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ArminvanBuyout

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ArminvanBuyout last won the day on January 18 2024

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  1. As a young-ish person with decades left in working, nothing would be better if we just meander around for the next few years
  2. On the card data - keep in mind that we're lapping Easter slowdown last year, and so is non-comp
  3. Actually though, why did everything tank today?
  4. I remember when WSJ was considered right/conservative haha
  5. Bought into TALK a few months ago - broken SPAC that pivoted business model in 2022, and seems to have turned the corner for now. Also have a lot of GRAB - more the case of growing into valuations.
  6. NVDA being the latest example, TSLA being a pre-COVID example
  7. Interesting read on US outperformance https://www.bridgewater.com/_document/us-exceptionalism-drivers-of-equity-outperformance-and-whats-needed-for-a-repeat?id=00000192-48f2-d1cc-ab9b-fbf6d9e30001
  8. Buying some building products to add to my basket
  9. Neg in a rate cut environment
  10. Isn't a large part of ABNB earnings from interesting income?
  11. Which in turns drivers higher ROIC, which coupled with declining rates, just means average SPY company probably on net is creating more value. Shift towards tech post-GFC (which have better incremental ROIC vs. banks/cyclicals, etc.) further cements multiple expansion
  12. Almost feels like momentum traders piled into the stock mid-Aug anticipating earnings smash, and when it didn't, are just exiting now.
  13. There's the whole topic of yen carry trade deleverage. People borrowed yen for US assets, and now that yen has strengthened from 162 to 149, there is degrossing happening
  14. Imagine trying to raise when Debt to GDP is 250%...
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