual uncertainty around NAFTA. With potential sunset hanging over their heads, companies are less likely to choose Canada or Mexico for long-term investments. Sunset clause is a round-about way to gain advantage over your trade partners.
  3. Doesn't work for me, and that's fine. With old Google Finance gone, I spend less time watching markets, which of course is a good thing. Thank you, Google.
  4. Yes. I report two lines in Section 7: Broker 1, USA, ... Broker 2, USA, ...
  5. That number isn't actually what they're asking for. According to this CRA link, for property held in an account with a Canadian registered securities dealer (section 7), they want the "maximum fair market value during the year". Most of the time that value will be an intraday value. It can only be calculated by recalculating the value of your account when the price of any foreign security in it changes, then figuring out what value is the highest (i.e. it requires taking into account millions of data poinnts and is basically impossible for anyone to calculate except maybe a brokerage). CRA instructions explicitly say that month-end values are okay. https://www.canada.ca/content/dam/cra-arc/formspubs/pbg/t1135/t1135-17e.pdf Page 5, item 7. "the maximum fair market value during the year may be based on the maximum month-end fair market value"
  6. Here's the thread: http://www.cornerofberkshireandfairfax.ca/forum/general-discussion/investing-101-presentation-to-amateurs-how-to-make-it-interesting/
  7. Ctrl-Shift-Enter works in Google, too. You can type: =PRODUCT(1+A1:A3)-1 and hit Ctrl-Shift-Enter. Google adds ArrayFormula() wrapper.
  8. Google Sheets =ARRAYFORMULA(PRODUCT(1+A1:A3))-1 Excel or OpenOffice/LibreOffice Type PRODUCT function: =PRODUCT(1+A1:A3)-1 and hit Ctrl-Shift-Enter. The expression changes to an array formula: {=PRODUCT(1+A1:A3)-1} giving you the total return.
  9. DTEJD linked MIT study. Chief Economist of Uber challenged the validity of the study. https://medium.com/uber-under-the-hood/an-analysis-of-ceeprs-paper-on-the-economics-of-ride-hailing-1c8bfbf1081d He claims that MIT used a flawed methodology. twitter discussion
  10. Yes, if BEP.UN/TSX and BEP/NYSE have the same CUSIP. Once you sell BEP on NYSE, you will see a long BEP.UN position in your CAD account and a short BEP position in your USD account. BMO system will cancel them out once the trade settles. Just thought I would add a disclaimer. I've never used BEP.UN / BEP for a gambit at BMO. In theory, the pair should work if the CUSIPs are the same. In practice, there is a chance you may hit some odd issue in their trading system. Maybe call them to confirm if you already own BEP.UN. I always gambit stocks that have the same ticker on both exchanges: TD/TD, RY/RY, etc.
  11. My experience is that you are more likely to get hit with interest in RRSP/TFSA accounts. And the interest rates for non-margin accounts are very high. I'm not sure what triggers the interest charge but I suspect it might be using the proceeds to buy a different stock before the Gambit settles. My last gambit at BMO, I used the proceeds immediately to buy a different US stock. I called them on T+1 and requested a journal. The long and the short were erased on T+2. There was no interest charge. That was a margin account.
  12. I think this is the one you were referring to: https://www.pwlcapital.com/en/Advisor/Toronto/Toronto-Team/White-Papers The blog used DLR as an example. For BMO in particular, I would have to call in to execute the second half of the trade. I wonder if I could avoid calling if I use a dual-listed security, e.g. Enbridge (ENB)? Buy on TSX and sell on NYSE.. not sure how I can specify the exchange for this trade though - perhaps by specifying the settlement currency? Yes, you can avoid the call if you use a dual-listed security at BMO. You can do both trades online. Going from CAD to USD, pick two options when you sell: Market: US Settlement currency: US dollars Thanks. Sorry for being slow, but just want to ascertain - let's say i am holding BEP.UN (traded on the TSX) and I want to sell it and cash out in USD. I would put a trade to sell BEP on the US market and settle in USD, correct? Supposedly BMO would know that BEP.UN/TSX and BEP/NYSE are equivalent? Yes, if BEP.UN/TSX and BEP/NYSE have the same CUSIP. Once you sell BEP on NYSE, you will see a long BEP.UN position in your CAD account and a short BEP position in your USD account. BMO system will cancel them out once the trade settles. BMO may charge you margin interest for the short position, if you have a margin account. I remember reading reports to that effect on redflagdeals forum. You can call and reverse the charge later. Another option is to call BMO on T+1 and ask them to flatten out the long and the short on T+2.
  13. I think this is the one you were referring to: https://www.pwlcapital.com/en/Advisor/Toronto/Toronto-Team/White-Papers The blog used DLR as an example. For BMO in particular, I would have to call in to execute the second half of the trade. I wonder if I could avoid calling if I use a dual-listed security, e.g. Enbridge (ENB)? Buy on TSX and sell on NYSE.. not sure how I can specify the exchange for this trade though - perhaps by specifying the settlement currency? Yes, you can avoid the call if you use a dual-listed security at BMO. You can do both trades online. Going from CAD to USD, pick two options when you sell: Market: US Settlement currency: US dollars
  14. I've been using NG on a regular basis for the last ~15 years. All in all, I think I saved more than $10K on forex fees. What specifically do you want to know?
  15. Asset allocation decisions should not affect your return calculations, whether you use MWRR or TWRR. Asset allocation changes happen within the portfolio; they are internal portfolio flows. It sounds like you are excluding cash from your return calculations. I think it's a wrong way to go. Suppose the market returns 10% a year. You are 90% in cash, 10% in stocks. Your stocks return 30%. Did you beat the market or not? On a total portfolio basis you didn't. I track MWRR across all family accounts I manage, cash included. I don't bother to track TWRR mostly because it's too much work. I can approximate my long-term TWRR by calculating the geometric average of the annual MWRRs. It's not an accurate method but it's good enough for rough comparisons with the benchmark.
  16. My understanding is that bank brokerages got swamped by a flood of new small gamblers clients who opened their first account to trade pot stocks or bitcoin. They required a lot of hand holding due to lack of experience; hence long wait lines on the phones. IB Canada is not a natural choice for this crowd. I think it's possible that IB didn't need to scale up because their web traffic and trading volumes remained relatively normal. I don't have any data to back this up.
  17. Amazon: 541,900 http://money.cnn.com/2017/10/26/technology/business/amazon-earnings/index.html JPM: 240,000 https://www.jpmorganchase.com/corporate/About-JPMC/about-us.htm Combined: 1,150,000
  18. Can you call it a great company if the stock doesn't perform? 10 year CAGR is 2%. 2.7% worse than TSX Composite. 15 year CAGR is 6.5%. 2.5% worse than TSX Composite.
  19. JMP chart looks at the weekly stocks returns. I think it captures every little zig and zag in the 10 year treasury rate. There were quite a few of them since year 2000. See the chart below. That said, I agree with the skepticism that you and rb expressed.
  20. When yields are below 5%, rising rates have historically been associated with rising stock prices. See attached chart from JPM Guide to the Markets.
  21. Doctors are trained to practice evidence-based medicine. I would approach the presentation from that angle. What does it mean to practice evidence-based investing? For starters, I would present the body of evidence that most people should index. Next, I would introduce them to Bogleheads Lazy Portfolios: https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Lazy_portfolios I'd think that most doctors are too busy / too tired to moonlight as value investors. Lazy Portfolio is a good default option.
  22. Anecdote: A close relative had Whipple surgery a few years ago. For those who don't know, Whipple is one of the biggest surgeries a person can have on their body, not counting transplants. The surgeon removes the head of pancreas, the gallbladder, the bile duct, part of the small intestine and sometimes the bottom part of the stomach. The surgeon then reconnects the remaining organs to rebuild the digestive system. The surgery takes about 6-8 hours, sometimes longer if the complications arise. Steve Jobs had this surgery for his pancreatic cancer. My relative left the hospital with two pain meds: Prescription Tylenol and Tramadol (Ultram). The surgeon gave her clear instructions: stay on Tylenol as much as possible; only take Tramadol when the pain is absolutely unbearable. That's exactly what my relative did: she took only a few Tramadol pills in the first couple of days. The rest of the bottle wasn't needed. Again, to put things in perspective, this is one of the biggest surgeries a person can have. Prescription Tylenol was effective enough to manage the pain.
  23. robots.txt is a public file: http://www.cornerofberkshireandfairfax.ca/robots.txt The file hides one directory (/wp-admin) from all bots. Aside from that, it doesn't block any bots. For comparison, here's robots.txt from another forum: http://www.financialwisdomforum.org/robots.txt As you can see, it blocks a whole bunch of bots for bad behaviour, typically high resource consumption. As for Google, it does index COBF, although with some delay. For example, I get 45 hits if I google "Hjorth BAM". https://www.google.ca/search?q=site:cornerofberkshireandfairfax.ca/forum+Hjorth+BAM The same search returns zero hits if I set the time range to the past 24 hours: https://www.google.ca/search?q=site:cornerofberkshireandfairfax.ca/forum+Hjorth+BAM&tbs=qdr:d I know that you posted in the BAM thread in the past 24 hours; lack of Google hits tells me that Google indexing is lagging. I don't know by how much.
  24. I know about search bots, but would that account for hundreds of views to a single page in minutes? There is no need for google to load the page more than once (unless it changes). I can't think of 100 search engines, are there that many? Maybe there are a lot of other people/companies/government agencies/aliens who are crawling/indexing the web for whatever reason. I don't know. There are hundreds of known bots out there, plus many more unknown. Several web sites maintain the lists of known bots, for example: http://www.user-agents.org/ http://www.robotstxt.org/db.html https://github.com/monperrus/crawler-user-agents/ I have no idea which bots are active on COBF. An admin user should be able to figure that out.
  25. I am sorry, I didn't mean to. I was genuinely surprised.
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