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beerbaron

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Everything posted by beerbaron

  1. I especially like the expense ratio! Used to own it instead of cash but gave up trying to earn 1% but exposing myself to extra market risk. BeerBaron
  2. Hurry guys print some money!!!! Wait, they can't :-\
  3. I'd just buy a basket of stocks if the overall market is depressed. ETF sounds like a good choice. BeerBaron
  4. You really did that?! WOW!! The fact this wonderful board is attended by such outstanding investors (the Superinvestors of the Corner of Berkshire and Fairfax!) is really a unique learning experience for the rest of us! :) giofranchi Prem is quite available and approachable around the time of the AGM. Ask him any question that isn't off limits, and he'll give you a straight answer. :) The insurer was Lancashire! You posted it on this board :) BeerBaron
  5. Wish I could write as well! BeerBaron
  6. "Money printing" is the same thing as credit creations. The only difference is that the FED has no liabilities associated with the money it creates. What is the difference between a bank issuying credit VS the FED printing money? Both are dilution of the money base. BeerBaron
  7. In Quebec it did get lots of attention, French banks are exposed but I'm ready to bet it's the tip of the iceberg and others around the worls will be splashed... BeerBaron
  8. It seems they have made very good return on those Imvescor shares! BeerBaron
  9. Well EMT on the strong form is ludicrous but on the weak form I think it's bang on. BeerBaron
  10. Incredible ethics, no wonder why ethical people want to work for him. BeerBaron
  11. I just got this notice from Google today. Anybody has the equivalent web based RSS feed? BeerBaron
  12. For Macro I usually only listen to Ray Dalio, he clearly understands how the economic machine works. Value investors usually don't make good macro analisys. BeerBaron
  13. The table shows you how our reserves have developed for the ten accident years prior to 2012. Northbridge has had an average redundancy of 8.2% – i.e., if reserves had been set at $100 for any year between 2002 and 2011, they would have come down on average to $91.80, showing redundant reserves of $8.20. On a comparable basis, Crum & Forster had an average reserve redundancy of 5.8%, OdysseyRe 9.8% and Fairfax Asia 8.8% (First Capital alone was 12.0%). We are very pleased with this reserving record, but given the inherent uncertainty in setting reserves in the property casualty business, we continue to be focused on being conservative in our reserving process. More on our reserves in the MD&A. If a insurance has higher redundancy, does it reduce taxes by deferring them? BeerBaron
  14. What do you think he thinks about when he says: If float is both costless and long-enduring, which I believe Berkshire’s will be, the true value of this liability is dramatically less than the accounting liability My logic tells me that an endless revolving load is worth 100%. What do you guys think? BeerBaron
  15. I wonder if it would be possible to get those raw insider sentiment data. It could be an interesting study to see if there is any correlation between Insiders and future index. BeerBaron
  16. Might I remind every forecasters in this forum that not too long ago we could have ±4% days on the S&P 500... BeerBaron
  17. I'll sell when it makes sense tax wise, that is when: -Berkshire does not create a dollar of value for each dollar retained. -And when it pays dividends. Besides that I'm very happy to get the tax free equivalent of a retirement account. BeerBaron
  18. Yes, it is marked to market. Cheers! Yeah affects BV but and operating profit I believe. Luckily most of the bonds are MTM too since they are classified as short term investment so it's easy to value FFH. I find it amazing that they lost 1 billion dollars in hedges and still managed to grow BV by quite a bit. They are taking a defensive approach and I can't blame them for it. BeerBaron
  19. Why don't you use an DCF based on the expected return? BeerBaron
  20. Not a US listed stock. I don't think ADR are required. Fred
  21. You are completely right on this one, that it why pair trade is not the strategy: -We have a fairly good idea of the BV of Fairfax. -This value is not represented in the stock price at the moment. The strategy would not be to a pair trade but long only up until FFH value goes toward BV. Not a risk free investment but an asymmetric risk/reward. BeerBaron *Note, I don't think the gains on are big enough to warrant an arbitrage
  22. Yeah I tough about it too. I wanted to crunch some numbers this weekend to see if it's significantly under fair value. BeerBaron
  23. Massaged the right way, I'm sure a statistician could prove my father is a virgin. BeerBaron
  24. I sell when the thesis has occured or material changes changed the thesis. In order to measure one's sell quality, a person should start a short portfolio of the position he sells. I wish I were so discipline tough! BeerBaron
  25. Insider ownership is show on the SEDI website. BeerBaron
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