Also its hard to go to 0 when each of the companies are separate companies vs the holding company...Its more about risk reward if you buy FFH at 1.4 there is possibility it corrects...The real big risk to FFH is what happens when Prem leaves and his son/daughter take over
I think the IPO is due to some back and forth with government as stated on the call...Eventually will get sorted out and if it trades 10%+ above value on balance sheet it should give a good gain
@MMM20 Nice...How do you fund your day to day expenses? Do you use dividends / bonds / sell stocks? What was your compounded rate before when you had a job? Was it less then 25-30%
@Viking Nice post what stocks did you own in 1999 during .com bubble? Which of the 3 bear markets was your best one? I think 2020 since you were fully in cash and that's when mr market gave us all a good opportunity on FFH
20% cagr over the 25 years is wonderful
Its not really bad if you sell a stock at a price you no longer will buy it for (given you did some calculation to say its overvalued at that price)...Only bad thing would be if you calculated the intrinsic value incorrectly and the stock shots up
For me I will revisit my thesis when FFH gets to 1.2x book value..If things work the way we expect it to work..This might take awhile as the book value will keep out pacing the stock price unless the crowd jumps in lol
Someone correct me if the historical price is wrong or any splits
BKB.B CAGR over 20 years 11.36%
Price in August 2004: $57.62
Price in August 2024: $448.77
FFH.TO 11.81% (not accounting for dividends)
Price in August 2004: $183.00
Price in August 2024: $1,540.93
QQQ 16.38% (not accounting for Dividends)
Price in August 2004: $33.06
Price in August 2024: $481.27
SPY 8.55% (not accounting for Dividends)
Price in August 2004: $108.52
Price in August 2024: $559.61
Over the last 20 years FFH has slightly out performed BKB.B excluding dividends
I think for the next 1 to 5 years FFH will out preform