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gjangal

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Everything posted by gjangal

  1. Just bought this on Kindle. Look forward to reading this. I have always enjoyed Nate's insights on this board. The podcast with Eric is also a good listen http://www.cornerofberkshireandfairfax.ca/forum/general-discussion/interview-with-nate-tobik/msg321108/#msg321108
  2. DSW, BOJA and SAVE. They benefit from tax reductions , but my thesis is that it’s not reflected in the price. I am buying this as a basket or cheap stocks. not too heavily into one name
  3. criteo , reasonable big holding and big drop towards last quarter caused 3% hit to performance. Average cost over time was around 40. This is a classic case of disruption possibly upending the business model. Should have built a meaningful goog and fb position instead. Still have a small position to track how they are going to address this.
  4. There are many people signing up for accounts at exchanges still. This thing is going to go on for a while
  5. I can't really comprehend what you mean? Do you think we are NOT in a bubble and praying for it to get higher into bubble territory? If so my question is, how do you know we aren't in a bubble right now. Also, WOW you are an optimistic soul, you want the market to do what? double to get into bubble territory? I saw your comment on a bumper sticker in 2005 or so, and I remember thinking, huh? How do you know we aren't in a bubble now? Turns out we were in a bubble, just a housing bubble.... haha I don't know for sure that we are not in a bubble or not. My personal opinion is that we are not in a bubble right now, given where rates are. It was just a light hearted comment wishing for a bubble. #allequitiesallthetime
  6. Bought a small position in CAKE . Relatively cheap for a good company. They have a new store cash ROI of 17-20%. I think it's only a matter of time before they start growing same store sales again
  7. BBY , it's cheap at 52. they have been growing online sales at a great clip. Price match with amazon in store. Should produce 1.4 bn in free cash flow. Also BOJA is starting to appear cheap.
  8. You can take a look at AKREX. Chuck Akre is a great investor who understands growth and value
  9. ABC - Amerisource Bergen , looks reasonably cheap given all the headwinds. Growing revenues low to mid single digits. Industry has oligopolistic characteristics. Long term contracts . If generic price deflation subsides, pretty decent upside
  10. no free lunch, RGR is very cheap. How do you get comfortable around sales going forward ? What if we are the top of the cycle for revenues? Any insight into revenue visibility would be appreciated. Thanks
  11. Stating the obvious but I think there are pockets of undervaluations still. US Banks are an area where you can get decent returns with dividend (12 to 15% total). A basket of wfc, bac and c can outperform
  12. Should have been more articulate, when i said asset managers i meant to say asset managers with a small AUM, probably individual traders who care about trading costs and make a living out of it
  13. I've heard from fellow software developers that IB doesn't have that great of a technology infrastructure. If they don't have great tech infra , it is very hard to make money in the market making business. This was a few years ago though, things may have changed Their only advantage is cheapest trading costs that small RIA's and asset managers find beneficial.
  14. KORS looks even cheaper, makes sense to buy a basket of these cheap names
  15. RL looks interesting. If it can do 500mn in free cash for the next few years it's really cheap, however if revenue drops further and it's not able to do 500mn it's not a slam dunk. It has 800 mm in debt and lease obligations
  16. Shouldn't have used the word bubble myself, what i meant to say was that the comparison to 2000 valuations doesn't hold well. - In my opinion i see atleast FB, Goog and amzn growing double digit revenues the next five years. Whether you ll get a double digit return holding these depends on a lot of factors. AMZN is just crazy valuations - Interest rates, whether they are low or not. - What do they do with the amount of cash on their balance sheets. At 11-15% rev cagr google will have 250B in cash if you look out 5 years, around 35-40% of mktcap in cash maybe abut less depending on a tax haircut. I see google and FB controlling atleast 40% or 50% of global advertising budgets due to their dominance.
  17. From a bubble perspective , these situations are not comparable atleast to GOOG. This made me go look for some context at that time . Valuations today are not cheap, but they are not 2000 levels MSFT for year 2000 Net cash : ~ 20b Net income: ~ 10B Rev growth: 25% PE at 600B: ~ 60 Interest rates: Higher than today
  18. Considering buying SHOP. Motley fool pitch, growing revenues at a good clip. Run by a founder with vision. Seems like a good way to play multichannel retail
  19. +1 There are too many factors at play like interest rates staying low for few more years and some form of tax cuts.
  20. Bought some CVS and GOOG , just 2% positions each with the intent to add more. Expect low double digit return over a few years. Really not confident of adding heavily because i think the market can go down 10-15% just because it can.
  21. Mastercard from late 2011, early 2012 and still holding on. The problem with investing in compounders is you get too few opportunities to deploy cash and you have to be ready to do so in a large percentage, otherwise there is no point. Have had my mistakes of selling goog, hdb and sbux after just doubling my money. Lost money in apple in 2013 and watched it double after that. Very painful
  22. I am in the "Please God , Just one more bubble" camp right now
  23. Don't know if yiu have tried this already, try pressing control key and scroll mouse or control key and the plus sign. this should zoom the web page
  24. EPAM. it's an outsourcing story run by a founder/owner operator
  25. it looks like his own game is being played on him this time. He is on the defensive trying to defend his comments
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