EliG

Funny how you failed to bold by injection inside.

Have you looked at the evidence? BCG vaccine was mandatory in the UK from 1953 to 2005. Mandatory in France from 1950 to 2007. Both countries are not doing well. Germany stopped BCG vaccination in 1998. It's doing better than most. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BCG_vaccine#Europe

Singapore is locked down as of yesterday. 'Dead city': Singapore enters month-long lockdown https://www.nst.com.my/world/world/2020/04/582116/dead-city-singapore-enters-month-long-lockdown

Projected 3,000 to 15,000 deaths in Ontario.. More than Hubei province in China, up to 5x more. How is Trudeau/Ford govt managing this well? 3,000 to 15,000 deaths is an estimate over the course of the entire pandemic. Ontario model estimates that it may last up to 2 years (multiple waves). Do you have Hubei estimate for the entire pandemic? What is their estimate for the pandemic duration? I agree with you that Ontario is not managing all that well. However, you don't need to spin the numbers to make your case. Sorry, not trying to spin #s. I was just looking at slide 13 and it says over course of pandemic, doesn't list any assumptions. No idea about Hubei #s. Officially ~3000 deaths and pandemic basically over. Estimates over 10x those #s, who knows. Keep in mind there's 4x the population of Ontario and higher density. Also, Ontario currently has more deaths than Quebec but only half the # of cases? 1. Yeah, the slides don't show the expected duration. They discussed it in today's briefing. They expect 18-24 months for the full pandemic. 2. No one believes Chinese stats. You can easily make a case that Ontario is not doing well without invoking bogus Chinese numbers. 3. There is no way that Hubei pandemic is over. They will have multiple waves just like everyone else. 4. Ontario is under-testing compared to Quebec by a factor of ~3x. See this: He is professor of epidemiology at UofT.

muscleman, Do you have a source for this statement? -And what are the practical implications of this?- Thank you. Taiwan says WHO not sharing coronavirus information it provides, pressing complaints https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-taiwan-who/taiwan-says-who-not-sharing-coronavirus-information-it-provides-pressing-complaints-idUSKBN21H1AU

Projected 3,000 to 15,000 deaths in Ontario.. More than Hubei province in China, up to 5x more. How is Trudeau/Ford govt managing this well? 3,000 to 15,000 deaths is an estimate over the course of the entire pandemic. Ontario model estimates that it may last up to 2 years (multiple waves). Do you have Hubei estimate for the entire pandemic? What is their estimate for the pandemic duration? I agree with you that Ontario is not managing all that well. However, you don't need to spin the numbers to make your case.

FDA authorizes two-minute antibody testing kit to detect coronavirus https://www.axios.com/fda-coronavirus-two-minute-testing-kit-bodysphere-a665429d-488d-4edf-bd36-9180e2a06e4c.html

@tobi started wearing a mask but he is having some issues "Practical question though: How do you make your glasses not fog up?" Billionaires.... they are just like the rest of us. :)

I wore a basic surgical mask on my last trip to Costco. My first time ever... I'm a white guy. My initial impression: the mask makes it more likely that I may end up touching my face. Human beings exhale humid air. Without a mask, humid air moves away from your face. With the mask on, humid air moves up and down the face through the openings around the mask. By the time I was done shopping, my brows and chin were wet and itchy. The natural urge is to wipe away the moisture with your bare hands. That's the wrongest thing you can possibly do right now. Glasses is another hassle. Mine were constantly fogging up. I had to take them off, wipe them down, and put them back on multiple times. That surely adds to the risk of the virus transfer. I have no idea how Asian people do it. Is there a secret technique I'm not aware of?

Mar 24th was the day the Olympics got postponed. source

Scott Grannis is not a MAGA-head but he is a well-known Trump supporter. How do his political views shape his analysis? Here's a clue... 1. "The rapidly growing list of therapeutics" is a fantasy. A number of drugs have entered randomized control trials. The trials are ongoing. At the moment, we don't know if any of these drugs are effective. 2. Like Trump, Grannis is touting chloroquine despite scant evidence of its effectiveness. Compare his take to what Surgeon-In-Chief at Columbia University wrote about chloroquine: "The hysteria surrounding HC&A is almost entirely anecdotal, propped up by a handful of tiny, unconvincing trials." See the last paragraph here https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EUDxgClWAAAx06x?format=jpg&name=large

38yo healthy guy details his experience with Covid-19. He didn't get hospitalized. It probably means that his case counts as mild. For a "mild" case, it sounds downright scary. Share with friends & family who still think "it's just like a flu".

You would show negative on the existing RT-PCR test. A serological test for COVID-19 antibodies can detect past disease. The tests have been created but they are not available commercially just yet.

The bolded part is political spin. You misrepresented Canadian policies to defend Trump. The article you linked is one CBC reporter talking to a couple of experts. They discussed -- hypothetically -- what may happen way down the line. These experts are not talking in any official capacity. They don't represent Canada. They are not in charge of anything. If you listen to our politicians who are actually in charge, the message is very different from what Trump is saying. Federal health minister has recently threatened to tighten the screws (because many Canadians are not complying with what's been asked). Provinces are imposing more restrictions, e.g. Ontario and Quebec closed all non-essential businesses just this week. There is zero happy talk about being back in business by Easter.

Japan imposed travel restrictions, visa suspensions and mandatory quarantines for international arrivals. Some of them quite early. Is it possible that these measures alone were enough? Can't get infected if no one brings the virus into your island nation. I haven't done any analysis to test this theory. https://www.japan.travel/en/coronavirus/