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tnathan

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Everything posted by tnathan

  1. Time to hop into some ELS here?
  2. Dollars only luckily
  3. This is funny -- bought a 10k position in ABL so I would be forced to study it a bit more, then 5 minutes later a short report is released and stock is down 15%. Promptly sold. Always a fun day in the market!
  4. Funny - I just started a position in Cooper today
  5. Very interesting SLV move today. Up 3% and gold was down
  6. Some UNH ... i think the decline is too much esp given the uncertainty w other sectors today
  7. I'm going to buy Huntsman leaps today NTM pe is over 100 seems like as good of a time as any
  8. Yeah I've noticed this too ... why not just buy the calls if the implied vol is low? Or set up a pairs trade long SLV short GLD
  9. starters in EFX, MORN, MCO. Made a nice trade to save my day and bought aapl puts when i saw the 104% china headline i dont really see how aapl doesnt trade down to 20x ntm p/e or less
  10. One major issue that I've seen with PIX is the dispute mechanism (vs other forms of payment which hold cash for a specified amount of time) ... if cash is transferred immediately you can't claw back easily. Not sure how that impacts attitudes towards this in Brazil but in the U.S. it would not be acceptable to consumers
  11. I've been buying NVO and IQV. Surprised to not have seen IQV mentioned at all it's trading at trough multiples historically in a weak market ... they should be making more money at higher multiple in a few years assuming world doesnt end
  12. Any thoughts as of now?
  13. Thanks that's helpful context!
  14. Valuations will compress eventually ... but why are you trying to allocate today? There's better r/r out there
  15. Hi all -- Not investment related, but is anyone else very frustrated at how weak the searching ability on COBF is? For example, I want to search for anything written on "CRH" and the search bar pulls nothing up. It feels like it should be an easy fix ... what is broken?
  16. more NVO and RDDT OWL and opened a position in H and APG
  17. Rates down is a negative
  18. If we think this could cause higher inflation there are some banks that will do well, but then we also have the recession risk...
  19. A few things. (1) A non-scientific belief that licensing revenue (like 90% margins on this) gets to $1B relatively quickly (currently little over 100m). Current large deals with Google and OpenAI are not close to optimized. I expect much better monetization as these + new large deals come through. At 20x multiple this is the market cap already. (2) The rest of the business is really inflecting. MAUs up 40% in the past year and they are only scratching the surface on monetizing those users. Further, its a very U.S. centric story. International underrated opportunity for them and they've been investing to make the language barrier more seamless for the platform. Lots of unknowns obviously but this is a company that I think will clearly grow vs. a lot of other question marks in todays market. Being dragged down by the broader selloff but things are improving rapidly here not declining
  20. Not the typical stock for me but I bought a 1% position in RDDT
  21. How are you thinking about Arcosa here / with Trump' IRA funding freezes?
  22. Do you mind sharing some of what is in the ideal portfolio?
  23. Bought some more today. 6.5x NTM Sales for a company growing sales at 15%+ w/ operating leverage opps and strong moat.
  24. Hmm interesting I actually didn't know this. Thanks for sharing!
  25. Like I agree with you. But you can hold two truths in your head at the same time ... (1) The dems (and frankly repubs for decades too) haven't done enough to cut / hold back government spending over the past decades and we need to do something about this (2) There are more effective ways of doing this than taking an axe to things that might actually be helpful and seriously jeopardizing alliances that took 100 years to build
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