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John Hjorth

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Posts posted by John Hjorth

  1. This thread is going to cause COBF to collapse upon itself and vanish into some distant galaxy.

    It makes me happy to know that my taking time away from this forum in no way diminishes the quantity or quality of shitposting. ...

    Please stop with all the ad hominem.

     

    jschembs, alwaysdrawing & meiroy,

     

    If you read some of the latest pages in this topic with focus on "How did USA end up in this actual situation?" - [related to the situation about the Corona virus in the USA] - based on different political orientations, it will actually provide value to you. -There is actually a common denominator & agreement, which is an underlying shared general & deep frustration in the various posts about the situation [, which to me is somehow comforting].

  2. It is quite obvious to anyone with even the slightest knowledge of psychology that Trump is mentally ill.

     

    So what does that say about those who continue to support him and may vote for him again? It is not much wonder that the “make America great again” has been such a dismal failure.

     

    So that is fine from their point of view, but the real problem is that these people are going to take a lot of others down with them.

     

    cwericb,

     

    I personally consider your post - generally & on overall basis - in line with what Vinod has posted in [as far as I remember] this topic not so long ago.

     

    The real question - at least to me - is : Who has the burden on their shoulders of the responsibility to actually act on the situation, if the incumbent POTUS - for reasons of mental illness is not fit & proper? -What does i.e. the US Constitution [or other legislation] say? [Personally, I don't know.]

  3. Five sailors on the U.S. aircraft carrier sidelined in Guam due to a COVID-19 outbreak have tested positive for the virus for the second time and have been taken off the ship, according to the Navy.

     

    https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/live-blog/2020-05-15-coronavirus-news-n1207106/ncrd1208141#liveBlogHeader

     

     

    Then this from an overrated physician turned politician (those who can't do, legislate?):

     

    "I have immunity. I've already had the virus, so I can't get it again and I can't give it to anybody," Paul, R-Ky., told reporters, referring to his March diagnosis. "I can't get it again, nor can I transmit. So of all the people you'll meet here, I'm about the only safe person in Washington."

     

    https://news.yahoo.com/rand-paul-forgoes-mask-claims-215100615.html

     

    Thank you for a hilarious post, ERICOPOLY,

     

    Somehow I think of it as token of :

     

    1. You live in a representative democracy [, at least somehow],

     

    combined with :

     

    2. Ignorance & stupidity is still alive & kicking everywhere around the world.

  4. JAMA Network [May 7th 2020] : Clinical Characteristics and Results of Semen Tests Among Men With Coronavirus Disease 2019.

     

    Some cherry picking in the Discussion section :

     

    In this cohort study, we found that SARS-CoV-2 can be present in the semen of patients with COVID-19, and SARS-CoV-2 may still be detected in the semen of recovering patients. ...

     

    I wonder what the doctors among us here on CoBF get out of this. Very small sample size though [which I don't even know if matters here]. It reads scary to me as a layman.

  5. Pete,

     

    I really hope to see Spekulatius [and perhaps also other German [or with German roots, and thereby insights] CoBF members] to chime in on this later today, or later, because I don't know.

     

    - - - o 0 o - - -

     

     

    Meanwhile, I'm taking the [usual] escape route [mentally] to the garden - I have a ton of self seeded & -grown Lavandula Angustifolia under our now six year old Taxus Baccata front hedge, that I'm in the process of sweeping and planting other places in the garden.

  6. I have answered this before but the 1 year - 18 months timeline is what a lot of modeling work is based on -- when they anticipate that a vaccine will be available.

     

    The Swedish argument is that you can't keep the lockdown for 18 months and as soon as any country lifts the lockdown, the number of cases/deaths will peak again -- as the modeling work also predicts. Therefore, if you sum up all the deaths over that period most countries would have suffered a similar number of deaths.

     

    The flaw with that thinking is that we're learning and working on things that could be here before the vaccine, and the timeline for the vaccine is unknown (could be sooner than we think too), and there's limited healthcare capacity. So if in 2-3 months we have some more therapies/drugs and best practices (proning?) to helps save people who get sick, it's better to be infected later rather than sooner and to keep the curve flat rather than have a high peak early on.

     

    Here is an example of what Liberty is talking about, related to the discussion in this topic about what's going on in the Scandinavian countries :

     

    Fyens.dk [April 29th 2020] : Ulla has found the solution: Smart "Conversation box" makes it possible to visit family on nursing home.

    TV2.dk [April 29th 2020] : Daugther invents "Conversation Box" so she can speak with her mother [inside, John] at nursing home.

     

    This is a story of a civil engineer called Ulla employed at Novo Nordisk A/S, where she [obviously] is working with work environment on the Novo Nordisk factories, likely with speciality in keeping the air clean, and she has been thinking about how to do something about what everybody is talking about, while nobody trying to do something about it. So she just did it, based on that "... this is not rocket science".

     

    - - - o 0 o - - -

     

    Decomposition, analysis & solution of a tiny part of an extremely complex issue at hand in totality, and taking a focused stab at that tiny part. Every tiny contribution helps over time, if solutions are shared with the world.

     

    - - - o 0 o - - -

     

    Anecdotal : This story is from the nursing home here in Odense where my dad lives.

  7. The same epidemiologist said in another interview that compared to their neighbors Sweden has a lot more old people living in nursing homes, which have been locked down but nonetheless seem to be petri dishes for the virus to spread. And I think well more than half of COVID-related deaths in Sweden so far have come from nursing homes.

     

    [Omitting the embedded posts by Liberty, minten & clutch, but respectfully not ignoring them, - just to avoid dense quoting.]

     

    frank,

     

    It's actually true - and very striking :

     

    Public Health Agency of Sweden (Folkhälsomyndigheten) - Confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Sweden (Antal fall av covid-19 i Sverige).

     

    Translation help :

     

    Tidsserie: Sjukdomsfall per dag -> Time series : Confirmed cases per day,

    Sjukdomsfall per åldersgrupp -> Confirmed cases per age group, &

    Avlitna per åldersgrupp -> Deaths per age group [in the context here : COVID-19 related].

  8. These prediction models are not crystal balls. Yet, we seem to be relying more and more on them to make decisions that could have this kind of negative consequences.

     

    Yeah, models aren't perfect, but I don't really see an alternative. Is there one?

     

    Make decisions based on the most pertinent observations? E.g., the fact that COVID-19 has significantly higher death rates in older people.

     

    In general, scientists should inform decision-makers primarily based on observations/experiments, not prediction models.

     

    Easy to say, when the matter at hand is basically unknown from the beginning of the situation.

  9. I think the facts are, that major mistakes were made in the early innings in just about every country around the world. The mistakes may vary from country to country.

     

    I just hope that when we are finally done with SARS-CoV-2, that there will be a World-Wide conclusion, to avoid that this - to the best of all nations - won't happen again.

  10. Wikipedia : Whitney Tilson.

     

    ... In 2003 the Securities & Exchange Commission ordered Tilson to pay 1.5 million dollars in restitution for defrauding "public investors by disseminating false information in several Internet newsletters."[4] ...

     

    - - - o 0 o - - -

     

    Why is Mr. Tilson even worth the time talking about?

     

    I think most people are here cos of quarantine and need a good laugh.

     

    That's to me certainly OK, randomep.

  11. https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1250063051182747651

     

    Cuomo’s been calling daily, even hourly, begging for everything, most of which should have been the state’s responsibility, such as new hospitals, beds, ventilators, etc. I got it all done for him, and everyone else, and now he seems to want Independence! That won’t happen!

     

    Presidential--with a capital 'P'.

     

    Somebody jelly of President Cuomo, wants to capture the political upside of Cuomo's stellar management (but "takes no responsibility" for any of the downside--Mr. 'Zero skin in the game' Trump!).

     

    Somehow, this reminds me about americans saying the EU and Euro being built with inherent flaws.

  12. Agreed, but I think he'll try to rewrite and/or update it, and publish what's on his mind before the digital AGM. The February 22nd letter is pretty much obsolete as of now. He'll need to take some of the steam off the AGM questions, and inform shareholders in more detail about how Berkshire is doing now under these circumstances. -Wouldn't you expect that of him? ["Inform as our roles were reversed" and all that.]

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