Castanza
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Everything posted by Castanza
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Nice, I have a few 1875s I’ve been aging for a year.
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I’ve yet to try that. My friend’s (lives in Louisville) wife is doing some type of design work at Heaven Hill Distillery. Hoping to score a bottle off him, but I’m doubtful to say the least haha
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Toured their Grand Rapids Brewpub a few years back...would love to make it over to Holland eventually.
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I feel that every good forum needs a thread focused on your vice of choice. What better time to start a thread than during a potential crisis? COVID-19 turns out to be the beginning of the apocalypse. You are packing the family car to head for the hills and your wife tells you there isn't enough room for the whole liquor cabinet you were trying to stash under the rear seat. You have enough room for 1 bottle.... What are you drinking (smoking works too for the cigar aficionados)? Me: Lagavulin 16
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Starter in HHC
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Started a position in BRKR
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I just had a limit order fill at $199.98. Crazy. Same, I wonder what Warren is looking at. Meanwhile stuff SPCE is up 5% ::) edit: Make that 9%
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If we never heard of the common flu and it suddenly came on the scene society would be reacting the same. The flu vaccine is only 50-60% effective for healthy individuals 18-64. So even if we get an effective vaccine for C-19 it's probably not going to be much better than that. Unpopular opinion: And I don't want to make light of individuals deaths or sickness as it's a serious thing. But the sooner this thing hits countries like the US the quicker we understand the real numbers and the real risks.
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Honestly I think you guys are overreacting. There isn’t a President past, present, nor future who wouldn’t have some type of media control. Out of fairness I agree that Pence (and Trump) probably are not the best to handle this situation. But who is? You’re dealing with the unknown and I trust Pence to punt to individuals who know what they’re doing. Donny isn’t going to take this back under his wing (until it’s almost solved and he’s looking for credit) :P Also you’re being a bit dishonest with what Pence said regarding tobacco. https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/mike-pence-smoking/ Back to the corona virus....I think the key metric everyone wants to know is mortality rate...my guess is that’s driving the majority of the fear. Especially when you hear and see videos of “people being burned alive.” The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle. Worse than what China reported, but I’m personally doubtful of the bubonic plague hysteria. If it turns out to be as bad as some say, well I’ll be at the family cabin The Snopes article says this: Although Pence did state that “smoking doesn’t kill,” he buttressed his argument by saying that only a third of smokers died of smoking-related illnesses Similarly, using the same reasoning, it could be said that Coronavirus doesn't kill because most people survive it. And handguns don't kill because 80% of people shot by handguns survive. Anyways, Pence was appointed seemingly at the same time as Trump was contradicting the CDC on coronavirus. So it's a bad omen IMO that an official filter has been put into place (The White House). It appears to be a direct response to what the CDC said. https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/watch/trump-gives-incoherent-briefing-on-coronavirus-contradicts-cdc-79522373801 Yes and it goes on to say Pence was using accurate statistics for the time. It also says that the article was not primarily for the discussion of whether smoking is or isn’t dangerous. Rather it was for the legality and the preservation of the freedom to choose to smoke. All I’m saying regarding Pence and Trump is give it a week or so. They haven’t even done anything yet but apparently they are doing it wrong....putting the cart before the horse. Regardless it looks like the market was wanting an excuse for a sell off. LC, Spek, and Greg hit the nail on the head in this an other threads.
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Honestly I think you guys are overreacting. There isn’t a President past, present, nor future who wouldn’t have some type of media control. Out of fairness I agree that Pence (and Trump) probably are not the best to handle this situation. But who is? You’re dealing with the unknown and I trust Pence to punt to individuals who know what they’re doing. Donny isn’t going to take this back under his wing (until it’s almost solved and he’s looking for credit) :P Also you’re being a bit dishonest with what Pence said regarding tobacco. https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/mike-pence-smoking/ Back to the corona virus....I think the key metric everyone wants to know is mortality rate...my guess is that’s driving the majority of the fear. Especially when you hear and see videos of “people being burned alive.” The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle. Worse than what China reported, but I’m personally doubtful of the bubonic plague hysteria. If it turns out to be as bad as some say, well I’ll be at the family cabin
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The CEO of a company isn't in the R&D lab or on the factory floor or doing sales call or doing building maintenance (most of the time) either, but do you think it doesn't matter who the one making the decisions, picking the team and allocating resources is? Behind the scenes Expert: "We have been seeing success with this testing. Statistics show that this is the best course of action and we need resources." Trump: "Name your price." Press Conference Trump: "I with my great intellect have decided to allocate this specific amount of funds to this expert for the study I found most compelling. I believe they are the best for the job. We have the best here in America. The vaccine is going to be hugeee." Also Trump is about the biggest germaphobe the world has ever seen. I'm surprised he isn't walking around like bubble boy yet. :P
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Trump doesn't need Pence for that. He has the best knowledge of science. Trump University > MIT ;D
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Why is everyone on here acting like Pence and Trump are in the lab trying to synthesize the vaccine on their own ;D
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Sold 20% of my SPCE puts locking in 67% gain.
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It's certainly not out of the realm of possibility. I mean a brief look at China's past will show many sick things done to their own populations. But conspiracy theories are often a bunch of conjecture and convenient motives, outcomes, and boogiemen being strung together. But I will say this......those Hong Kong protests have basically halted.
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I believe someone pointed it out earlier in the thread. But Taiwan and China are pretty bitter enemies. It’s hard to find news coming from Taiwan about China credible. At the very least there is some motive to spread false info.
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Starter position in SSW
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More UPS
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Bought some speculative calls on SPCE when it dipped this morning. Just sold out at +300%....paid off my vacation.
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$UPS at 98 and change RDSb MSGN Adding a bit to DISCA
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Maybe he’s making a statement?
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Wrote some more puts, 215-strike, Feb 28-expiration. Every time I read about Mike [CoBF member boilermaker] doing this stuff, I get hit - in a mild way - by a brain hemorrhage [because I can't do stuff like this, for Danish tax and other regulatory reasons for Danish investors]. Today, two times! *sigh* That's interesting. I've been discussing taxes with some coworkers from Prague and it's fascinating to see the differences between the US and there. Their opinions of tax codes are even better :P
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“SPCE” maybe Beyond Meat can start making astronaut food for the voyage.
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Huge impact over long term with minimal input.
Castanza replied to plusalpha's topic in General Discussion
- Spend time in nature - Volunteer your time (helps others, gives you appreciation for your life circumstances, networks, etc) - Physical labor (other than exercise). Accomplish, build, create something outside of the white box sitting on your desk. Great stress relief (garden, split some wood, landscape your house, etc.) -
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/17/technology/jeff-bezos-climate-change-earth-fund.html?0p19G=2870 Can’t wait to see the mental gymnastics by Bernie and the likes on this....how will they paint these evil corporations now when Bezos just split their platform in half? The Left” “Amazon pays no taxes! They’re evil!” Also the Left: “12 years and were all dead” Bezos: “I’m basically going to lead the way for climate change research and I’m giving 10B...who’s with me?” Personally, I’m a fan of this approach. People are so unsure that private sector can’t solve climate change and that it will take serious govt intervention. I think this is a much better approach to get to the bottom of the “why is the climate changing” question. Seems pointless to forcefully bankrupt Americans through taxes especially when other countries...cough cough China....aren’t doing anything positive. I’d much rather see Bezos, Musk and others like that lead the way than some inefficient government bureaucrat. Perhaps ol Warren will donate a large chunk? :P kidding kidding
