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Krapdivad

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Krapdivad last won the day on May 1 2021

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  1. Does anyone know how to get historical annual reports for GM? Mohnish Pabrai mentions that Charlie Munger had been interested in obtaining 100 years of annual reports for GM beginning from when it went public in 1916. Munger mentions using Value Line graphs to help teach a class on GM and its history. Mohnish was able to find these annual reports through some students at Boston University who put them on Dropbox. I tried to use Mergeant archives at my library to search old annual reports for GM, but they stop at 2009 because that's when the company came out of bankruptcy as a new entity. Does anyone have access to these pdfs? https://buffett.cnbc.com/video/2011/04/30/munger-on-using-company-histories-to-teach-finance.html
  2. Biller Miller had a very good interview about his investment in bitcoin which is 50% of his personal leveraged account https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DjhMCsufdxo summarized it here https://docs.google.com/document/d/1mBHXgrGJeB_dJ2qct0ZsVchyKSnZqrns2JUmMMXbbXw/edit
  3. Found how how Mohnish is valuing the liquidation value or the replacement cost of the company. He explains it all in this sumzero talk at 38:50 min Reysas has 12 M sq ft of warehouses Costs $80-$100 / sq ft to replace warehouses at current steel prices This gives you ~$1B of assets - $200 M Debt = $800 M in liquidation value
  4. $RYSKF Reysas Pabrai says he bought a Turkish company when it was a $20M market cap and a $500M liquidation value. Now it's over $100M market cap and $800 M liquidation value. Reysas fits the marketcap description and timing of his purchase. However, looking on TIKR I’m seeing a book value of $10M in 2019 and $80 M currently. Anyone know why this discrepancy in the liquidation value? I’m assuming the value of the assets such as real estate has risen considerably. Especially due to the devaluation of the Lira.
  5. What do people here think about a crypto savings account I.e. buying Gemini Dollars (stable coin) for 8% interest? https://getstarted.gemini.com/earn-gusd/ It says it’s backed by fiat and FDIC insured up to $250k. There are no fees for buying or selling these gemini dollar stable coins.
  6. Interesting that Stanley Druckenmiller also commented yesterday that crypto might provide a replacement to the dollar as the world's reserve currency, but suggesting an alternative that had yet to be created. Interesting because he owns bitcoin, but doesn't have a strong faith that it'll be THE crypto. He said in the CNBC interview that the ultimate solution could be “some kind of ledger system invented by some kids from MIT or Stanford” though he conceded that “I don’t know what it will be.”
  7. We often hear of Berkshire’s cash position terms of total dollars ($145 B), which highlights its sheer size. However, I was more interested in how the cash position looked as a percentage of Berkshire. This info would guide me in my own portfolio allocation to “guard against external calamities.” Buffett received a question about this during this weekend’s meeting. He said he views Berkshire’s cash position as a percentage of its assets. Looking at the latest balance sheet: Total Cash: $145B Total Assets: $884B Current Percentage of Cash = 16% In Buffett’s response, he said he’d like to put roughly $70 or $80 billion of cash to work, or about half his cash position. So I’m piecing together that he currently has 16% of his portfolio in cash, and he’d like to keep around 8% as a cash cushion. Am I getting this right? What do you think about keeping a cash cushion in your own portfolios? What percentage allows you to act with equanimity during a downturn?
  8. Thanks for posting your summary. Goes well with what Buffett said yesterday about the CEO being the biggest risk factor for a company.
  9. How do you "like" someone's post. Someone had "liked" my post and I'm not sure how they did it.
  10. There was a pre-Berkshire meeting by Yahoo Finance today with Laurence Cunningham, Robert Hagstrom, Carol Loomis, and Tom Gayner. Took a few notes if anyone was interested: Larry Cunningham: The annual meeting at Berkshire was created to attract a certain kind of shareholder base that was focused on owning a business for the long term. What makes Berkshire so distinctive and why don’t more companies copy it? Larry Cunningham Buffett sees himself being in a partnership with his shareholders. He makes the decisions for the company as a whole Berkshire is highly decentralized with good managers in place with their own strategies, in a trust based environment. Other companies have an overwhelming pressure to conform to short term results and quarterly guidance Some companies that have been able to adopt a long term/ Berkshire style: Markel Fairfax Constellation Post Johnson and Johnson Danaher Alphabet Robert Hagstrom Warren’s best success was building a culture of rational allocation of capital This created the most successful conglomerate in history that will last for decades Tom Gayner There’s a degree of personal responsibility that Buffett and Munger have assumed with a culture of stewardship and trust Tom Gayner quotes someone named Chad: “At any point in the investment arena, there are times where you look smarter or dummer than you really are.” Most people can’t endure the period when they look dummer I.e. Buffett whenever Berkshire is lagging the market Buffett is always accused of not doing enough during these periods and he’ll probably be asked “have you ever thought of … crypto, SPACs, etc” Carol Loomis: Has been editing Buffett’s letters for 50 years now. She gets a draft in October and they mail each other comments, because if they did it over the phone they’d get upset at one another. Since she’s the first person to ask a question, she feels some pressure to ask the question everyone wants to know. If not, the two other anchors next to her will. How will Berkshire evolve? Larry Cunningham: Buffett put in place great leaders for the future of Berkshire Insurance (Ajit Jain) Businesses (Greg Abel) 2 portfolio managers (Ted and Todd) Loyal shareholder base Robert Hagstrom mentions his new book Warren Buffett: Inside the Ultimate Money Mind Took him a very long time to realize that Buffett’s temperament was a large part of his success Tom Gayner on Berkshire’s evolution: Berkshire has changed in size, scale, skill, and as the world changed In the early days it was essentially Buffett’s investment partnership, and his investment skills in stocks that drove Berkshire Once he bought National Indemnity then it also became an insurance company With the purchase of the utility assets it morphed into a conglomerate and into an enterprise that was more multifaceted and larger than it used to be Buffett tells you what you own over time in a simple way On Berkshire’s future after Buffett, thinks about other businesses that have survived past their genius founder I.e. Dupont Why did Buffett take so long to buy stock? Robert Hagstrom: Believes Berkshire wasn’t at a huge discount to intrinsic value, and that Buffett allocated a modest amount to share repurchases With all the cash do you see more share buybacks or business purchases being made in the future? Tom Gayner: The beauty is that they’ve had both options open over the years. Buffett and Munger have the skill of business purchases and ability to repurchase shares.
  11. Put together a little list with some summaries I found online https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eKDLCbkaV7-btd1Pklup14QxERO1ZDTOLIjimCJnKI8/edit?usp=sharing
  12. Li Lu's recent fireside chat with Bruce Greenwald had so much great stuff packed into it. https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=FiHrWy2jGbA&feature=youtu.be One thing that Li Lu recommended was that we devote as much time as possible reading up on the history of businesses, and the great businessmen in the past. The more you study companies, the better your judgement becomes about companies. Books that came to my mind were - Titan about John D Rockefeller - Good to Great - Shoe Dog (Nike) - My Father's Business (Dollar General) - In Sam We Trust (Walmart) - The Ride of a Lifetime (Disney) A bunch of these have been on my reading list. Do you guys have any recommendations on any books that enrich our understanding of businesses from the past?
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