Energy Sector

[Gregmal]

26 minutes ago, cubsfan said:

Trump economy must deliver to win basically.

That’s always how it’s been. That’s why Harris/Biden 2 got smoked. That’s why Obama was elected. And that’s how it should be.

 

And frankly, Trump deserves some penalizing for getting duped by Israel into a prolonged Iran conflict that’s negatively impacted things as well.

[Sloanes Teddy]

35 minutes ago, cubsfan said:

 

IF the economy is solid, I do think 2028 election goes to Republicans - reform or not.  IF the economy is rough (Trump economic plan fails to deliver) and no election reform - we're toast.

Bad economy, with election reform, like we lose.

 

Trump economy must deliver to win basically.

 

Promises to the middle/working class have to materialize.

 

Foreign policy won't matter unless there is a disaster like hundreds killed in Iran.

So without reform you think the 2028 election will be corrupt and said corruption will/could sway the election result?

[SharperDingaan]

12 hours ago, cubsfan said:

 

IF the economy is solid, I do think 2028 election goes to Republicans - reform or not.  IF the economy is rough (Trump economic plan fails to deliver) and no election reform - we're toast.

Bad economy, with election reform, like we lose.

 

Trump economy must deliver to win basically.

 

Promises to the middle/working class have to materialize.

 

Foreign policy won't matter unless there is a disaster like hundreds killed in Iran.

 

We're also inclined to the Republicans taking 2028; primarily 'cause the Democrats are so bad, and the Republican leader will be other than Trump (term limits).

 

Canada's last federal election should have been won by the Conservatives, who were 20+ % ahead at one point; solely 'cause the sitting prime minister was so hated. Trudeau got replaced by a better alternative (Carney), the Conservatives couldn't adapt, and lost the election to a Liberal minority government. Democrats counting on a win, 'cause Trump becomes despised.

 

However, a Republican landslide, should Trump get assassinated before then.

The party wins both the sympathy vote, and the opportunity to dump all the 'negatives' on Trump. The (corrupt?) family gets a free pass, as nobody is going to prosecute the family of a presidential hero who died for the nation (Jackie Kennedy/Onassis). The ME gets to claim (and sponsor?) the 'eye-for-an-eye' decapitation of the Great Satan (covering for the actual assassins). Arlington is looking more and more inevitable. 

 

Of course, it would be far better for all if both sides actually raised their game; though one doesn't have to raise the bar much, when the opposition is truly awful.

 

SD

Edited Sunday at 02:22 PM by SharperDingaan

[SharperDingaan]

Getting difficult to keep tankers crewed in the SOH.

https://gcaptain.com/shipowner-offers-seafarers-six-months-pay-to-sail-through-strait-of-hormuz/

 

" Sinokor Group, the world’s largest owner of supertankers, offered six months extra salary if they make a return voyage, which it said would take about a month in total. [Other] shipping firms were adding as much as 60 days of salary to a 30-day contract".

 

The highest-paid person on most ships is the captain, who has the ultimate say on navigational decisions. They earn as much as $15,000 a month on oil tankers, according to officials at two shipping companies. A junior sailor, known as a rating, might earn about $1,500 a month in normal times. They have the right to ask to leave a vessel and be replaced if they don’t want to sail into the danger zone. 

 

“We have heard stories of a large number of crew members getting off, but they are able to find people who are willing to go.” Junior ratings are not rich people, and typically have families reliant upon their continuing income to survive .... things have to be extremely bad for them to give it up. 

 

One of these under-crewed tankers gets attacked, it's abandoned at sea .... salvage for the picking  

All this before the Houthi threats on Red Sea tankers, and the closer proximity of Somali pirates looking for salvage.

 

SD

[Fly]

37 minutes ago, SharperDingaan said:

Getting difficult to keep tankers crewed in the SOH.

https://gcaptain.com/shipowner-offers-seafarers-six-months-pay-to-sail-through-strait-of-hormuz/

 

" Sinokor Group, the world’s largest owner of supertankers, offered six months extra salary if they make a return voyage, which it said would take about a month in total. [Other] shipping firms were adding as much as 60 days of salary to a 30-day contract".

 

The highest-paid person on most ships is the captain, who has the ultimate say on navigational decisions. They earn as much as $15,000 a month on oil tankers, according to officials at two shipping companies. A junior sailor, known as a rating, might earn about $1,500 a month in normal times. They have the right to ask to leave a vessel and be replaced if they don’t want to sail into the danger zone. 

 

“We have heard stories of a large number of crew members getting off, but they are able to find people who are willing to go.” Junior ratings are not rich people, and typically have families reliant upon their continuing income to survive .... things have to be extremely bad for them to give it up. 

 

One of these under-crewed tankers gets attacked, it's abandoned at sea .... salvage for the picking  

All this before the Houthi threats on Red Sea tankers, and the closer proximity of Somali pirates looking for salvage.

 

SD

 

BWET has been on a rampage, if crew wages go up then this will get truly nutty.