Fidelity Digital Assets® 2025 Look Ahead
The question on many people’s minds is now, “Am I too late?”
To answer this, we are reminded of a book the team read and discussed at length, Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital, by economist Carlota Perez.
One of Perez’s core theses is that true technological revolutions do not just affect one industry. Instead, they are so large they disrupt multiple fields and overhaul entire economic landscapes.
Perez uses railroads and oil as examples—breakthroughs that reshape not only entire industries but the structure of production and communication too.
Bitcoin and digital assets could fit this theory. We are potentially past what Perez describes as an early speculative period accompanied by financial boom and busts and are now possibly entering the phase of further adoption.
Researcher Jeffrey Ding also echoes this idea as he says it is not the discovery of a new technology that has the greatest effect on society and nations. Instead, it is the diffusion that happens in the decades that follow.
We believe we are beginning to see early signs of mass diffusion and adoption, many of which are detailed in this report. Although this process will likely take decades, 2025 has the potential to be the year that is looked back on as the pivotal time where the “chasm was crossed” as digital assets begin to take root and embed themselves into multiple fields and industries.
For example, in the past year we have already seen discussions around nation-state adoption and increased corporate balance sheet adoption.
Therefore, it may be too late for the speculators that want another frenzy. However, we believe we are still incredibly early in terms of this new era of sustainable adoption, diffusion, and integration.
https://fwc.widen.net/s/zrvf5hfjfs/fda-2025-look-ahead-report---final