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How is the “partial withdrawal” from southern Lebanon coming along? Trump just ordered it.

The equity returns were strong when underwriting was weak. Then the equity returns were weak when underwriting was strong. That generated 18%+ CAGR in BVPS. Now they are both strong. It will be interesting to see if returns are better than the <10% built in to the share price.

Whay I enjoyed is the news of Israel capturing a huge network of tunnels paid for by Iran with estimates of several 100s of hezb fighters and drone operators running short on water and food. I listened to the first 10 minutes and i never heard so much verbal diarrhea in my life. I love how your source of news is from someone who left Iran in 2003 and never visited since - 23 years ago. He says Iranians are pro Israel - just that view alone makes him a joke!

Originally people had the idea that money will rotate back into software and that has been reversed the last few weeks. Money just flows into AI-related names nonstop right now, probably will be a while before a rotation happens. If I were to to guess, could even rotate back to BRKB.

The Strait of Hormuz is being renamed the Strait of Schrödinger as it is both open and closed at the same time.

Internal fights for control. First 10 minutes tells the story:

I'm not as bullish on Fairfax's equity picks but over 40 years I agree w Viking the share price is a good indicator of the performance of the underlying earnings streams (investments, insurance). Hard to argue that, IMO.

Article 1 in the series. I look forward to hearing what other board members think... The Importance of Shareholder-Friendly Management In Berkshire Hathaway's 1977 Annual Report, Warren Buffett outlined four criteria for selecting investments: "We want the business to be: 1. One that we can understand, 2. With favorable long-term prospects, 3. Operated by honest and competent people, and 4. Available at a very attractive price." Notice that management is one of only four requirements. Buffett later explained why: “The certainty with which management can be evaluated, both as to its ability to realize the full potential of the business and to wisely employ its cash flows; The certainty with which management can be counted on to channel the rewards from the business to the shareholders rather than to itself.” Buffett's observation gets to the heart of shareholder-friendly management. Management's role extends beyond operating the business. It must also decide how the cash generated by the business is allocated. Over time, these capital allocation decisions can have an enormous impact on shareholder returns. Management therefore has two primary responsibilities. First, it must operate the business effectively. Second, it must allocate the resulting cash flows in a way that maximizes long-term shareholder value. For investors, evaluating management is not optional. It is a critical part of the investment process. Why Investors Often Ignore Management If management is so important, why do many investors spend relatively little time evaluating it? The answer is simple: management quality is largely a qualitative factor. Most investors naturally focus on quantitative measures such as earnings, profit margins, return on equity, and valuation ratios. These metrics are objective, easy to compare, and fit neatly into spreadsheets. Management quality is different. How do you measure integrity, judgment, capital allocation skill, long-term thinking, or shareholder alignment? There is no formula that can answer these questions. Evaluating management requires observation, experience, and judgment. Yet management often has a greater impact on long-term shareholder returns than many of the financial metrics investors spend their time analyzing. Management determines how capital is allocated, whether acquisitions are made, how much debt is assumed, whether shares are repurchased, and how corporate culture is developed. In The Outsiders, William Thorndike found that the CEOs who created the most value for shareholders distinguished themselves primarily through superior capital allocation. Over time, those decisions compound and can become a primary driver of shareholder returns. For this reason, qualitative analysis should not be viewed as a substitute for financial analysis. It is a necessary complement to it. A Framework for Evaluating Shareholder-Friendly Management Shareholders need to consider many factors when evaluating management. One of the most important is whether management consistently acts in the best interests of shareholders. Do executives think and act like owners? Do they allocate capital wisely? Do they communicate openly and honestly? While no framework can eliminate judgment, it can help investors ask the right questions. One useful approach is to evaluate management using seven criteria: Ownership Alignment – Do executives think and act like owners? Compensation – Are incentives tied to long-term value creation? Per-Share Value Creation – Does management focus on value per share rather than corporate size? Capital Allocation – Is capital deployed rationally and with discipline? Communication – Are shareholders treated as partners? Long-Term Orientation – Are decisions made with a multi-year perspective? Trust and Stewardship – Do actions consistently match words? No management team will score perfectly on every criterion. The goal is to identify management teams that consistently behave like owners and treat outside shareholders as partners. Evaluating Fairfax Through the Lens of Shareholder-Friendly Management Using this framework, Fairfax scores highly. Management owns a meaningful stake in the company, compensation is shareholder-friendly, capital allocation is a core competency, and the organization is managed with a distinctly long-term orientation. Most importantly, management has invested alongside shareholders and created substantial value over four decades. Ownership Alignment: A+ This is one of Fairfax's greatest strengths. Prem Watsa owns or controls approximately 10% of Fairfax's economic interest and more than 40% of the voting power. The vast majority of his net worth remains invested in Fairfax shares. Fairfax has also built an ownership culture throughout the organization. Senior executives receive 50% of their annual bonuses in Fairfax shares that vest over five years, while employees can participate in a stock ownership plan with meaningful company matching contributions. Management's alignment with shareholders was demonstrated again in 2020 when Prem purchased approximately $149 million of Fairfax shares in the open market during a period of extreme pessimism toward the company. Compensation: A+ Fairfax stands out relative to most public companies. For decades, Prem Watsa's annual salary has been C$600,000—remarkably modest given the size of the organization. Unlike many public-company CEOs, he has not relied on large stock option grants or aggressive incentive packages. His wealth has been created primarily through ownership, not compensation. Fairfax purchases in the open market the shares awarded under its compensation programs rather than issuing new shares. As a result, shareholders bear the economic cost of compensation but avoid the ongoing dilution that often accompanies stock-based compensation plans. This approach better aligns employee ownership with shareholder interests and helps protect per-share value. While Fairfax's compensation programs are shareholder-friendly in design, they still represent a meaningful economic cost that must ultimately be justified by improved performance, retention, and value creation. Focus on Per-Share Value Creation: A Fairfax has long emphasized growth in book value per share as its primary measure of success. Management's shareholder letters, annual meeting presentations, and public commentary consistently focus on per-share value creation, demonstrating a philosophy that prioritizes increasing shareholder value rather than simply increasing the size of the company. Just as importantly, management's actions have matched its words. Since 2020, Fairfax has repurchased a significant amount of its outstanding shares when they traded at meaningful discounts to intrinsic value. Rather than pursuing acquisitions or expanding the organization for the sake of growth, management chose to increase the ownership stake of existing shareholders. Capital Allocation: A+ William Thorndike argued that capital allocation is a CEO's most important responsibility because it has the greatest impact on long-term shareholder returns. By that standard, Fairfax's record is exceptional. Since 1985, Fairfax's share price has compounded at approximately 19% annually, including dividends. The record includes mistakes and periods of underperformance, but management has demonstrated an ability to learn, adapt, and continue creating value over four decades. Communication: B+ Fairfax provides more disclosure than most companies. Shareholder letters, annual meetings, and quarterly conference calls provide investors with substantial information about the business, investment portfolio, and culture. At the same time, Fairfax has never focused on promoting its story to Wall Street or cultivating media attention. Consistent with the philosophy described in The Outsiders, management appears to believe that operating the business and allocating capital are better uses of time than managing the short-term stock price. The result is a company that communicates extensively with shareholders, but on its own terms. Long-Term Orientation: A+ Long-term thinking has been a defining characteristic of Fairfax since its founding. Many of the company's most successful investments required years of patience before their value was recognized. Founder leadership and significant insider ownership reinforce this advantage by allowing management to focus on long-term value creation rather than quarterly expectations. Trust and Shareholder Stewardship: B+ Trust is earned through actions over long periods of time. Fairfax has built a reputation for integrity, fairness, and treating shareholders as partners. However, a balanced assessment should acknowledge that management's credibility was damaged during the difficult period from 2010 to 2020. The equity hedges persisted too long, several investments disappointed, and actual results often fell short of expectations. Importantly, the issue was not integrity. Rather, it was judgment and adaptability. Since 2020, Fairfax has rebuilt much of that credibility through actions rather than words. Strong operating performance, improved investment results, substantial share repurchases, and exceptional growth in book value and the share price have helped restore investor confidence. Overall Assessment Overall Grade: A Fairfax scores highly across all seven criteria. Management is strongly aligned with shareholders, compensation practices are disciplined, capital allocation has been exceptional, and long-term thinking is embedded throughout the organization. Most importantly, management has invested alongside shareholders and created substantial value over four decades. Viewed through the lens of shareholder friendliness, Fairfax compares favourably with almost any public company. On that measure, Fairfax earns an A.

I decided to add a new chapter to my book on Fairfax: Management and Culture. I have six articles on the go. Rather than post them in the Fairfax 2026 thread I decided to post them in a separate thread. My articles are long and positing multiple articles really gums up the 2026 thread. My plan is to post the articles in this thread over the next week (perhaps one each day). Please keep comments in this thread focussed on management/culture. Keep general comments on the Fairfax 2026 thread. Let me know if you think this is a better way for me to post a series of articles. I look forward to hearing from board members on the content of the articles - that is how we all learn and improve (our understanding of Fairfax and as investors). To get started, here is the chapter overview: ------------ Chapter 7: Management and Culture Chapter Overview Most investors focus on financial statements, valuation metrics, and investment portfolios. Yet some of the most important drivers of long-term shareholder returns cannot be found in a spreadsheet. Management quality, organizational structure, incentives, and corporate culture often determine whether a good business becomes a great one. This is especially true at Fairfax. While investors often focus on underwriting results and investment performance, much of Fairfax's long-term success can be traced to its management philosophy, organizational structure, incentive systems, and culture. Understanding how Fairfax is led, how decisions are made, and how the organization is structured is essential to understanding the company itself. This chapter examines six aspects of Fairfax's management and culture: 1. What is shareholder-friendly management? We develop a framework for evaluating management quality and use it to assess Fairfax. 2. Who is Prem Watsa? We examine Fairfax's founder, largest shareholder, and chief architect, along with the implications of family control. 3. How is Fairfax organized? We explore Fairfax's decentralized operating model and why it may be one of the company's most important competitive advantages. 4. What is Fairfax's culture? We examine employee retention, management continuity, and the cultural traits that have shaped Fairfax's success. 5. How are incentives aligned? We review Fairfax's compensation and employee ownership programs to understand how the company encourages managers and employees to think like owners. 6. Can Fairfax succeed beyond Prem Watsa? We assess succession planning, leadership development, and the depth of Fairfax's management bench. The goal of this chapter is to determine whether Fairfax has built a management culture, organizational structure, and leadership pipeline capable of sustaining its success and compounding value for shareholders for decades to come. Keep reading for article 1.

Within hours of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz, the Israeli regime agreed to a ceasefire and stopped killing Lebanese woman/children. By morning, Iran gradually reopened the strait. Trump now issues hollow threats to claim credit for the opening - the timing says otherwise!

it’s always great to get advice from pro Israeli about Iran - I almost laughed with the amount of nonsense in that post. I appreciate the fake news.

earnings call transcripts are free and pretty high quality now on perplexity finance and even google finance with live transcription. AI is good enough to pickup nuanced finance terms.

Can you please define what you mean by equity portfolio? Are you talking stocks? Are you talking CDS/equity hedges (did well), equity hedges/shorts (did poorly) and TRS(did well)? What exactly are you trying to measure?

Fun & Games in Iran:

Thank you, @Marco Van Basten, We have enchanged about Safran before. I haven't got to it so far, lately because of health issues sucking up my time and my energy [think Maslow] as of lately, but health much better now [morphine isen't exactly a good fuel to running on while investing]. I will still take look at Safran. - - - o 0 o - - - Can you provide a just short pitch for why you are interested and owning GE by now? - Thank you in advance. [ Not much help in the GE topic here on CofB&F by now, I would say, but that may just be me.]

You should research and buy Safran and GE. (I am long both.).

Dude, you stated that the company owned a portfolio of 5 year bonds. So that's what I went on. Recently in the last couple of years, Fairfax disclosed or somebody stated on this board it was buying mortgages via KW at 8-10% yields. So in my opinion, your assumption of 4.2% annual return from fixed income portfolio is untenable and cannot be supported. Over the last 40 years, investment grade bond index returned 6.16% annual compounded return. So my assumption of 6% does not look unreasonable. My view which I am clearly articulating poorly is this: a) We have no idea how well the company's equity portfolio have performed over the long term. b) Using reasonable assumptions it is possible to show that the equity portfolio has underperformed the S&P 500 over the past 40 years, and similarly it is possible to show that it has outperformed. c) The equity portfolio is very unlikely to have materially outperformed the S&P over the past 40 years.

I agree with you, except the US and Israel did not take the high road, they took the stupid/suicidal road.

MOU that is now being called off because Israel went ahead and did what is good for Israel? Whay I enjoyed is the news of Israel capturing a huge network of tunnels paid for by Iran with estimates of several 100s of hezb fighters and drone operators running short on water and food.

I'm a bag holder here since September 2022. You think it's a hopeless case, so time to throw in the towel admitting defeat?

During about the last month or so, I have sold [all out] small positions in the following Danish mid and small caps : SOLAR.CPH - Solar A/S, RTX.CPH - RTX A/S, SPG.CPH - SP Group A/S, & NORTHM.CPH - North Media A/S. Loosers, laggards, or I just lost interest in and, or patience with them, or legacy stuff not bought by me, but by my sister in law before I took over for her [SOLAR], all, to move on.

Added shares during this week in the following companies, a few in each of them : CDI.PA - Christian Dior SE [CofB&F Investment Ideas forum topic], BAIN.PA - Société des Bains de Mer et du Cercle des Etrangers à Monaco S.A. [CofB&F Investment Ideas forum topic], WY - Weyerhaeuser [CofB&F Investment Ideas forum topic], ENTRA.OL - Entra ASA [Link] , & WALL B.STO - Wallenstam AB [Link]

https://x.com/ihtesham2005/status/2067336730693509150/video/1 Bill Ackman video, first half is a great pitch for owning Fairfax and second owning JOE (he talks about neither though)

And I 100% agree with this. I am lucky to have spent some 1-1 time with him and discussed investments with his team. will also be seeing /meeting him at a conference tomorrow. Excited! His book is my investment bible and assessing capital allocation is the most important aspect in my investment decision making.

Yeah, @Sweet, It's kind of pathetic. Politics is about getting stuff, sh*t done. Not about hanging out on SOME, bothering, pestering others.