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CorpRaider

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Everything posted by CorpRaider

  1. Yeah seems pretty cheap versus self. I had to swallow hard and pay up a bit. Not down to GFC levels or anything but just going to try and tickle in here since Mr. market seems to think Ozempic is making it a zero.
  2. I don't really like any of their brands but Brown and Forman.
  3. I agree with this and think you could look at other examples in history to support this assertion.
  4. I just decided to apply a moving average price rule to my intermediate term treasury allocation, across relevant tax advantaged accounts, whenever the term premium (or whatever the proper name for the spread over bills is) is in the bottom 50% of historical observations, (i.e., when duration risk is historically expensive). So, I sold down my bonds. You guys will probably be right.
  5. He should be running for president as the Republican nominee imo.
  6. Yeah I would never invest in Ford or GM and I own airlines.
  7. Lately, I've been binging this podcast called Special Situation Investing. They run a substack too (the pod is mostly reading the posts from the substack). Nice little short weekly stock pitches and some asides about FI and wealth building etc from what sounds like two hobbyist/financially independent men. Sounds like they are attempting to emulate the structure of the portfolio of buffett partnerships a bit (i.e., the workouts, generals, and so forth. They discussed a few spins that were somewhat interesting. I haven't really liked anything they've looked at yet, but have enjoyed listening. They talk a lot about Bitcoin, doomberg, the real vision blokes, pabrai, and the horizon kinetics guys so I would take them more than a pinch of salt. I like to imagine they are father and son and wonder if my children and I can similarly share this investing activity one day; maybe that's why I like it. haha. Spotify has loads of audio books now included with memberships, so that's been great, but I feel I have to focus in more on those than pods. Also that Knowledge project guy had Chris Davis on recently for a 2+ hour talk that was great. Lots of repeat stuff but also some new. Includes a little discussion of serving on boards including Berk, GHC, and KO. A few new details (to me) about his famiglia.
  8. Yeah. I thought maybe if value snaps back it will really rip. I evaluated their historical correlations and factor regressions and haven't got to yes so far.
  9. I've been thinking about using GENIX in work retirement plan to "value tilt." But I keep coming back to, "Why not just buy vanguard small value?"
  10. I stick Paul Allen with the prior one, but it's not like he didn't have some other good outcomes...R.I.P. Yeah, I should probably just stick with Comcast, but I'll probably get some liberty if and when they take out Altice and the stock gets smashed. I mentally filed that prior short piece as buy it at $200. haha
  11. Haha. I have been tempted lately and I owned Charter back before it went bankrupt. Did you see the "potential downside between 90% - 100%" VIC short pitch on $CABO? Kind of harsh.
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