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james22

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Everything posted by james22

  1. It's the Rolling Stone, for chrissake.
  2. This is what happens when you remove Western Civ from the curriculum. Jaysis Christ.
  3. It's hard to underestimate what 50+ years of cultural snobbery and moral condescension, while living under the American security umbrella, has done to undermine any sense of alliance. Not to mention the mass immigration/Islamification and curtailing of free speech makes us wonder how much of a shared Western culture is left.
  4. 60 y/o me: looking at maps.
  5. Oppositional Defiant Disorder Which is to say, anything that Trump says, does or supports must be resisted (sometimes violently) because, by definition, he is an agent of a foreign government bent on destroying the country. Is Trump a brilliant political strategist? I don’t know, but I would submit that he doesn’t have to be. He has recognized the fact pattern I’ve outlined above and has been able to maneuver Democrats and their most rabid Resistance voters into a series of unpopular positions simply by taking the 80% side of a series of 80/20 issues and daring the Left to take the 20% side. https://thecontinentalcongress.substack.com/p/all-the-presidents-men-and-the-end
  6. Dependent upon the reactions of others, plans HAVE to be improvisational. You can ONLY scenario plan. Success will also depend (largely) upon the rationality of the other actors. If China chooses war over fair trade, that's on them.
  7. In poker, irrational play, while seemingly counterintuitive, can sometimes offer unexpected value by exploiting rational players who are predictable and fail to account for such behavior. This can lead to winning hands or bluffs that would otherwise be impossible. Here's a more detailed explanation: Exploiting Predictability: Rational players often rely on patterns and strategies to make decisions, making them vulnerable to players who deviate from those norms. Creating Bluff Opportunities: Irrational play can make a bluff more believable, as opponents might not expect it, leading to more successful bluff attempts. Value Betting: By making seemingly random bets, you can confuse opponents and create opportunities to extract more value when you have a strong hand. Misleading Opponents: Irrational play can make it difficult for opponents to accurately assess your hand strength, leading to miscalculations and bad decisions.
  8. Because dwy000 negotiated his first month's rent free!
  9. Yeah, the billionaire 2X President doesn’t understand negotiating but dwy000 (paying $2K/month for a one-bedroom apartment with a view of the next building) does.
  10. It's entertaining AF is what it is.
  11. The church is near, but the road is icy. The bar is far, but I will walk carefully.
  12. The longer you hold stocks, the less risky they become.
  13. Ignored? LOL Biden was sharp as a tack!
  14. They choose the form of their destroyer. What about it though? Yeah, I'm bothered by it. It's unseemly. But so? I still want his policies carried out. I'm only disappointed he's now made it harder to do so.
  15. Trump doesn't make it easy for this supporter. He shoots himself in the foot with most every unstatesmanlike statement and tweet. Launching a meme coin? Goddammit. OTOH, every Republican (Romney!) gets called Hitler anyway, so does it really matter?
  16. +2% Don't know if I quite believe bitcoin is decoupling yet, but I'd sure like to.
  17. It's one thing to miss Growth opportunities, but I'm thinking the Fourth Turning is going to break some of you.
  18. Exhibit A, your honor.
  19. Setting aside politics, Value investors are maybe less likely to understand Trump than Growth investors (cf. Crypto/MSTR threads)? 1. Trump is the antithesis of their mental software ENA graduates are trained in technocracy, norms, collective thinking, and risk avoidance. Trump embodies: • Absolute individual will, • Action without safety nets, • Personal judgment above consensus, • A logic of brutal disruption. Whether you like that or not, they fear him because they can neither anticipate nor decode his policies. It eludes their map of power. https://no-pasaran.blogspot.com/2025/04/why-does-donald-trump-bother-elites-in.html
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