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Xerxes

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Everything posted by Xerxes

  1. John I don’t have a problem with his content. I am grateful for anything that he writes. The issue is X/Twitter that promote “cult” behaviour. Bloomstran is just the latest Twitter user behaving as a head of a cult.
  2. instead of blowing a fuse, he could easily sent his comments to The Economist. Where it might even get printed. Despite that, an unsuspecting reader of the formerly great Economist might conclude that the index is a better investment than BR
  3. Started reading Tai-Pan. Great setting, great writing. The author in less than three pages nailed the opium trade, the silver surplus buildup in China and the trade imbalance ….
  4. i had used TFSA several times in the past ten years to do in-kind transfer to RRSP to “freeze” large capital gain in specific stocks in TFSA, thereby making large RRSP contribution w/o any new incremental dollar needed for the year. Your accounting cost average goes up as a by product of this transaction but there is no economic gain/loss. Of course the TFSA would have a hole in it which can be filled the year after with new money.
  5. you must have had a good few years as a part time investor in the 90s to decide to go full in. I don’t know if you can answer this (not too personal): in the past 24 years, did you ever go +40% on one single position if opportunity knocked ? (or whatever % is considered significant for you)
  6. the issue is going part time, would actually means “spend going up”. I.e travel etc for me anyways.
  7. @alertmeipp I would probably blew everything away if I focus on the stock portfolio as a means to generate “income” because I left my job.
  8. Thanks Dinar. Much appreciated. I actually didn’t know Ibn Sina was written/known as Avicenna in the West.
  9. i was in Iran in the 80s, the Soviets being there for ten years and the finally withdrawing barely registered on the VIX. granted I was just a kid. But I was watching news all the time.
  10. plot thickens. a new suspect in the Nord Stream case ?
  11. For clarity, by the professor I meant, Professor Clark from SkyNews and not Mearshiemer. The former is a military analyst, while the latter is a Realpolitikist who does not have a problem to call a spade a spade. While Mearshiemer speaks his mind, on military matters, I will go with professor Clark. On Special Operations, well let us not forget that the last time U.S. Congress declared war on any nation was in Dec 1941, and it has been a roller coaster of "special operations" since then till today. With a couple of U.N. mandate special operations thrown in between (thinking Korea and Kuwait). Though technically, it might have been actually 1942, as per Wiki, U.S. went to war against other Axis powers in 1942. Declaration of war by the United States - Wikipedia
  12. I saw some reports that the Russian are building trench around the Ukrainian incursion in Kursk. So if Kursk is a huge tactical victory, it may end up being a strategic mistake, if Moscow doesn’t take the bait. And pushes on. The good professor on SkyNews said the same thing on his channel.
  13. in terms of ROIC in isolation. Yes. With very limited investment, significant damage was inflicted on the Russian military and whatever myth was there was shattered. But has it been a best investment ? (Putting aside that U.S. had no choice) if that same ROIC is looked at a macro level. Russia is probably lost to China for next several decades, the Russian state took back the “commanding heights” of the Russian economy, removed the political dissidents and now Kremlin has every incentive to chart its own course and do a “hard break”. often time, the easiest calculable ROIC are the ones that don’t matter. The hardest calculable ROIC are the ones that matter. Vietnam War was a significant ROIC gain for Moscow, if one calculated the very limited Russian involvement, vs losses (material and PR) on the U.S. side. Very high ROIC. Yeap, they were high-fiving in Moscow in Dec ‘68. Yet just a few years later, the war ended and Beijing moved permanently out of Moscow’ orbit. Vietnam and Korea had to happen so that Zhu Enlai and Kissinger could happen. That was a great victory for the West.
  14. No historical analysis of BAE is complete w/o “Al Yamamah”
  15. kids are a lot of work. That is why Xerxes manages a diversified portfolio of nieces and nephews. Much easier, no logistics involved and you get all the upside.
  16. thank you the map is not mine though. I copy pasted from a guide. thanks for the tip about Vasco da Gama. I recall in 2006 I was searching for the burial place of Tokugawa Shogun in Tokyo. There it was. Just a tomb. Nothing special, but just the fact. my focus will be on the west coast and will probably skip Delhi.
  17. GFP Unrelated to this thread, do you believe that changing of the guard in the CFO office at Apple’, is signalling new era on capital return policy …
  18. Me and my sister took our 84 year old father to Portugal. He tends to walk off, and prone to keep disappearing in crowded areas. We considered getting one of those Apple tracker that we can attach to his clothes or wrist. So this way, we won’t lose him in a crowded space. Finally didn’t do it as we forgot. But those trackers are pretty handy. And lastly have someone (an appointed dictator), in charge of all the passports. Day and night. With constant vigilance. Medical insurance for the elders. Etc. not to forget.
  19. that is amazing. Got to help him to get that done
  20. Anyone has any first hand experience travelling to India in December. Was suppose to head to Indonesia in November. Running very short on time and it may not be worth risking the rainy season in November. So might as well go in December. So looking at India. West coast of it. Assuming there is no concern with Visa. i found this link below as a good guide. Naturally I don’t have months. Just 2-3 weeks as a corporate slave. Would have liked Leh near Kashmir for hiking, but not too crazy given winter. the guide suggest to start off Mumbai working counter clockwise. Goa is of huge interest to me, given its Portuguese background. https://www.quora.com/I-am-thinking-of-visiting-India-What-cities-should-I-visit-in-order-to-have-the-most-fulfilling-trip
  21. yes. got that in reverse lol
  22. Moonfish - F-16 - RIP sad !
  23. I also find it silly that after +10 years, still in the new media world, they find it necessary to tell us that Alphabet is the parent company of Google. Meta seem to get away with it. Even though the rebranding happened only a few years ago.
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