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  2. Getting difficult to keep tankers crewed in the SOH. https://gcaptain.com/shipowner-offers-seafarers-six-months-pay-to-sail-through-strait-of-hormuz/ " Sinokor Group, the world’s largest owner of supertankers, offered six months extra salary if they make a return voyage, which it said would take about a month in total. [Other] shipping firms were adding as much as 60 days of salary to a 30-day contract". The highest-paid person on most ships is the captain, who has the ultimate say on navigational decisions. They earn as much as $15,000 a month on oil tankers, according to officials at two shipping companies. A junior sailor, known as a rating, might earn about $1,500 a month in normal times. They have the right to ask to leave a vessel and be replaced if they don’t want to sail into the danger zone. “We have heard stories of a large number of crew members getting off, but they are able to find people who are willing to go.” Junior ratings are not rich people, and typically have families reliant upon their continuing income to survive .... things have to be extremely bad for them to give it up. One of these under-crewed tankers gets attacked, it's abandoned at sea .... salvage for the picking All this before the Houthi threats on Red Sea tankers, and the closer proximity of Somali pirates looking for salvage. SD
  3. That's the real answer to a different question. What's your point? People generate net worth typically by working, and in some cases by inheritance. Your link that you started the subject with is using entire US population for median and mean net worth, right? I suspect if you wanted to ask the median net worth of active workers, you'd end up with a much higher number than the one you cited.
  4. The facts are pretty tenuous for your sexist joke. Factoring in for single parent households, I suspect there's more men on these means/asset tested programs, but it's a moot point. The public benefits trap applies to men and women. There are plenty of men and women in the USA that can't fund a savings account or try to get a 20% raise because the benefits cliff is insurmountable without a very large one time increase in income (to replace subsidies). People do dig out through education (which is typically how one gets a very large one time increase in income), and there are actually pretty generous means tested subsidies for education as well.
  5. +1 Human error or bias should never be "part of the game."
  6. Yup, myriad rule changes ruined this stuff. It used to be a great asset to have an agitator with some skill. Shit, Claude Lemieux(rip), Essa Tikkanen, etc.
  7. Posting here for those more competent than me to take a look and comment. Full letter is in the comments section on X. If true, I guess this is a positive for exco? I am always skeptical of this kind of macro predictions.
  8. I wish pro sports would use their data: 1000s of hours of footage and referee decisions; to design and train real time AI referees. Completely objective, perfect camera angles...players and teams would adjust quickly...would improve a lot of games i think.
  9. Back in the day, 'Tiger Williams' was always a joy to watch, especially if you could also scrape up enough for the ticket to attend a game in person. Never a dull moment, assured of a shake up, and the antics were always quite something. Sadly, all banned now https://www.guinnessworldrecords.com/news/2025/9/the-tiger-ice-hockey-goon-spent-3971-minutes-in-the-penalty-box-during-his-nhl-career SD
  10. Yup, I mentioned it above to some ridicule...but when a super low probability event(just jogging through some random lines in a spot where an uncontested shot has sub 30% chance of being a goal) can get turned into a penalty kick(IE ~80% chance of scoring), on something highly discretionary...your system and rulebook is in major need of repair.
  11. I just try to add as best as I can. Even if it’s just pieces of a stock.
  12. yes, this is one potential explanation....that most people are exercising their freedoms and choosing to be poor. That would generally reflect better on the US than the other explanation which that the bottom 1/2 or whatever can't accumulate wealth due to lack of opportunity or because we need to build more houses or whatever. definitely think americans consumer-y ways are part of it (my own wealth accumulation is certainly slowed by my lavish expenditures), but not sure if it's the only reason.
  13. The starts are aligning...
  14. Sure (it's not intrinsically boring). But when the rules incentivize flopping, flopping is what you get.
  15. No different to hockey, when not playing in the world cup, the players are continually playing against each other in the various premier leagues around the world. When everyone plays at the top of their game, scores are low, and mostly 'cause of some kind of temporary breakdown. When everyone has incredible ball control, and 'presence' in time/space; the outliers have to be true masters (Messi, Ronaldo, Gretzy, etc, etc) to score at the levels they do. They are; but most teams only have one/two at best, at the same time. These things can be learnt, routinely are, and the 'unknowns' can get to be just as good (Cape Verde, Canada, Morocco, etc). But their best players don't stay at home; they go on to play in the premier leagues, routinely play against the best, and become part of the best. The bigger the global pool that plays, and the more movement between teams, the better the game. SD
  16. Buying anything other than fairfax (both ffh and fih) feels so wrong...way cheaper than anything else...but also a >30% position for me. I worry I might not get another chance to buy csu this cheap. Hopefully I'll have something to trim by the end of the year!
  17. It seems at this point Fairfax and this board are the only buyers. Sadly for the stock price, most people on this board may already have close to full positions.
  18. I think it's largely boring for the same reason a lot of people complained about hockey 20 years ago. The systems have skewed way too much towards defensive styles that abuse the current application of rules. As such, theres very little scoring.
  19. https://nypost.com/2026/07/21/us-news/more-than-6000-non-citizens-registered-to-vote-in-nj-by-software-error-gov-sherrill-admits/ Looks like horseface had an oopsy daisy moment.
  20. Today
  21. Sure, they dont. Is this something new? Theres literally tons of great businesses, like say Apple or Amazon, they feed off the folks whom blow thru or spend 1.2x every dollar they get their hands on. We live in a consumer centric society, as has been mentioned upthread.
  22. Easy to explain - the US cut off some of the spigots and Europe doesn't like it. They'll get over it. Not sure about some here though.
  23. I've not seen data to the contrary that indicates your median or bottom quartile American has much in the way of assets....i think the data is "mostly" correct....whether its $70K or $150K that's still kind of jack shit. i don't see why the nuances of that aren't worth discussing.
  24. Article #3 in the series on business model. The Organizational Advantage – Decentralized Operations and Centralized Capital Allocation The objective of every well-run company is straightforward: maximize long-term per-share value. Achieving that objective requires more than talented managers, attractive markets or a sound investment strategy. It also requires an organizational structure that consistently produces superior operating performance and superior capital allocation. Over the past sixty years, two companies have demonstrated the power of this approach. Henry Singleton built Teledyne into one of the best-performing companies of its era. Warren Buffett refined many of the same principles at Berkshire Hathaway, producing one of the greatest long-term investment records in history. Fairfax has followed a similar path. Since its founding in 1985, Fairfax has combined decentralized operating businesses with centralized capital allocation. The objective is simple: maximize the cash generated across the organization and then allocate that capital to the opportunities offering the highest long-term returns. The organizational structure itself is straightforward. The challenge—and ultimately the competitive advantage—lies in executing it well. Over the past four decades, Fairfax has systematically strengthened the people, processes and culture operating within this framework. Today, the company appears to be operating the strongest version of this organizational model in its history. The Theory Every diversified company faces two fundamental challenges. First, how do you maximize the cash generated by each operating business? Second, once that cash has been generated, how do you maximize the return earned on it? The most successful organizations recognize that these are different problems requiring different solutions. Decentralized Operations The objective of decentralization is straightforward: maximize the performance of each operating business. Decentralization is built on a simple premise: exceptional businesses require exceptional operating managers. Once the right people are in place, decision-making authority is delegated to those closest to customers, competitors and local markets, while head office remains focused on capital allocation. This creates clear accountability, encourages entrepreneurial thinking and allows decisions to be made where the best information resides. Advantages Optimized operating performance Greater accountability Entrepreneurial culture Faster decision-making Attractive to founder-owners and entrepreneurial managers Higher long-term cash generation Centralized Capital Allocation Generating cash is only half the equation. The next challenge is deciding where that capital should be invested. Rather than allowing excess capital to remain within individual business units, centralized capital allocation allows every dollar generated across the organization to compete for the highest expected long-term return. Operating managers focus on building better businesses. Head office focuses on allocating capital. Each concentrates on what it does best. Advantages Superior capital allocation Capital flows to the best opportunities Internal capital market Greater financial resilience Long-term orientation Tax-efficient capital deployment Importantly, this organizational framework extends across both of Fairfax's business engines: insurance and investments. Decentralized decision-making drives the performance of the insurance businesses, while the same principles govern Fairfax's investment operations, including public equities and wholly owned operating companies. Although the underlying businesses differ, the organizational model remains the same. Both ultimately feed the same centralized capital allocation process. Viewed this way, Fairfax is not simply an insurance company with an investment portfolio. It is an integrated capital allocation organization with two complementary business engines operating within the same organizational framework. Together, decentralized operations and centralized capital allocation create a powerful long-term capital compounding system. Why This Model Is Difficult to Execute If this organizational model is so effective, why don't more companies adopt it? The answer is straightforward: the structure is relatively simple, but executing it well is extraordinarily difficult. Success requires several conditions to exist simultaneously. A lean corporate head office deliberately limits oversight. That only works if operating businesses are led by exceptional management teams capable of making sound long-term decisions with minimal supervision. Capital allocation must also be exceptional. Poor capital allocation eventually produces weaker operating businesses, lower returns and less capital available for future investment. At the same time, operating businesses must continually improve. Decentralization creates autonomy, but autonomy alone does not guarantee progress. Without effective leadership, strong culture and a mechanism for continuously improving operating performance, business quality inevitably diverges over time. Finally, the model requires a long-term mindset. Maintaining a lean head office, preserving entrepreneurial autonomy and continually investing in people and businesses often requires decisions that reduce short-term reported earnings in exchange for greater long-term value creation. Many public companies find that trade-off difficult to sustain. For this organizational model to succeed, all of these elements must function well simultaneously. That is uncommon. It also explains why building this type of organization typically takes decades rather than years. This is what makes Fairfax's evolution so significant. The company's competitive advantage was not created by adopting this organizational structure in 1985. It was created by spending the next four decades learning how to execute it at an increasingly high level. Fairfax's Evolution Fairfax adopted this organizational structure when the company was founded in 1985, and it has changed remarkably little since. Designing the structure was the easy part. Building the people, capabilities and culture required to make it work took decades. The most significant transformation occurred within the insurance operations after Andy Barnard assumed responsibility for Fairfax's global insurance business in 2011. The focus shifted from building scale to improving quality. Underwriting discipline became embedded throughout the organization, accountability increased, existing businesses improved and acquisitions became increasingly selective. The result is a collection of high-quality insurance businesses producing record underwriting profits and unprecedented levels of float. A similar evolution occurred within the investment organization beginning around 2018. While valuation remained central, greater emphasis was placed on management quality, balance sheet strength and sustainable cash generation. At the same time, Fairfax systematically upgraded its existing portfolio, reallocating capital away from weaker legacy investments and toward higher-quality businesses. Investment capabilities expanded, experienced professionals were added and a disciplined investment process became embedded across public equities, private investments and fixed income. Over the past fifteen years, Fairfax has strengthened both engines that generate capital. Insurance operations now produce more underwriting profit and more float, while investment operations generate higher-quality earnings from a significantly stronger portfolio. Together they feed the same centralized capital allocation process. Today, the organizational structure remains largely unchanged, but the businesses are stronger, the management teams are deeper, the investment organization is significantly more capable and the culture has become firmly embedded throughout the company. This version of Fairfax has never existed before. Why It Matters For investors, the implications are significant. Organizational capability compounds just as capital does. Over four decades, Fairfax has become progressively better at generating cash, allocating capital and improving its businesses. That capability has become one of the company's most durable competitive advantages. As a result, Fairfax is applying a proven organizational model to the largest capital base in its history. While the organizational framework has remained remarkably consistent since 1985, the quality of its execution has improved dramatically. That evolution helps explain why today's Fairfax is fundamentally stronger than any previous version of the company. Appendix A — Another Way to Think About Fairfax Fairfax is best understood as a "conglomerate-light" organization. It combines many of the economic advantages of a diversified conglomerate while deliberately avoiding much of the organizational complexity. Core Characteristics Small corporate head office Highly decentralized operating businesses Centralized capital allocation Entrepreneurial operating culture Long-term ownership mindset Advantages Optimized operating performance Superior capital allocation Meaningful diversification Greater financial resilience Long-term orientation Scalable organizational platform Avoided Pitfalls Excessive bureaucracy Organizational bloat Slow decision-making Capital trapped within business units Empire building
  25. Sure, but we dont need to be all that concerned by whats obviously(and already been pointed out as) mangled and misinterpreted data. Whether it's dishonestly/ignorantly presented aside. Its like those oil guys talking about "only 43 days inventory left in the SPR!"....
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