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Am I the only one here who's had a rubbish first Half of the year?


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Posted

I know a bunch of you have done great things in 2026 (Officer with Liquidia, GFP picking stuff up with amazing timing etc.), but it just hasn't been working for me.


There have been one or two mistakes (e.g. trying to play oil - seemed obvious at the time) but generally longer-term holdings have just not had a great time.

 

Decent chunk of FFH, decent chunk of CSU & subsidiaries, TVK (unfortunate situation) and not trimming enough Gold & Royalties.  Recently buying Exchanges as they've continued to go down.  Not seeing the switch up at the end of March.  Ooof.

 

Other things have worked, thankfully, but I'm pretty flat for the year, which is quite the underperformance to the S&P.


Anyway, I know it's only 6 months, and I'm happy to leave these things to do their thing, as I'm not really a trader.  Just good to get it out sometimes.  Anyway, hopefully I'm the only one, but please grumble alongside me if you've struggled too.

Posted (edited)

nope. my IBKR accounts (2/3 of assets i control) are up ~4.5% and SPY and REITs are up 9-11%. my fidelity accounts (the other 1/3) are up 8%. my 401k's and stuff (currently all TIPS) are up 8%-9%. Trust (which basically just owns global indices minus fees) and I don't control is up 8.5% or so. 

 

mediocre year so far. I've not been particularly excited about my portfolio for like 2-3 years. think generally have bought things at okay-ish discounts but actual value coming in a little shy of underwriting as my (mostly) real estate oriented stuff continues to grapple with money having an actual cost. feel like most of my ideas are pretty stale...been some small wins here and there but nothing too additive...the last few sell-offs (Iran / Tarriff / etc)...I've generally way outperformed as market fell, but then not really taken advantage of the bounce...there's a younger more aggressive version of me that would have rotated/found a way to make more on the way up...but that hasn't been me of late....i also just take less concentration/risks generally....i'm playing a little scared because...i don't want to give up the last ~6 years of wild gains over which my NW has like quintupled (inheritance + compounding + saving + a little bit better than mkt returns)...

 

Edited by thepupil
Posted

I've underperformed this year too. A some of my midsize positions (NTDOY, META and CPNG) got cut down by a lot, and a few others that did well last year are just trading sideways or down a little. 

 

It happens. You can't outperform in the long run and the short run.  

Posted

@thowed I think we own a lot of the same stuff. CRAWA saved me last year and TFII this year. But it has been a struggle for 2 years. Don’t worry, I’m pretty sure that means you are doing it right. 

Posted

Anyone with a high allocation to Berkshire and Fairfax has likely under-performed and if the name of this site in any way selects for those types, it is likely that many have lagged the markets. But so what? What is six months over a lifetime horizon?

Posted (edited)

I only care about underperformance if I'm out of cash or more so think my thesis has changed on the companies I own and continue to buy. I in no way want massive exposure to SPY with 40%+ sitting in the MAG7 who has mostly underperformed. 

Edited by Castanza
Posted
1 hour ago, thowed said:

I know a bunch of you have done great things in 2026 (Officer with Liquidia, GFP picking stuff up with amazing timing etc.), but it just hasn't been working for me.


There have been one or two mistakes (e.g. trying to play oil - seemed obvious at the time) but generally longer-term holdings have just not had a great time.

 

Decent chunk of FFH, decent chunk of CSU & subsidiaries, TVK (unfortunate situation) and not trimming enough Gold & Royalties.  Recently buying Exchanges as they've continued to go down.  Not seeing the switch up at the end of March.  Ooof.

 

Other things have worked, thankfully, but I'm pretty flat for the year, which is quite the underperformance to the S&P.


Anyway, I know it's only 6 months, and I'm happy to leave these things to do their thing, as I'm not really a trader.  Just good to get it out sometimes.  Anyway, hopefully I'm the only one, but please grumble alongside me if you've struggled too.

 

Me too. Flat YTD.

 

CSU, FFH, Terravest dragging me down.  Also bought AJG and BRO too early. These things happen......I'm not worried.

Posted

Ytd returns of 13%

1 yr return of 62%

 

Thanks to Canadian banks and good timing with Google purchase.  

 

Terrible timing with Go Easy. 🤣 

Posted

 

 

I'm up for the year to date but it's been hard-ass work.  Would have much preferred a peaceful buy and hold.

 

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